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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    “the Rays will send old friend Zach Littell out for the start. The one-time dominant reliever for the Twins…” Which is to say… the guy that was pretty good for about 27 low leverage innings across 3 months in 2019. And pretty much catastrophically horrible otherwise. Also, it’s ZACK Littell.
  2. jkcarew
    There is no remedy for a starter going 4 innings and leaving with the club behind. Pretty much have to expose the bottom of the pen. This one isn’t on Rocco.
  3. jkcarew
    A 4-inning start is a very bad result almost no matter how you cut it. Team plays uphill, bullpen taxed right out of the gate in first game of series.
  4. jkcarew
    A 1.562 WHIP and 6.02 FIP with the Twins…and 1.704 WHIP and 5.4 ERA (not counting the 3 of 5 batters that reached against him in his final performance today) at St Paul? This for a 25 year old ranked prospect exceeded your expectations? He spent pretty much the whole season not having a clue where any of his pitches were going. The only thing there to hang your hat on is that the entire season was a relatively small sample with only 66 innings total.
  5. jkcarew
    Balazovic’s season was disappointing. Again. A lot of guys to be excited about though. Thought De Andrade had a real nice somewhat under-the-radar season in the FSL having just turned 19 in April. How do insiders view his defense at Short, Seth?
  6. jkcarew
    I think it was more about the lazy sweeper, belt high, over the middle of the plate, drilled to the wall, that came later.
  7. jkcarew
    For him to be really good offensively, either the BABiP will need to hold up OR the HR rate will need to hold up. If they both hold up (along with his health), he’s elite. The BABiP WILL come down…but how much? He’s at 34 HR per 600 PA. We’ll see. The adjustments regarding how pitchers approach him, have barely begun. But yes, he’s far ahead of where I’d figured he’d be at this point.
  8. jkcarew
    This pitching matchup doesn’t exactly say ‘probable winner’. But, as they say…that’s why you play the games. Let’s go bats!
  9. jkcarew
    Except, Correa DID hit the market…then a miracle…two once-ever occurrences took place. So…not happening. Not that I’m totally opposed to trading for him. But you have to pay a price that assumes one year.
  10. jkcarew
    Any trade would assume one season of Alonzo. He will 110% hit the market after the 2024 season.
  11. jkcarew
    I’m done worrying about Buxton. The “Buxton” that everyone imagines doesn’t exist, and has NEVER existed. He’s never been a good player over the coarse of a full season or anything close to a full season. His ‘fullest’ seasons have been mediocre at best offensively. I wish him the best health-wise. From a baseball perspective, the Twins have to move on. Find a CF, and a DH…if things work out, Buxton can be a depth piece, but he should never assume a larger role in how this team plans to move forward.
  12. jkcarew
    Not even remotely likely. Houston has a soft schedule and a smaller lead to protect. No. I would expect the opposite…if anything, Houston will finish with a larger lead on the Twins than they currently have.
  13. jkcarew
    Sorry…I can’t get past the fact that GiDP has nothing to do with base running. If you play a lot, in the front half of the order, don’t strike out much, tend to hit the ball hard, and hit right-handed…you’re going to have many GiDP. If you check all those boxes, as Correa does, you don’t even have to be particularly ‘slow’. Rice, Ripken, Winfield, Miguel Tejada…these were not guys that ‘couldn’t run’…not known as ‘bad’ base runners. To be sure, the seasonal leaderboards through the years include some extremely slow runners…but there’s probably a stronger correlation to all-stars and even Hall-of-Famers.
  14. jkcarew
    Lest anyone is gnashing their teeth over this loss… 1. The Twins are too far ahead with too few games remaining and the schedule is very soft. They’ll win the division. 2. If the club totally collapses over the final 22 games despite an ultra soft schedule, the failure would be epic…and at that point, they’re not at all deserving, and we look forward to the lottery. 3. The Twins are going to win the division.
  15. jkcarew
    I don’t know which is more pleasing… Twins taking a big step closer to a spot in the postseason… or Francona’s Monday night strategy (travesty) failing. Our favorite club doubled my fun tonight.
  16. jkcarew
    Even as of today, he’s really only played two seasons…and one was pretty bad. I doubted the bat. And I don’t want to draw conclusions on 220 MLB PA, but it sure is encouraging. He doesn’t look to be a ‘great’ on-base guy…looks more like an RBI guy. Not interested in working the count…hacking at the first thing he likes…and good at it (so far). He’s a 3-4-5 hitter in my book…depending upon how the BA/OBP capabilities play out. You need to put a good hitter behind him…or at least a big power threat. But, Puckett-like in his aggressiveness at the plate. Still think 3rd base is dumb.
  17. jkcarew
    Great outcome. But there have been spectacular/unusual instances where the game has embarrassed itself some…and an unprepared Headrick cost a bullpen arm. So…very good result, but not at all pretty. Both are possible…like a very well played games that results in a loss.
  18. jkcarew
    Way more pitches per batter retired than Fry.
  19. jkcarew
    Failure can not be more total than that performance. Completely unprepared and completely awful. That kind of meltdown in ZERO leverage is career-shortening.
  20. jkcarew
    At this point I’d tell Headrick he’s pitching until his arm falls off.
  21. jkcarew
    OMG Headrick…smh. Awful.
  22. jkcarew
    It’s the kind of thing that compromises all statistics.
  23. jkcarew
    It’s a sign of the times…bullpens are standing room only…but every single guy is built to go one inning. I hate it.
  24. jkcarew
    Hate it. And with 7 or 8 relievers available…plus all the optioning and IL shenanigans…still need to pitch a position player in the 6th inning??
  25. jkcarew
    Correa’s career BABiP headed into the season was about 315…this year it’s 266. Meanwhile, his average exit velo and hard-hit % are both HIGHER than last year when he put up a 137 OPS+. He’s basically one of two (Kepler) on the team who doesn’t strike out well above league average rate. He’s going to ground into DP’s…especially if he’s batting right behind the better OBP guys…but it won’t be 30+ probably ever again. It’s been one of those years for him offensively. Horrible. Should he have been moved down in the order more aggressively the way things have gone all year? Yep. But, that’s on Rocco. I’ll take Correa on my team, with the defense at a premium position…and wait for the worm to turn.
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