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Everything posted by LastOnePicked
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Week in Review: Momentum Killers
LastOnePicked replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
For the record, I don't find your posts annoying at all. Well reasoned, thoughtful counterbalances to the surges of pessimism that are such a huge part of being a Twins fan in this era. The rest of us have the harsh skepticism angle already covered. And if you're losing patience in the FO, that's saying something.- 54 replies
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- carlos correa
- byron buxton
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Yeah, there's just something about the reality of this team that tends to keeps the optimism in check. They've given away how many games at this point? Cleveland has some of the best talent waiting in the wings. They are also led by a seasoned manager who can steady the ship and bring out the best in young players. The Twins? No and no. Like bighat, happy to be wrong, but doubt I will be.
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I don't like Rocco as a manager, but he should never have to deal with Pagan as a bullpen option anyway. That one is squarely on the FO. That said, if I were Rocco, I would have made it clear last offseason that either Pagan stays on the roster or I stay in the organization. I wouldn't subject my team again to what he put the team through last year. He has weapons-grade-level yips. That's both demoralizing and contagious.
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I like this framework, and your post, a lot. My only concern is that the games from each 1/3rd of the season count equally in the standings. If you're letting games slip away in the first 3rd, you're putting a lot of pressure on your ability to plug gaps in the second 3rd, AND you're putting a lot on the shoulders of your best players in the last 3rd. I don't trust this FO's ability to asses our own organization's players (big leagues and minors), much less players from other teams, so the "plugging gaps" is iffy. Also, Buxton, Polanco, Gallo, Correa may be the "best players," but they don't seem likely to hold up come September. As a result, I lean skeptical on any division championships. If they were up 7.5 on Cleveland, okay, there's some buffer. Up 1.5? That's not going to hold.
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Week in Review: A Tale of Two Series
LastOnePicked replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I wanted the Twins to run away with the division. This week made it clear that's not going to happen. Then I wanted them to crash and burn and rebuild. This weekend also made it clear that's unlikely. So what do we have? A goofy loser's division midsummer bar-room brawl, one where the Twins punch themselves in the face at least as often as they get hit by their rivals. We'll see how it all plays out. -
Listened on the radio up until the disputed Kiriloff strikeout. I knew they were going to lose after that. As in, I would have bet my house on it, if I were a betting man. It's just an odd game of tone, momentum and vibe with this team. It's luck, sure, but it just also seems about bringing in negative energy with roster decisions. Heck, maybe it's the cosmic ripple of thousands of understandably-pessimistic fans, all imagining worst-case scenarios at the same time. I have no idea. Going to be a memorable year, one way or the other, Oof. But I'm past mad at this point. No reason to be mad anymore. I just marvel at the goofiness of it all.
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Twins Should Extend Tyler Mahle
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Schoenmann's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He's not particularly forthright about his health (if the comments we got from him were reflective of what he was saying to Twins staff), he's not particularly dominant, and he's not particularly young. I think we can do better elsewhere. -
Good win. Very good. Look, here's all I'm asking this year: If the Twins are going to be good, let them be good. Let's pile on, crush the division and build a little swagger for Fall. But if they're going to be bad, just be bad. Bring on change. Let's get out of this hazy middle ground, please. I know, I know, it doesn't always work that way.
- 41 replies
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- carlos correa
- edouard julien
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Here Come the White Sox
LastOnePicked replied to Matthew Taylor's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Here's what I think about the resurgent White Sox: Good. The Twins need more fierce competition, not less. If the Twins can't hang in this division, go rebuild. If they can, they should prove it against major league caliber competition. Who wants to win a joke division? Better competition will make the Twins better over time. It seems to have had that effect on the AL East. -
T-Ball Tee Notches First Big League Victory Over Twins
LastOnePicked commented on RandBalls Stu's article in Just For Fun
Now that's satire with a little teeth. I like it. And having the Rays return the tee for payroll flexibility? Brilliance. Twins aren't in top form right now, but the writers on TD are. -
I don't think they have a snowball's chance in a very hot place of winning the division. Cleveland will figure it out, just like last year. Chicago might even right the ship for 2nd place. The Twins have nothing in the tank.
- 27 replies
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- carlos correa
- michael a taylor
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"I choose to believe that the tides will turn, and the veterans on this team will awaken to some degree, enabling the Twins to pull away and avert all-out disaster. I choose that because the alternative is too depressing to contemplate." Good article, but being clear-eyed isn't depressing - it's liberating. We've just come off three games against a great team. Great teams are fun to watch. Draft. Scout. Buy low. Sell high. Develop. This is NOT the Twins. The Twins are not great. So, become great. Rebuild. Start now. Follow Baltimore or Tampa as an example. Let the youngsters play, Take your lumps with a new staff. Yup, it's 3-6 years of losing records. If we had started in 2021, we'd only be a few years from coming out the other end. I don't find what's happening depressing. When you have a FO that prioritizes injury-prone players and a poor manager who can't inspire, you get a middling team at best. We're just seeing the natural result. It just represents a chance for large-scale change. That's the only way forward.
