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Brandon

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Everything posted by Brandon

  1. Brandon
    Nick you make some good points like Margot not being trusted in CF and Farmer not being trusted at SS but have you ever seen the Angels play? They are a team that goes and signs the big name and doesn’t have money left in the budget for depth. Comparing the two teams the Twins made the right call. The bench is performing at the far and wrong end of their bell curve of possible outcomes. I sure hope that evens out some. Last week it seems to against less good competition. On the good news side of things, Correa should be back any day as is Duran and Topa. Farmer will get a little more time to make a splash to keep his roster spot until LEwis comes back. Miranda is hitting like he wants to stay here. Santana should also be on notice with Miranda playing well. But I think things are evening out and it’s a matter of time before Cleveland’s offense slows and our picks it up a notch. We are back to 4th in the league in HRs.
  2. Brandon
    Nick you make some good points like Margot not being trusted in CF and Farmer not being trusted at SS but have you ever seen the Angels play? They are a team that goes and signs the big name and doesn’t have money left in the budget for depth. Comparing the two teams the Twins made the right call. The bench is performing at the far and wrong end of their bell curve of possible outcomes. I sure hope that evens out some. Last week it seems to against less good competition. On the good news side of things, Correa should be back any day as is Duran and Topa. Farmer will get a little more time to make a splash to keep his roster spot until LEwis comes back. Miranda is hitting like he wants to stay here. Santana should also be on notice with Miranda playing well. But I think things are evening out and it’s a matter of time before Cleveland’s offense slows and our picks it up a notch. We are back to 4th in the league in HRs.
  3. Brandon
    26 games into the season Cole Sands is on pace to pitch 72 2/3 innings giving up 37 hits 6 Earned Runs 12 walks and 100 strikeouts.
  4. Brandon
    If we are going to convert a reliever to a starter we should try it with a pitcher less likely to get injured like Jax or Sands. But looking at our rotation it’s fine right now. Woods-Richardson is off to a solid start and if he can keep it up or atleast keep a sub 4.00 era he is fine there. Paddack is struggling as can be expected Ober has a 1.5 ERA in his last 4 starts throwing 24 innings. Ryan has a 3.45 ERA and Lopez is a little off but he ain’t going anywhere. I am not following our minors much, how is our AAA rotation doing? I wouldn’t touch Duran’s role in the pen.
  5. Brandon
    The Twins also saved 5.25 million in payroll and immediately signed Carlos Santana to play 1B. I imagine that should factor into the return as well. I wonder if this deal was pre arranged before the trade and we can either say he was indirectly a part of the trade return as his salary definitely is. And Santana bat is starting to heat up after a slow start.
  6. Brandon
    So if he goes down just long enough for the Twins to keep him an extra year……
  7. Brandon
    Don't forget the legend of Rich Becker. He had a 92 run season in 96 with 31 2Bs and 12 HRs and 19 SBs. not too shaby.
  8. Brandon
    I think that what Nick is saying in using the xwOBA stat is that it shows the odds of improvement moving forward a very high if he continues to hit the way he has thus far. more of his line drives will find holes and we will have better results. statistically this is accurate thus a good point.
  9. Brandon
    Lewis did say it was more of a cramp than a strain and he is already feeling better. He still had an MRI and we will know more today. Hopefully we dodged a bullet and he just needs another day or two. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/03/injury-notes-twins-e-rod-dodgers-jackson.html
  10. Brandon
    Great, now I’m going to root for this guy I’ve never heard of before and hope he has a long MLB career
  11. Brandon
    Well if the pitcher who throws 104 is only throwing 101 at this point of the season that is significantly less torque and he should be able to handle that lower level of stress on his body.
  12. Brandon
    I agree the Twins are looking for market in efficiency. Maeda elbow was deemed a prime candidate for tommy John surgery when he came over from Japan. That is how the Dodgers signed him to the 3 million guarantee with 10 million per year incentives. He was moved to the pen to save on the incentives. The Twins did well in this injury acquisition. Mahle was returning from a dead arm / tired shoulder when we traded for him. He seemed fine otherwise. That is why the high cost in prospects he wasn’t deemed the big injury risk. He just got hurt. The Twins won the Pineda signing and that became a new trend thus taking away the inefficiency bonus we got. Gray was just a straight up trade. And with what I read in the papers it seemed the Mariners were trying to trade prospects for Polanco but the Twins publicly said any trade would have to help the current team. I bet that is how Descafani ant Topa ended up in the trade. The Mariners were probably trying to trade other prospects while Minnesota was trying to trade for one of their better young starters. The trade we got looks like a compromise to get a deal done. I think the Twins were hoping for 10-20 starts before he went down. Everyone is complaining that the Twins haven’t developed pitching but don’t take into account how much 2020 hurt development. It happened right at a pivotal point. Enlow among others missed a key season of development. The pitching pipeline seems to be filling now as we have quite a few pitching prospects at AA and AAA this season. I for one am happy with the job this front office did this offseason with the resources they had.
