bean5302
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Everything posted by bean5302
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What are you talking about? Jenkins is not on a tear. Why are people just making this stuff up about Jenkins' performance. Just cool your jets and wait for him to actually be good relative to his peers. from this thread
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- jorge soler
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Why Marek Houston is the Twins’ Most Underrated Prospect
bean5302 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
The Twins have already been having Culpepper play more 3B recently. I don't think Culpepper being called up is a requirement for Houston to move to AAA (or MLB). Culpepper has been ice cold since his return from injury so he's got some rust to work out. Houston is on his own path right now. There isn't a lot for him left to prove at AA, but getting to 200 PA would be meaningful for sample size. Not sure if the Twins will wait or not. -
Gabriel Gonzalez does hit lefties pretty well, though adjusting for overall league average production in AAA, he's more like wRC+ 110ish vs. lefties and wRC+ 60 vs. righties. So once a week he can start a game, hold his own at the plate (still probably not much better than average) and a couple times a week he could maybe get a pinch hit. Otherwise, he's probably a DH and a black hole vs. righties.
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Minnesota Twins Pitcher of the Month: July 2026
bean5302 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It's a bummer MLB couldn't save Joe Ryan's ERA again so he could make it on the list, haha. I think Morris is a good call. Led the pitching staff in WPA plus all the rest of the stuff pointed out. That said, if we're looking for things like ERA, no way Gomez makes it over Rogers' 1.04 ERA, along with stellar xERA, and a very good FIP.- 6 replies
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Good. I think I share your sentiment that the team didn't go nearly big enough. It's too close to standing pat and I don't have confidence the team is playoff competitive. I think we probably have to sit back and make the call on things now when the Twins get eliminated.
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The Nippon Ham Fighters in 3-4 years.
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In what world? What peers? Guys who will never take a plate appearance in the big show? Guys who should absolutely not be in the big show? I mean, sure, if you consider Minor League Roster Filler to be Jenkins' peers, then Walker Jenkins is better than most. In the past 30 days, Walker Jenkins rank according to International League hitters who qualify with at least 57 plate appearances. wRC+ = 69th of 136 = 49th percentile OPS = 70th of 136 = 48th percentile wOBA = 64th of 136 = 52nd percentile BB Rate = 63rd of 136 = 54th percentile K Rate = 39th of 136 = 71st percentile BABIP = 51st of 136 = 62nd percentile (it's not luck he's pedestrian) ISO = 90th of 136 = 33rd percentile Spd = 59th of 136 = 56th percentile wSB = 70th of 136 = 48th percentile LD% = 67th of 136 = 50th percentile GB% = 96th of 136 = 29th percentile FB% = 92nd of 136 = 32nd percentile Popup% = 90th of 136 = 33rd percentile HR:FB% = 112th of 136 = 17th percentile The only stat where he's meaningfully better than dead average is strikeout rate.
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Just because Walker Jenkins has 1 good component of production doesn't mean his overall production, compared to other players in AAA's International League is actually good. since July 1, even including his big game yesterday. .284/.370/.444 OPS .814 wRC+ 111 (a little above league average). He's not good relative to his peers. There's a potential argument to be made that pitching is soooooooooo bad in AAA, there's only so much Jenkins can do. He's at his ceiling of production and his production won't drop off much from AAA to MLB because the skills he has directly translate. I would want to see high line drive rates or high average exit velocity or low pop up rates. None of that is true. Jenkins has a relatively low line drive rate. He has a high pop up rate. He doesn't have impressive exit velocity. He's got very good plate discipline. That's what he's got. That's it. Game power is poor. Batted ball data is poor.
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I'm not impressed with taking on what we did in payroll. Like whoop de doo. Mintner $3.4MM Hoffman $7.3MM Kremer $1.75MM The Twins were in the bottom 5 of MLB in terms of moves made. They had an obvious need for a playoff caliber starter and didn't do it. The only legitimate reason Gausman is not on the roster is because the Pohlads didn't want to spend.
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Then he's a AAA caliber player who will be useless at the MLB level. He either needs to start hitting more line drives to increase his AVG, further reduce his K rate or further increase his walk rate. If his OPS sucks, his bat sucks. Nobody cares how he gets to a good bat, but he needs to have a good bat.