- 89 replies
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- carlos correa
- byron buxton
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Should the Twins Try to Pull Off an Early Trade?
LastOnePicked replied to Lou Hennessy's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't think this can be overstated, or said loudly enough. Spot on. Twins should make plenty of trades this summer, but not as buyers. Addition by subtraction will do. -
We don't need him. 😃 Correa's postgame comments are alarming. This is becoming a mental issue for this team, and they are losing faith, fire and drive. Rocco is again completely incapable of providing a distraction, a spark or a redirection. Should have been fired in 2021, but certainly after 2022. Changes need to be made now. Like right now. Yes, this team has bigger issues. They need a new FO and new organizational philosophy. But this season can perhaps be salvaged with a new voice in the dugout.
- 114 replies
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- pablo lopez
- carlos correa
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I'm usually quick to fault the FO, but I actually applauded this trade. I guess I had assumed (perhaps wrongly) that Arraez was injury-prone (he had some bad knee issues here) and that Lopez was on the cusp of becoming a #1 starter. I should have remembered that these Twins can't develop or sustain a top starter, and that the injury bug seems to hit harder here than elsewhere. Maybe it's a team's energy or mojo or collective spark or who knows what. It's depressing (though I am happy for Luis). We'll see where all this goes. If it ends like this - with Arraez reaching the fabled .400 and Lopez regressing to an iffy #4 starter - this will go down as yet another great FO blunder. Perhaps their last one here?
- 52 replies
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- pablo lopez
- luis arraez
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I think the main problem is this - there's no one to get behind on this team. There's no "big dog" with a big bite. This FO has built around a perennially-injured former centerfielder, and then supplemented him with a former superstar SS who couldn't pass an offseason signing physical for other ballclubs. I don't like saying this about players I like, but you can't build around players who can't take the field or lead the charge. And with a milquetoast manager, there's no one for younger players to get inspired by or to at least have their yips diverted or distracted.
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Lessons Learned From the 2022 Trade Deadline
LastOnePicked replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It's not that trades are made that's the problem - it's HOW trades are made. When you give up massive value and get negative value in return, that's likely the result of haste and panic. If 40 man roster space is an issue, DFA veterans with no real upside or future (Kepler, Pagan) and let top talent develop for high-end return. Mahle had a history of injury, and Lopez had no history of success. These trades absolutely should be regretted.- 52 replies
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- tyler mahle
- jorge lopez
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Week in Review: Mixed Feelings
LastOnePicked replied to Nash Walker's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You're a Twins fan. You can answer that question already. :)- 32 replies
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- royce lewis
- max kepler
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Week in Review: Mixed Feelings
LastOnePicked replied to Nash Walker's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I understand your points, but when you're in a pennant race as Summer starts, don't you want every possible advantage you can get in the lineup? There is no advantage to Kepler at this point, and when you're losing tight games - where a single crucial at-bat here and there makes the difference - you need to put your best out there. This isn't some slump - this is who Kepler is. I think that's my biggest frustration with this organization - there's just no killer instinct. "Close enough is good enough, we stick with our guys, we played our best game, there's always tomorrow." That kind of attitude is perfectly fine for kid's sports, but I find it disgusting when used by or for professionals. What's worse is that the Twins will need these games later on. A big division lead means you've got buffer to rotate in youngsters. Hanging on in July means hasty deadline trades and additional injury stresses. But this club just cannot and will not learn from their mistakes.- 32 replies
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- royce lewis
- max kepler
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I think the division will stop doing us all of these favors soon. And when that happens, look out. .500 baseball won't cut it.
- 45 replies
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- joe ryan
- caleb thielbar
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My frustration in all this stems from being stuck in "win-now" mode. Smart rebuilding teams look to pass off their "fools gold" players to teams who have to make quick decisions at the trade deadline. The Twins were - and are - in a bind. No playoff wins for 20 years. Fanbase is disappearing. They probably had to do something, but poor decisions are made like this. I'm just afraid we're going to see the same thing happen again this year, and the future is going to continue to suffer to serve the not-too-promising present.
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Twins practicing catch and release again with their top competitors. Okay for fishing, but terrible for winning a division.
- 45 replies
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- joe ryan
- caleb thielbar
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