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Twins GFP

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Everything posted by Twins GFP

  1. Twins GFP
    I do not disagree with your assessment. But everyone is acting like there is a ton of smoke regarding Kepler being traded when in actuality there really is none.
  2. Twins GFP
    Being reported at 3/$30m. Really like this get.
  3. Twins GFP
    Not sure I see any fit here if we are talking OF for OF. Yankees have nothing the Twins want. Diamondbacks are in a situation similar to the Twins
  4. Twins GFP
    I am not trying to sound snarky here, but outside of MLB Trade Rumors reporting on Aaron's Gleeman's vague Athletic article, has there been any validation that the Twins are truly looking to move Kepler? I do not recall seeing anything anywhere.
  5. Twins GFP
    I am not going to attempt to swing any of the "trade Kepler" opinions, but I do think some of the discussions here regarding his value are accurate: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/12/max-kepler-has-drawn-trade-interest.html
  6. Twins GFP
    Years since last playoff appearance: Phillies - 10 Tigers - 8 Angels - 8 Royals - 7 Pirates - 7 Rangers - 6 An absolute joke? I think your vitriol needs some perspective... Again, the Twins have been in the playoffs 3 times in the last 6 years. Last year they were in 1st place on Aug 7. They were 1 game out on Sept 5. It is not hard to argue that they should have made the playoffs last year. You can complain about them falling apart at the end of the season. You can complain about them losing in the playoffs. But I think any of those teams listed above would rather be in our shoes than their own when it comes to results.
  7. Twins GFP
    By the way, this article reads like we are the Detroit Lions. The Twins have been in the playoffs 3 of the past 6 years. They should have gone last year as well. Don't act like the world is over because we aren't spending $250m every year on payroll. Do I want them to spend more? Yes. But even if they don't they will still be in the playoff chase.
  8. Twins GFP
    The opening sentence is not accurate. Both total attendance and per game attendance were lower in 2021 then they were in 2022. We can discuss the reasons for that, but I do not believe the on-field product is completely to blame for the lower numbers. Some context is warranted.
  9. Twins GFP
    I respectfully disagree. HIs pedigree alone is worth a minor league contract. Couple of years of arm rest doesn't hurt. No problem taking a flier here.
  10. Twins GFP
    Twins are going to add two catchers to the 40 man at some point this winter. One will be straight up org filler, the other will be Jeffer's backup/platoon. Everybody you listed will cost more in prospects than the Twins are willing to give up. Do not look for any major moves here either.
  11. Twins GFP
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/12/rangers-nearing-deal-with-andrew-heaney.html View full rumor
  12. Twins GFP
    Per the Athletic via ESPN, San Diego offered Trea Turner a contract larger than the $341m Lindor got from the Mets. Turner turned it down to stay closer to family in Philly. If this is accurate, this Twins ability to sign Correa may be a lot lower than most of us think...
  13. Twins GFP
    Multiple major league ready prospects? Lopez cost 4 guys no higher than A ball Fulmer cost a AA pitcher with a 7+ ERA Mahle cost two A ball players and Spencer Steer I think we have different opinions on major league ready prospects. edit: Not to misquote you... close to major league ready prospects.
  14. Twins GFP
    Not to change the subject too much, but an interesting name you also see near the top of these lists is Joey Gallo. Would like to see what kind of improvement he sees this year. He could be a potential flier candidate...
  15. Twins GFP
    I have seen various articles and numbers putting him near the top. I don't want to argue 2nd vs 3rd, what exact number of hits were lost (my quotes were from one of the articles not listed below). Here are some of the articles with that data, you will see Kepler pop up a lot near the top. https://www.si.com/mlb/2022/11/21/banning-infield-shifts-impact https://www.pitcherlist.com/no-more-shifts-could-mean-a-lot-more-hits/ https://theathletic.com/2771363/2021/08/26/nothing-unlucky-about-it-six-years-into-his-twins-career-why-are-max-keplers-batting-averages-so-low/ (paywall) A little more help from closer to home: https://www.twinkietown.com/2022/3/9/22967255/mlb-baseball-mn-twins-the-shift-is-going-away-which-twin-stands-to-gain-the-most-max-kepler-lockout https://zonecoverage.com/2022/mn-twins-news/how-will-the-shift-ban-impact-the-twins/
  16. Twins GFP
    Looking at the Twins landscape right now, what should the Twins pay to land Vasquez? You are talking a 3-4 year contract for a 32 year old catcher. He would probably play 80-90 games/year for us. There is a market for him. Personally I would go 2/$20m with a 3rd year team option for $12m at the most.