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How to open and close a glove when the baseball arrives is something that can be taught to a guy who was supposed to learn that 10 years ago? Literally, that's Keaschall's problem. Doesn't know how to catch a baseball when he gets to it.
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Culpepper vs. Neto? Not even close. Not even in the ballpark. This fan base is so disrespectful, lol.
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The Twins had not found their replacements is what the front office has exclaimed by acquiring Hoffman and Mintner.
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Zero days. Jenkins sitting in the minors because his power isn't elite for zero days. He's been a league average AAA hitter for over a month. Every other Tom, Dick and Harry in AAA is just as productive at the plate as Walker Jenkins. Jenkins needs to earn his promotion with production well above league average. Maybe that comes from batting average or walks or limiting strikeouts so he just puts more balls in play? It has to come from somewhere, and right now, he's just another random, no-name, minor league baseball player in terms of his performance.
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In a nutshell? No sure thing as the Twins are under .500 to start with, and the Twins made valuable, but few actual additions. Other teams improved as well like the Guardians who generally grade out as an A vs. the Twins' C. The rotation ranked worse than our bullpen, technically, but I think the rotation is adequate for the regular season if everything else was good, but Minnesota needs Connor Prielipp to take a step forward now because he has to whip himself into a playoff caliber starter in the next 2 months. Sorry, zero faith in Ober being able to stick in the rotation. Joe Ryan II (the second half) Taj Bradley Connor Prielipp Dean Kremer Bailey Ober C - Jeffers 1B - Lewis 2B - Clemens SS - Kreidler 3B - Lee LF - Larnach CF - Keaschall RF - Wallner DH - Bell BC - Caratini UO - Roden UI - Gray Util - Jackson There were clear areas the Twins could have improved and solidified not only the regular season, but the post season, and the Twins didn't do that.
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You mean like the 3 PTBNL guys the Cubs tossed at Toronto for Kevin Gausman? Or the nothingburger guys which got Seattle Taylor Ward?
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Like today? He was in Cedar Rapids last I checked. Oh, he was scratched due to soreness. Have to monitor that.
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Brooks Lee's plate production is a total aberration. His regression to the mean has already been going on for a while. Since July 1, .221/.288/.358 OPS .646 wRC+ 81 xwOBA a miserable .248. That's Brooks Lee. It's been Brooks Lee since his first year and continues to be exactly who he is at the plate. The chances of him pulling a full year 2014 Danny Santana campaign aren't zero, but it's far more likely Lee is under wRC+ 90 by the end of the season. In regard to his fielding, he's been capable. He's not a plus fielder at 3B, but his instincts have played well there, and he's clearly made some effort to improve his speed and range. The arm is what holds him back, but he should be able to maintain his league average 3B defense. Keaschall is a 2B. He needs to play 2B and improve his defense because despite all the cheer and excitement every time he has the occasional 5-10 game hot streak, his expected production remains rooted at league average. That's not bad for a 2B, but it really limits him in the outfield, though I think he could be effective enough in LF due to his speed. Lewis is a utility guy at this point based on how the Twins deploy him. NOt sure what to make of his day to day playing ability, but at 1B, he's going to need to hit even more.
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I would expect Emma to be the next one up mid August if he doesn't look absolutely ice cold in AAA when he gets there in a couple days.
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Jenkins Jenkins Jenkins. If only hype won baseball games and not production at the plate. He's barely holding his own at AAA right now.
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So the Twins are going to run what the brung with a couple bullpen upgrades. Guess Prielipp is in for the playoff rotation 😅
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Buxton, Kepler, Sano, Rosario, Gibson, Berrios, Dozier, Escobar, Santana, Mauer, Polanco, Garver, Rogers, Duffey, Pressley. What Falvey inherited vs. what he developed is pretty black and white right now. Most of the talent you'd give Falvey credit for came off the back of Bill Smith and Terry Ryan assets that Falvey traded to keep his teams afloat until he ran out of prior regime assets to sell... and then we missed the playoffs 4/5 years.
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Twins bullpen should be pretty set at this point.
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Mariners getting Taylor Ward for equivalent of 3 PTBNL's.
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After his first 5 games in AAA from 5/21 onward - .285/.387/.604 OPS .991 wRC+ 147, and from June on .292/.388/.649 OPS 1.037 wRC+ 156. That's "okay"? There's reason to believe he's AAAA, but to say Wallner has been "okay" lately is just BS.
