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Brandon

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Everything posted by Brandon

  1. Brandon
    In planning SS for next season I see our first starting pitcher signed in FA is a fly ball pitcher. So we target a more fly ball pitchers and.... Anyone can fill in at SS. Maybe a platoon of Gordon and Polanco until we can call up Lewis or Martin......
  2. Brandon
    Texas has nor real contracts on the books this offseason I think it was less than 6 million. Their arbitration class is really low too. So they have a completely blank slate heading into the offseason. So paying 2 players 50 million doesnt create problems yet.
  3. Brandon
    The 11 million option tells us he is going to start. I see him being in the Katz mode of pitchers. 30 starts and 150 innings. If he can keep the era around 4 he will be valuable in that role and the 11 million option is picked up.. There are still lots of solid starters to sign or trade for. I wonder if we might be able to make a bid for Story or Correa if they linger on the market. That would be the benefit of signing inexpensive starters. If we get Pineda back reasonably then trade for a starter making 10 million that leaves us with 25 million or so for a SS and reliever.
  4. Brandon
    I think Bassitt is the best player to acquire. Being 32 or 33 and with 8.225 million in career earnings, he is probably the most anxious to sign a 3 or 4 year contract in the 40 to 65 million range. Knowing Oakland they will want value and quantity. Celestino, Moran and Sands and Cave to fill in as the prospects develop. A cheap lotto ticket for them.
  5. Brandon
    On the plus side we will have money for a Story signing at this rate. We will just have to out-score our opponents 8-7, 9-8, 7-6.... to win games. Also we will have the ability to release pitchers or swap out with those who develop in the minors. We have lots of depth and more on the way. now we just need the #3 and #2.5 starter
  6. Brandon
    I don't mind this signing provided we get 2 more good pitchers. I am not as thrilled with it.. Maybe Pineda and a starter from Oakland. So i can feel better.... .
  7. Brandon
    If we can help Bundy control the HRs allowed he can be good. He doesn't walk alot of people and he K's a fair amount. but he gives up 1.5 HRs per 9 and last year 2.0 per 9. in 2020 he allowed .7 and was in the CY Young conversation. His other numbers hits, walks, and K's are pretty constant.
  8. Brandon
    I agree he doesn't have the stats. He needed at least 800 more AB with around a .730ish OPS minimum to get there. and even then he would just be at the bottom of the line of qualifying this way.
  9. Brandon
    There are still lots of options out there for starters in the range of where I expect the Twins to play. I think a trade for one is out there, a Pineda signing, and ........ I would actually be happy if the Twins just resigned Pineda before the lockout to a 2 year deal. I am not as high on Ray as others. I am fine if we sign him and fine if we don't. The Twins front office met their critical objective with me in terms of getting Buxton resigned. While last year was awful for the Twins FO in picking FA, they have had success there in the past. as long as whoever they sign get a full spring training in, (meaning if they sign a starter during spring training, then that pitcher should start the season on the DL so they can get a more complete spring training in and be able to compete when they arrive in the Twin Cities). Then I am good.
  10. Brandon
    Tori checks lots if extra boxes for reasons to be in the Hall. Minority, great with team mates, media, loved by fans, winner, so if you can justify with counting stats like 900XBH or 2600 hits or 525 2Bs or 375 HRs 1500 RBI, 9 gold gloves and 200 career steals. All of which were within possibility with 2 more seasons, Torii would be in the Hall. With 800 or so more ABs he would likely hit or been close to those numbers ....
  11. Brandon
    I would tender all of them. The most questionable decision is a low cost decision that I hope the FO isn't too worried about. Coloumbe is the biggest question and at 800k or 1 million is not too much for a pen arm. Rogers probably depends on progress from surgery. But I don't see nontendering him.
  12. Brandon
    So if we can sign a pitcher now before the lock out...... Perfect...... We would be set up to trade for a starter and sign a desperate pitcher at a cut rate due to spring training being underway..... Too bad Kluber signed already....
  13. Brandon
    I feel like he is just short. Another 800 or so ABs might have given him enough counting stats accross the board. I did an analysis on him a while back. I think Tori had 6 All Star appearances. 8 seems to be the number for guarenteed enshrinement. With those extra 800 or so AB Tori could push his career extra base totals to over 900. His career steals to 200 his career hit total to over 2600 and his RBI total to over 1525. At that point he would have a case as an all round player with his 9 gold gloves and media and fan favorite. Where he is at now, I put his odds in the 10 to 20 percent chance range. One thing he has going for him is i doubt anyone suspects him of using steroids back then. While he was only a 110 OPS hitter he did that against alot of steroid users so that may help his case. Was he really 110 or was he a 125 against a nondoping field? How much did steroids affect the competition during his career? I think if this narrative gets pushed alot his odds go up.
  14. Brandon
    I haven't heard anything about his preferences. We knew Shoteni wanted a west coast smaller market team. I know nothing of what this other player wants.
  15. Brandon
    Since Simmons will get more than 3 million. There are several team interested in him including the Yankees. If we can use the 5 million in savings toward the Buxton extension that would. be great. I wonder if the Twins are waiting to see if the Yankees sign Seager to trade Buxton to NY for their SS prospects.
