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Everything posted by LastOnePicked
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I hadn't watched a game all season, so I hopped on to Apple TV to watch last night. One game may not tell too much, but what it did tell me backs up your thoughts exactly. This is a classic Baldelli team: slow on the bases, sluggish in the field and unprepared to hold or expand a lead. There will be no playoffs if this kind of play continues.
- 48 replies
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- sonny gray
- carlos correa
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The Tyler Mahle Trade Was Still the Right Trade
LastOnePicked commented on Matthew Taylor's article in Twins
I struggle with the logic that a trade that turned out disastrously for one team - a trade that no one would ever make knowing the outcome - was the "right move." No, that just means that the Twins couldn't accurately discern the likely outcomes. Mahle wasn't hit by a liner, or struck by lightning, or slipped on ice. He was injured almost immediately (like Dyson and Paddack) and totally ineffective for the team, while the prospects they gave up are flourishing. These are the deals that create seasonal WAR deficits and maybe even scrap championship runs. It was the wrong move, period. Will they survive it? Maybe. But this FO continues to bleed talent, while taking risks on health. That's unwise.- 53 comments
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Rumor: Tyler Mahle to undergo Tommy John Surgery
LastOnePicked replied to CoasterProductions's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
No thank you to resigning. Players who have had TJ surgery are much more likely to experience another injury later on. Long past time for this FO to prove their ability to draft and develop impact arms in the rotation. -
Takeaways from the Twins-Yankees series
LastOnePicked replied to Melissa Berman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Great article but the Twins traded for Michael A. Taylor, not signed him. Regardless, a good addition.- 31 replies
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Beating the Yankees. Three up on Cleveland. My goodness, but this is fun. Let's have more fun like this all summer.
- 74 replies
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- joe ryan
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Might have that effect on us FANS, too. :)
- 63 replies
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- carlos correa
- kyle garlick
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Solano and Taylor - two acquisitions that are just starting to seem so, so smart. After the recent spate of injuries and the terrible Farmer hbp, this absolute NYY drubbing signals some real fight and guts in this team. And I love it.
- 69 replies
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- joe ryan
- edouard julien
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In the long history of excellent RandBall Stu's satire, this may be the crowning jewel. And no, I don't believe for a second that the TwinsDaily headline I woke up to this morning is real. Perhaps I will watch the deepfake "highlights" and read the ChatGPT-generated postgame anyways, just for fun.
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Chronic Overreactor Feeling Good About 162-0
LastOnePicked replied to RandBalls Stu's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Us chronic overreactors don't usually get these kinds of ups with the Twins, so let us savor it until Saturday please. Because right now, I fail to see how our dear Mr. Holman is even just a bit wrong. If anything, he's underselling it. They may not give up a run all year. -
Luck has changed for this club. We'll soon find out that the hard leg flop into third actually jostled something back into place for Buxton, and he feels like a million bucks tomorrow.
- 94 replies
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- trevor larnach
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A crisp shutout road victory? Yes, it's one little game, but this is the kind of thing that could get me on board real quickly for this club. Love it. Happy Opening Day, all.
- 94 replies
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- trevor larnach
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Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #2 Royce Lewis, SS
LastOnePicked replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Maybe we can skip the snark on this one. We disagree. That's all. But the results speak pretty loudly that the danger to Lewis' knees was more than "absolutely zero," as you oddly suggested in your earlier post. -
Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #2 Royce Lewis, SS
LastOnePicked replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I'm confused. How many of their CFs were drafted as SS and had spent the majority of their rehabs at SS coming back from a torn ACL that had delayed their careers? My guess is, not many. Banging up against a wall while running and leaping is likely quite dangerous to already-injured knees. Not sure why its controversial to suggest that what the Twins did was unwise. Unless the default answer to all of the Twins misfortunes and mistakes should just be "darn the luck." -
Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #2 Royce Lewis, SS
LastOnePicked replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I don't think this is accurate. The collusion with the wall is cited in multiple articles as the cause of the tear. -
Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #2 Royce Lewis, SS
LastOnePicked replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Well, the injury itself - and in just the first few innings of his appearance there - would suggest an evidence case count somewhat higher than zero. We can speculate on what we think normally happens in these cases, but the only solid evidence we have for what was right-wrong for Lewis is what actually did happen. Heck, don't take my word for it - take Royce's: “I'm more excited to make those plays at the wall, but it's a little more dangerous,” But, sure, the Twins can toss him right back out there when he gets to the bigs. I mean, what are the odds, right? -
Pitchers and Catchers Report (A Poem)
LastOnePicked replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Many Twins fans predict a late season clinch Pitchers and catchers report But all of this hype sounds like Whos to a Grinch. Pitchers and catchers report Stow all your hope talk because I'm not budgin' I'll firmly remain a Twins Fan Curmudgeon! Pitchers and catchers report. Nah, I have a little hope for this season. A little. Don't tell anyone. -
How Good is the Twins Bullpen?
