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Twins GFP

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Everything posted by Twins GFP

  1. Twins GFP
    How quickly everyone forgets the one-hit wonders of the past... As it stands today, Miranda is probably your starting 3B. Everybody better hope he figures it out, because there is no safety net at the moment.
  2. Twins GFP
    As with most of the moves being made right now, it is impossible to get a read on everything until we start Spring Training and have a more holistic view. That being said, not sure why anybody would argue about a team building cheap depth. The Twins rest people all of the time, this is a decent move for your 5th infielder, and a also provides a decent stopgap until they are ready to move up one of the younger players. I really like this move.
  3. Twins GFP
    There we go, the million dollar idea. A new pitching metric: Outing Effectiveness (OE). How many outings does a RP give up zero runs? What is their OE percentage? Could factor in inherited runners as well. I think this, coupled with ERA, gives a stronger picture of the effectiveness of a RP.
  4. Twins GFP
    I would be very interested to know how this number correlates to other success measures (ERA, etc.) across the league. Logic would dictate there is a direct correlation, but the limited appearances and innings of RP could easily skew those numbers.
  5. Twins GFP
    I think it was 240 innings, not really enough to know. If this is the route, I am hoping so.
  6. Twins GFP
    Rendon played 47 games last year. The Angels picked up Urshela as 3B insurance, with some SS backup. The type of pickup a big-market team can afford to make
  7. Twins GFP
    Lewis is out for a good chunk of the year. Lee hasn't seen one major league pitch, MIranda is unproven at third base. Right now, they do not have a major league 3B. Putting a lot of unproven young guys at key positions is the textbook definition of a rebuild. Look at the roster as-is, and you will see a ton of 1-2 year guys. My comment was not to be taken as fact, but more of keeping the antennas up. We need to wait and see what happens with other higher salary guys: Kepler, Gray... there was some rumblings of Polanco being trade bait earlier this year. I am withholding further judgement until the entire offseason plays out
  8. Twins GFP
    I don't think Arraez is a long term option at 3B, doubt his knees will hold up to the rigors. 1B may be the best fit for him.
  9. Twins GFP
    A lot of logic in this response... But it feels like the return was a bit low. This move also smells to me of a rebuild, but I will withhold judgement. If we start seeing Kepler go for nothing and Polanco go... this ride will start to get very bumpy
  10. Twins GFP
    I didn't know there was a demand to bring him back, this is the first I have heard of it.
  11. Twins GFP
    The Twins will be in on Correa, but I don't think they will ultimately get him. I think the Twins familiarity with Correa is 90% of the reason they are willing to make a run at him. I can't see them making a real run at any of the other big name SS unless they can get them on a shorter term. The Twins shy away from long term contracts for guys they don't know. The Donaldson experiment was a bust, not because of his numbers, but because of him being a [insert expletive description here]. Anybody else they bring in will be for 2-3 years max.
  12. Twins GFP
    Not a huge fan of the minimalistic look. Look cheap. M star hats are horrible. The "Twin CIties" jerseys are ok. Ambivalent to the rest. I am a huge fan of the baby blues. I am extremely disappointed they are not in the mix.
  13. Twins GFP
    I would not argue if the Twins felt Pagan needed to go. However, I think they should keep him, put him in low-leverage situations and see if he can gain trust. With his stuff, he provides a modicum of insurance for the late inning guys. Paddack is extremely cheap. Both he an Mahle have a track record of success and warrant a pickup (as well as the perception of sunk cost in the trades if they release them) for a team starving for pitching. I can not come up with one reason for any of the others to be non-tendered. Letting any of those guys go for absolutely nothing makes zero sense.
  14. Twins GFP
    Would you rather have Kepler at $10M or Renfroe at $11M? I am assuming Renfroe can't stay with a team because he is either a horrid defender or a horrid clubhouse presence. $11m is not a huge price tag for that kind of offensive output.
  15. Twins GFP
    I continued to be shocked there is even a discussion of whether Urshela will be tendered a contract. In what world would the Twins just throw away a player who was one of their better offensive players last year, that plays a position of need in the system, and that has a relatively cost controlled contract on a one-year deal. On a larger note, looking through your list, all of these decisions are easy tenders. They all get offered. $35M for 8 players that should be positive contributors next year? Why is this even a discussion? Amazing...
  16. Twins GFP
    Every name, every trade proposal, every potential signing needs to fall into one of two categories: 1) Upgrade 2) Depth I don't think Pham provides either for the Twins.
  17. Twins GFP
    That is a big number considering the perceived generally poor condition of our minor league system at the moment.
  18. Twins GFP
    I was just looking at Gallo the other day. I think he is a candidate for improvement in 2023, but this would be a fairly huge gamble by the FO. If you could get him on an incentive laden contract I would be ok. Something like 1/$5 with incentives based on AB. Gotta keep that batting average over .220 Signing him would provide a level of insurance for Gordon/Kepler...
  19. Twins GFP
    If the Twins are going to spend player capital to acquire a player, the real question is if any of these guys are worth it. Happ would be nice, but will cost a ton in assets. If they are intent on making a trade, then I would rather they blow it up and go after a huge name that would help them, not nickel and dime on small step ups...
  20. Twins GFP
    Urshela is not being non-tendered. That topic is lunacy. The only reason to look at non-tenders at this time is for potential 5th OF (which we don't need) or BP fliers. Not sure what is out there at this point, but nothing exciting ...
  21. Twins GFP
    The only name I would consider here is Haniger, but only if the price is right. We don't need a full time DH and the Drury/Urshela comparison is close enough that I would run with what you know instead of gambling on the unknown. The FA outfield market is pretty slim this year Nimmo would be a great fit, but will probably be priced out of the Twins market. I would look at a make-good contract for Conforto. He still has upside and could be re-signed if he does well.
  22. Twins GFP
    I am not sure how much of a "bust" Sano truly is. He has had a modicum of success, and will continue to have opportunities for the next few years. I think we as fans view him as a bust because we had these huge expectations that he didn't meet. IMO, the biggest Twins draft busts are: Adam Johnson - drafted too high (full disclosure, I was at his one home start, so I may be a bit jaded). Kohl Stewart - was supposed to be a ready made starter. BJ Garbe - #5 pick, never made it past AA Honorable mentions: Tim Belcher - #1 pick, didn't sign, went on to have a strong career Travis Lee - #2 pick, Twins didn't sign him, another good career
  23. Twins GFP
    This is such a huge part of the process. Even with the upside, most of these players have little risk of being drafted because they will not stick on the MLB roster the entire year. The Twins still have fond memories of their Rule 5 picks, but the reality is that these drafts rarely amount to anything. Consider this article from 2018: https://www.forbes.com/sites/ryandavis/2018/12/17/looking-back-on-the-10-greatest-rule-5-picks-of-all-time/?sh=15e0f07c92b1 There are a few exciting names there, but when you get in depth, you realize there really isn't a huge amount of risk here. This is the top 10 out of hundreds and hundreds of picks. The Twins have four spots. Protect your top four guys that you believe will have the best chance of impacting the team and move on.
  24. Twins GFP
    Every manager does. They are very aware of statistics, it keeps the players happy. Players have been managing around the save for decades.
  25. Twins GFP
    This is the one solid argument I agree with on Rocco's BP usage. Knowing you are coming in when (insert SP here) gets to their pitch limit, or Duran knowing he will be coming in at high stress times. That being said, I think the sheer number of pitchers they had to use this year made that extremely difficult.
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