  16. Brandon
    Why not do both. Sign a good middle of the road Free Agent like Pineda and trade for a rotation arm like Bassit. and now you have 2 rotation arms for around or just over 20 million for 2022. then we are 1 starter away and a SS and a bullpen arm from a good offseason.
  17. Brandon
    The Twins are loaded with starting pitchers in the minors who are only a year away. Duran, Balazovich, SRW, Cole, Winder.... There is also Canterino, Enlow, Varland just to name a few others. I would think the Twins would want a starter on a 1 year deal and another on a 2 year deal and a third starter on any contract because of this.
  18. Brandon
    Among the A's starters Bassitt makes the most sense to acquire on several fronts. 1. He costs less in terms of prospect capital. and 2. The cost to extend him will not be too much. He could probably be extended for a 2 year or 3 year for 15-18 million per season range. I would think a 3 year 45-50 million gets it done. Bassitt is 33 and has made only 8.25 million thus far. the guarantee of that size should be a big value to him and his family. To extend Montas will likely cost more in years and money per season. and the talent difference between the two is not that big. To get Montas I think the Twins would need to include a SP prospect and position player prospect and maybe 1 or 2 lottery tickets in low A or Moran or Gore also make sense. I imagine the prospect pool that Oakland would want to deal from would include: Arreaz, Rooker, Miranda, Jeffries, Larnarch, Martin, and Lewis. I imagine Killeroff is off limits but we see how the front office hates players they did not bring in so Rooker is probably less likely to be dealt then Killeroff. Also this makes Miranda a top prospect to deal too.... I could see Oakland wanting Miranda and Rooker and Moran and a low a lotto ticket. that would replace the power lost from dealing Chapman and Olsen. and give a bullpen piece.
  19. Brandon
    Kluber would be the third starter type brought in. In my scenario above. Pineda and Bassitt were the two big names and Kluber is the third. remember we have lots of starting pitching prospects who should be ready for a turn starting in 2022 season so if someone gets hurt or is underperforming we will have options. having a 1 year commitment helps too cause we will likely want that rotation spot next year for the young guys coming up. (Duran, Winder, Balazovich, Richardson-Woods, and Cole with Canterino not far behind them.
  20. Brandon
    I will say if the Twins trade Buxton and he signs an 8 year 120 million contract with 30 million in incentives, There will be very few people bothering to go to Twins games until we have a trustworthy new front office. and the fact that the current offer is 1 year and 50 million less than that even.......Lets wait and see but wow this is bad from where we sit.
  21. Brandon
    So far my top 50 predictions are way off. I had Noah Syndergaard excepting the QO and Rodriguez in SF.
  22. Brandon
    I think Bassitt should be their top pitcher to acquire. At his age and only one year of control, the cost to obtain him will not be as high. I thought he had 2 years of control remaining. plus Bassitt hasn't made as much at this point in his career. The Twins could offer him a 2 or 3 year extension for around the 15-20 million per season. I doubt he wouldn't be amenable at this stage of his career. He is entering his age 33 season having made 8.25 million thus far. a 3 year 45 million contract for his age 33, 34 and 35 seasons. or 4 and 64 through age 36. so for Minnesota he is going to cost less in talent, less for an extension and he has less mileage on his arm. How does this not have Minnesota written all over this deal? And from Oakland the cost to get his would be some prospects. probably something like Winder and Moran and maybe a low a flyer or filler. If Oakland is committing to trading their top 5 players for prospects they will wat players who are close to ready so they can come up next season and return to contention quickly. If those 5 players can net them 8-10 strong prospects plus another 5-10 low level players plus they do have a good farm system if I remember correctly then they would return to contention quickly.
  23. Brandon
    The teams dealing starting pitching thus far: Miami, Cincinnati. and Oakland. only 1 is seeking major league offense and the other 2 are going into a full rebuild so prospects....
  24. Brandon
    From the group in the article, I see Kluber as the top choice. I see the Twins with 2 short term contracts a 1 year and a 2 year deal. The third starter could be for any number of years. The Twins have too much pitching close to the majors to not give several of them opportunities. Kluber on a 1 year deal. 12 million Pineda on a 2 year deal 11 million per year Chris Bassit in a trade with Oakland 10.5 million total cost is 33.5 million so we have money for other needs.
  25. Brandon
    Here are a few thoughts to consider. The Twins have something in the neighborhood of 5 or 6 solid starting Pitching prospects in AA or AAA going into 2022. Jhoan Duran, Balazovich, Richardson-Woods, Winder, Sands, and Valimont, plus Canterino and Varland and Enlow when he recovers from injury. I think it would be smart for the Twins to get a starting pitcher with a year of control, another with 2 years, and the third starter we acquire this offseason doesn't matter. By reducing the amount spent on our rotation in 2023 and 2024 will allow us to keep more of our offensive core together longer. So that would be Kluber on a 1 year deal, Pineda on a 2 year deal, and the other starter can be by trade or signing and can be 2 or more years of team control. I too was thinking of a Buxton to NY trade this morning. and when i did that and we acquired a top SS prospect and a starting pitcher the team budget came in 17 million under budget cause we signed one less starting pitcher and low cost SS of either Villar or Galvis and an OF who can play CF some like Pillar. This was so Martin or Celestino could get the call up about a month or two into the season.
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