  13. Brandon
    New revenue streams will also help. Probably more than new owners. Maybe you can focus on helping the Twins generate an extra 60-80-100 million a season so they can add to payroll.
  14. Brandon
    The Twins led the AL in HRs last season. I think they tied for the lead but whatever. They lost Gallo and Taylor and traded Polanco from their totals and added Margot and Santana. The Twins should still hit over 200 HRs as a team and be a top 5 HR hitting team in the AL.
  15. Brandon
    Here is how I would rank our rotation in terms of durability. 1 Varland. I think he could handle 180-200 innings. He has shown to be durable. The question with him, will his ERA be around 4 so he can pitch those innings or 5+ and spend time in AAA. 2. Lopez. He can also pitch 180-200 innings 3. Ober. He seems to be in the 160-180 range 4. Ryan. He also seems to be in the 160-180 range 5. Paddack. He is coming back from injury so expect 120-140 innings we can work in depth options from here. If we have another major injury, we have more prospect trade capital to go get a starter if need be.
  16. Brandon
    I don’t think Lorenzen would sign for less than 8 million. I think he could get 10 million on a 1 year deal. It’s the 2nd year he wants that is killing his market.
  17. Brandon
    Dobnak is one step closer to making it back to the show. I feel like he could be a Bundy type of results pitcher a 5 inning 4.5-5 ERA 5th starter if we need one. So we will be fine as that should be the lowest our 5th starter floor goes.
  18. Brandon
    I was thinking that our bullpen was pretty good without Graterol in it and is really looking good this year. so do we really need another reliever at this point? I think the trade is win / win for all involved. Maeda salary was a guaranteed 3 million with incentives. so yes we did real well because we couldn't get the team we had last year if his salary was a guaranteed 10-13 million could we? no Correa and we would have a black hole at SS right now.
  19. Brandon
    It’s nice to see so many prospects are all stars at AAA meaning we have depth ready or almost ready for time in MLB.
  20. Brandon
    Greg Maddox is the pitcher model that I consider as he never threw too hard and was very efficient with his pitches. Obviously not all results are equal. I am not a professional itch analyst maybe the 40% number is high maybe just take something off 10-25 pitches a game. But I do see merit in picking spots to dial it back to save more bullets for when really needed. Also in blowout games starting pitchers would take stuff off their pitches and not worry about giving up a few runs in games they already won. This was done back in the 90’s Also Ashbury. I think you have good points. I’m bouncing ideas from them
  21. Brandon
    It depends on how you use your less stress pitches. I think the curveball is less stress than a fastball. Also you can throw just off the plate if you want to take something off the fastball. I remember Jack Morris would throw a Euphis pitch every once in a while to throw hitters off. Just gotta get creative with your strategy and have a plan for each at bat.
  22. Brandon
    Nit picking but Simeon Woods-Richardson has already debuted. So he won’t be making his debut this season for the first time. Also this is a good article. The Twins don’t draft many high School pitchers for good reason. A college pitcher is closer to the majors and more developed making them less costly with more success to develop.
  23. Brandon
    I wonder how much it helps if a pitcher does something like 2 high stress pitches then a low stress pitch then a high stress pitch then a low stress then 2 high stress……… Just to give the elbow a breather in game. I wonder how much that helps protect against the arm?
  24. Brandon
    Gallo would have been a successful hitter with us if he could get his average in the .220 + range. His power and walks were good. It was his strike outs and below .200 average that made him ineffective. The strikeouts were more livable with the higher batting average. See his past results he was good with a .220 average and bad when below it.
  25. Brandon
    His power is legit. I expect 25-35 HRs out of him with 550 ABs this season. The question is his ability to get on base. Can he continue to get hit at his current pace of 26 times per 162 games? That plus the projected 59 walks per 162 games and you can see the HBP is a big part of the added OBP. So if he only gets hit 5 times then I think we will see a .040 drop in his OBP. Going from .370 to .330 is a big Jim down and that is with no other regression. But for some players getting hit is part of their game. Biggio is a player that comes to mind. He had 6 seasons of over 20 HBP. Other than that as long as Wallner can keep his batting average over .220 he will be successful same as Gallo would have been.
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