LastOnePicked replied to Hunter McCall's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
"As the year progressed, Pagan slid further down the pecking order. Eventually, he found his footing and put on an excellent second half of the season. Most of his late-season work went unnoticed, as his reputation was already tarnished." I have to admit, this often-repeated faint praise of Pagan confuses me. Wouldn't almost ANY MLB reliever appear to be an improved pitcher when placed exclusively in low-leverage situations? It's like having a special bench hitter you only give at-bats when the opponent's position players are pitching in a blowout. Of course they're going to look good.- 38 replies
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Two roads diverged after 2022: rebuild or reload. The challenge with a rebuild is that it requires patience and a long-term vision. The challenge with a reload is that the frontline talent a team needs to get over the hump can't often be signed in free agency or traded for. I know I was calling for a rebuild, but ultimately I think I can respect that Falvey and Levine opted for reload. Perhaps most impressive to me is that they pulled off a trade that addressed reload needs and rebuild needs at the same time. But will it pay off? We'll see. The first injury will likely send some shivers through the clubhouse. The first blown save will resurrect the grim specter of 2022. It's going to take some very good managing to manage these bumps. I fear that in addressing the roster, the FO ignored the most glaring weakness with this team: the manager. But again, we'll see.
- 22 replies
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- carlos correa
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Twins Valentine's Day Cards!
LastOnePicked replied to Melissa Berman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
They are glorious. Great work. The Pagan one made my day.- 33 replies
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- griffin jax
- carlos correa
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Derek Falvey Isn't Wrong About the Bullpen
LastOnePicked replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
"Fewer outcomes in baseball are less aesthetically pleasing than a late blown lead." Oh, it's not just aesthetics - it carries a mental toll, too. The first save/hold that Pagan blows this year could take the wind out of this team's sails pretty quickly.- 22 replies
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Was the Bomba Squad Overrated?
LastOnePicked replied to Adam Neisen's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
2019 was fun and unexpected and unsustainable, but here's the price the organization paid for 2019 - it made an unaccomplished rookie manager seem much better than he really was. Rocco's performance has gotten steadily worse every year since. Last year was one of the most poorly-managed Twins seasons I've ever seen, culminating in a total season collapse from solidly in first in late summer to third-place-but-closer-to-last by fall. 2019 gave everyone in the organization a halo effect, giving some job security they really shouldn't have.- 56 replies
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Kirk Gibson Offers Hope for Alex Kirilloff
LastOnePicked replied to Hans Birkeland's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Just when I thought I was out of hope. Nice article. If I could humbly ask the baseball gods for a favor, it would be to give Buxton, Lewis and Kirilloff a chance to play the season with absolutely minimal pain and maximum mobility. It may be asking a lot, but I would love to see this young man in particular flourish at the big league level. -
Joe Ryan's impact on the future
LastOnePicked commented on Luke Thompson's blog entry in Luke Thompson
Also agree. Sell high. Restock the farm system, particularly if you're not drafting very high. It's a solid recipe for success. I liked the Arraez trade for the same reason. -
Maybe. But it probably depends on who you passed up along the way. A very good pitcher with a much smaller chance of needing TJ might be a lot better than an elite pitcher who is quickly re-injured. I'm sure someone on TD will do an article in 2028 on whom the Twins picked and whom they skipped. I'm hoping luck favors their choice, but don't think that's yet been the case.
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The Twins Built Consistency this Offseason
LastOnePicked replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Well, they could make the tough calls and make them wrong. Imagine hovering on the cusp of Wild card contention and again slicing up the farm system to bring in guys who instantly collapse. Kind of like 2022 all over again. I know folks think this offseason represents a push for consistent winning. I just see A LOT of question marks all over the diamond - more than you'll likely ever see in a contender. I can't shake the feeling it's delusion, and that we should have been entering Year 3 of a total 5-6 year rebuild instead.- 19 replies
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- carlos correa
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