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Reptevia

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Everything posted by Reptevia

  1. Reptevia
    “We'll never know why 2023 has gone how it has, but inconsistency has been the name of the game for the Twins”. When the whole team is under performing, you blame the coaches. It is statistically very unlikely that all the players expected to drive this club are all having career worst years at the same time. Not to mention that our prospects seem to do much better once they leave this organization.
  2. Reptevia
    Really no reason to do anything. This team isn’t good enough to compete outside the ALC. Seems wise to to hang onto prospects that are doing well and not trade those who aren’t but still may down the road. Admitting this is probably the smartest thing this FO has done.
  3. Reptevia
    All the aforementioned returners or three other guys could be hurt by the end of next week. Still probably won’t be enough to propel CLE past us.
  4. Reptevia
    There is no “later” for 35 yo. Only makes sense in a win now scenario.
  5. Reptevia
    This lineup is better without 2023 Buxton. Trade Kepler while he’s hot!
  6. Reptevia
    How would we replace his 4 wins???
  7. Reptevia
    Based on what? All the other pitchers they’ve developed??? I hope I live long enough to see these two picks debut.
  8. Reptevia
    I agree with most of this, but moving Kepler to CF would be a disaster. He already looks, most days, like he doesn’t want to be here. Not running out balls, terrible play on the base paths and league average Defense overall. If he’s put in a position by force, he’ll probably be even worse. Time to try to trade or DFA Kepler and Gallo. Buxton should be on the DL if he can’t play.
  9. Reptevia
    Gallo is on pace to produce 56 RBI. That is $232,142.85 per RBI. Is that a “deal”? Is that what the FO was hoping for?
  10. Reptevia
    Did the FO hire hitting coaches who preach a philosophy of selling out for HR’s, or are the coaches just doing what they’ve been told?
  11. Reptevia
    Fair point. I may be giving them too much credit. It is true that I assumed that the wunderkids were interpreting the data correctly. I do not know for a fact that they were. I assumed when they batted Kepler cleanup 56 times last year that they were following some metric that informed them it was a good idea. Maybe not? I also assumed that when they instruct the entire lineup to stand at the plate and swing like Stevie Wonder with a light saber that some metric was informing that instruction. Maybe not?
  12. Reptevia
    Um, no. I’m calling the underlying metrics suspect. When you say, “Successful players have this, this and this in common”, but then when other players share those traits and aren’t successful, it begs the question as to whether the original hypothesis is valid. The last three years are not a small sample size. Hardly small enough to be labeled an “outlier”.
  13. Reptevia
    What would you call it when the “expected outcomes” continuously fail to materialize? What metrics? Whatever metrics that are predicting these mythical “expected outcomes “.
  14. Reptevia
    Should have started article with: “Caution- Twin’s party line follows”. Sure he has a league average Era, but, but…G54fwa% is tops in the league! Blah, blah, blah. Transfer above to almost every player on this team. “We should have the best record in the league”! Simply bad luck. Again, maybe it’s time to question the validity of the underlying metrics?
  15. Reptevia
    They will return home from this road-trip in 2nd place. They probably won’t see 1st again this year. Time to flush the 100% nerd approach. We’ve seen the results. Other than 2019 fueled by a juiced ball, at this point, you really have to question the value (or at least the accuracy) of the underlying metrics.
  16. Reptevia
    I think, still being in its infancy, a lot of the data is unreliable. Management does not agree, despite what reality is telling them.
  17. Reptevia
    I have zero interest in signing a player who is playing lousy but “should” be better based on his analytics. We have a whole team of those guys.
  18. Reptevia
    This says more about the Twin’s ability to help prospects and manage MLB players than it does about these individuals.
  19. Reptevia
    Since this team is leading the league in K’s, I can only assume that Lewis and others are doing EXACTLY what they’re being told as far as approach. Unless they would get different advice in AAA (they wouldn’t), I don’t see the point in sending him down.
  20. Reptevia
    This sounds like a scapegoat move. A move simply to make a move to shake things up. If that’s the case, Castro is about 5th on the list of who to jettison. I like him better than Gordon at this point.
  21. Reptevia
    So…sellers then? I think the most likely place they will target is BP. Even so, they won’t find enough bullpen help to win games 2-1. The offense is a disaster. A philosophical disaster that is probably only cured by firing the philosophers.
  22. Reptevia
    Nonsense. Defensive WAR completely skews this list. It is completely overrated. I would bet 2/3 of Kepler’s “value” is based on defensive WAR. Having high defensive WAR at arguably the least important defensive position is a dubious distinction. Consequently, I reject your list.
  23. Reptevia
    They (the nerds) are not going to change anything, because they don’t believe they’re doing anything wrong. Analytics are based on “ expected” outcomes. When reality doesn’t reflect that, it’s an anomaly. I don’t know how pervasive the nerds are in controlling things on the field, but the other day during an interview, Rocco was discussing Ober’s last outing. He said that Ober was doing well, but then “he had to make a couple of pitches he didn’t want to make”. It made me think: why would a pitcher make pitches he didn’t want to throw? Who is calling the game? This coupled with another article reporting that Joe Madden doesn’t set the lineups for the Mets begs the question: how much “managing” is Rocco actually doing versus it being directed by the Nerds???
  24. Reptevia
    Re: Title. Are either of those things even possible?
  25. Reptevia
    Yup. Six games and we should give him a 10 year contract! Certain HOFer! The people on here are hilarious.
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