  17. Twins GFP
    I have discussed this ad nauseum in other articles, but, to review: 1) He is 2nd in MLB in hits lost to the shift over the last few years, a 50 point swing in his BA. Data shows he has a strong chance to see an offensive resurgence now that the shift rules have changed. 2) His contract is not outrageous. Maybe a small overpay. 3) Outside of Nimmo, there are no "guaranteed" improvements over Kepler in the current FA market. Each come with issues. 4) Kepler is a known quantity to the Twins. That is a huge factor. (If you question that, look at how the Twins are treating Correa vs. the other FA shortstops). The Twins have arguably bigger issues to deal with. I would prioritize LF over RF right now. Find an offensive threat there. But I would not argue if a true upgrade fell in their lap and the Twins replaced him. (FWIW, if I am Max Kepler, I am going to the Twins and asking to play as much CF as possible this Spring. Positional flexibility will go a long ways towards his next contract. Playing a strong CF could also keep him in MN as their 3rd/4th OF)
  18. Twins GFP
    May be semantics here, but that is not setting a deadline, that is moving forward. If they could sign Bogaerts today (for right contract), and Correa is still undecided, they would sign Bogaerts. Nothing to do with a deadline. Boras takes the approach that the market is irrelevant. He knows what he wants his players to get and he usually gets it somewhere. Very rarely do things not work out for him. If it is Correa or nothing, the Twins may have already tipped their hand. But they will not go back to Boras and say "too late"
  19. Twins GFP
    I KNOW!!!! Then if you add Judge to that for only $40m/yr, and Rodon for $25m/yr, the Twins would have a chance to compete in the Central!!!!!!!!! [Apologies for the sarcasm, I couldn't help myself]
  20. Twins GFP
    The problem with ultimatums is that you are attempting to close the door. In what world would the Twins close the door on Correa? You close the door by signing another big 4 shortstop. I find it extremely hard to believe that if the Twins sign a stopgap to a 1 year contract and Correa comes back a week later saying he wants to sign with the Twins, the Twins would say no. Signing Correa is not going to stop them from going after other players. They could sign Rodon and still have Correa if he wanted to come here. The market just needs to play out. Don't handicap yourself by making threats you won't back up.
  21. Twins GFP
    If anybody has read any of the other Rule 5 articles over the last few days, let me attempt to summarize a response that the title of this article is asking: No.
  22. Twins GFP
    I think the premise here is a little misguided. It's not necessarily about HOW much they spend, but WHO they spend it on. Buxton's contract is very team friendly for what he brings to the table. He will gat paid more by producing more. To plug a dollar amount on the team salary and think that means they are going to win is wishful thinking. There is a correlation between higher salaries and wins, but salary alone does not make MN a premium destination. This is why there is a true internal push to resign Correa. His name alone will help in recruiting talent here, regardless of the dollars.
  23. Twins GFP
    Very true. But after I type this, I am going to go buy a lottery ticket and think about what may come....
  24. Twins GFP
    When Kent Hrbek was still playing for the Twins, he gave an interview where he said he wanted to retire and become a masked professional wrestler under the name "Tyrannosaurus Rex". I can read between the lines here... sounds like the Twins have a 1B coming out of retirement!
  25. Twins GFP
    Santana wasn't technically a Rule 5 pick by the Twins. He was a Rule 5 pick for the Marlins, then the teams swapped R5 picks giving the Twins Santana.. The Twins have had some success pulling guys out of the draft: Shane Mack Scott Diamond Ryan Pressly They have also lost a little as well: RA Dickey This article is a few years old, but gives a nice overview of the Twins R5 history: https://twinstrivia.com/twins-rule-5-draft-history/
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