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Brandon

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Everything posted by Brandon

  1. Since Arreaz was traded for Lopez and a top 100 prospect and a lotto ticket prospect. There are lots of people here writing how disappointed they were. I am disappointed even though I know the trade was a good one. With so many people not happy how will that affect the Twins and for how long? Is there a bell curve to show how team revenues or attendance changes after popular players leave the organization after a trade? Do the TV ratings drop as well? I am sure some players wont change the needle much but could there be a drop of say 2500 in attendance for a month or two until the Twins are able to take a commanding lead in the Central division? that could be a net drop in attendance close to 100,000. would that affect us in 2024 payroll in some capacity? What other factors would come into play in this calculation. It just seems like there is something there that isn't being quantified or used in the trade valuation calculations. Knowing this could help the front office make trades that not only help the talent level but increase the Team and Fan Morale as well. Another way to look at this. is can the front office through marketing surveys know the popularity of a player and assign a WAR or some unit of value that can be used in negotiations for a trade. Another player example would be Joe Mauer. How would we value him as a fan favorite over other players in a potential trade scenario? I mean the front office never considered trading Joe because of the Fan Favorite value. so how do we measure it so it can be useful in trade negotiations?
  2. Dyson doesnt belong in the article. but you know who does? Pineda. the original injured pickup for the Twins. They signed him to rehab. Mahle is also a little iffy. Donaldson's calves were well documented and that wasn't a problem here. Maeda was a risk but not with the way his contract was structured. He does count though. Padduck Yep he was was a risk and is TJ'd again. Correa is not a distressed asset. He has an ankle that may cause issues down the line. but he hasn't missed time as a result and his contract reflects that risk with the lower number of years guaranteed. and I am not sure that Minnesota was all that close to acquiring Montas. Buxton's contract was reflective of his injury but yes this one counts. The contracts of the players who are of the injured variety have contracts to deal with the risk properly. And the Team does have depth to handle some of the injuries. Are these players the ones who were so injured we gave away the division last year? Do Ober and Alcala count? what about Duran, he was injured the year before he came up?
  3. my guestimated lineup: CF: Buxton SS: Correa 2B: Polanco 3B: Miranda LF: Gallo 1B: Killeroff DH: Larnarch RF: Kepler C Vazquez / Jeffers Bench is Farmer IF and Gordon OF and Garlick OF/ DH If Kepler is traded for prospects then Gordon plays RF and bats leadoff and everyone else in the lineup slides down a spot. Killeroff could swap out with Gallo and possibly Miranda once he shows he is healthy and hitting.
  4. Kepler can still play CF, Gordon can as well and Gallo in a pinch and I am sure Celestino will get more opportunities. The Twins do realize they should find a better CF as they tried for KCs Michael Taylor. but he isnt great either and there are not many options around. I do hope Buxton can get closer to 100 games in CF next season so we only need to divy up 60-65 games for others there.
  5. New Line Up: 1B Killeroff 2B Polanco SS Correa 3B Miranda C Jeffers / Vazquez OF Kepler OF Buxton OF Gallo DH Larnarch / Wallner / Gordon / Garlick Bench: Farmer Rotation: Lopez Gray Mahle Ryan Maeda With SWR, Ober, Varland, Winder, Dobnak and Balazovich all waiting for a chance.
  6. Clearly Salas is the key for the Twins to win this trade. If he comes up and is a solid SS or other position player and produces 3 WAR a season and Lopez can be good in the playoffs then the Twins win this trade. Its not just losing a high on base average player. But someone who also is loved by the fan base and bridges the gap to yesteryear when Carew was winning batting titles. We should win this trade based on talent received but its hard to keep interest up when fan favorites are traded. The Rays are not a fun overall team to follow cause of this and they win alot.
  7. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/01/mlbtr-poll-american-league-central-favorite.html who will win the Central? Don’t let Cleveland fans dictate this…. Vote now!
  8. Boras has lots of clients on the Twins. Jeffers, Killeroff and there are other prospects who use him as well.
  9. looks like we might have a 2 time sire of spring training on our hands. THat would be a cool feat.
  10. I like this extra depth.
  11. The team looks good going into spring training. I would like to see 1 more major league reliever signed and if we trade Kepler in a deal for a starting pitcher that would put the finishing touches on a solid offseason. Really the big need for this coming season is avoiding injuries. Though we do have lots of depth to handle injuries except the pen……
  12. Both Yankees and Marlins could use a CF like Kepler. The drop off in what is available at that position is huge after him. That is where Kepler’s value lies.
  13. Once upon a time Terry Ryan went on such a hot streak acquiring prospects he started having trouble acquiring them.
  14. Not many people have won the Sire award twice. Will that get LaMarre entrance to the Twins Hall of Fame someday? I think Dobnak could surprise. I would like to see him get some opportunities with the Twins if for no other reason then to help justify his contract. It would be cool if he was in the rotation in 2024 with Paddack, Ryan, Ober, Winder, Varland, and or SWR. The cheapest rotation in the division. Another player I want to see get some time with the Twins is David Banuelos. I just like the idea of a player we got for absolutely nothing make the team at some point. Remember we got him from Seattle for ability to spend 1,000,000 , more on international free agents. Seattle at the time was trying for Ohtani. So if he could provide 10 games and 25 plate appearances with positive value then we win that deal by a mile. Coulombe should get innings with the Twins if he can stay healthy. Castro will be first one up if an IF gets hurt so he can be the utility player while someone else gets the starts. but I hope Lee wins the Sire award and opens the season on the Twins. That would be impressive.
  15. I think the Tays tried signing players from Tampa (Boggs was one). They tried signing expensive free agents in 90s, and they found winning to be their best draw. They did sign Longoria, their SS Wander Franco, and Kevin Kiermaier to long term deals. I don’t know their financials so I don’t know if they could add another 50 million to payroll. I imagine their ops department cost more than other teams to find the talent and figure out how to maximize it. So I don’t blame them for what they do. The question is if they get their new stadium or get another revenue stream how will they handle that or will they relocate to Nashville?
  16. I just noticed on https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/01/2023-mlb-arbitration-tracker.html that the Twins have 7 out of 8 potential arbitration cases already under contract for next season. (When did this happen? I thought they were only focused on getting Correa back). Only Arreaz is left to work out an agreement. I wonder if this certainty with their players played a part in the Twins being willing to go higher in payroll. meaning they have more certainty that it wont go even higher because of this group. Your thoughts?
  17. He will get chances. Looks like he is a few minor adjustments away… mostly in the control area but does he have a third useable pitch to throw to lefties once in a while to mix it up?
  18. The Twins really didn’t have a big to do list this offseason. We needed a C and SS which we got, We still need a reliever, and maybe a top of rotation arm. After that just some tinkering.
  19. Lopez Max Meyer An A ball prospect for Wallner Lewis Kepler
  20. One last thought, with the Mets in top tier of financial penalties for payroll the costa for an injury are significantly higher for the Mets then the Twins. I doubt teams can get insurance to pay penalties on contracts too.
  21. We will possibly sign 1 and with the traded for pitcher and Ryan then Ober, Winder, SWR, Varland …. Rounding out next years rotation.
  22. Does this signing mean we don’t get to fire the front office?
  23. We want a starter for 2 reasons 1. To be a top of rotation pitcher who will give us a better chance in the playoffs. 2. And this is likely the bigger reason. We have 3 starters headed to free agency after this season and having another controllable good starter helps us compete next season.
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