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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    As of this moment.. Arraez OPS: 887 Julien OPS: 927
  2. jkcarew
    The best thing that could happen (in a realistic world) over the remainder of this season, is to find a guy or two to build the lineup around for next year.
  3. jkcarew
    The correct response was, ”Been waiting since junior high to pull that’n out, I wager.” So close.
  4. jkcarew
    Your summaries of Rosario and DeAndrade are confusing. You say DeAndrade probably won’t stick at short? Why? Who is saying this? Meanwhile, he’s 19 and has a 362 OBP and a 762 OPS in the Florida State League. How is that not at least pretty good? Noah Miller, who you have ranked much higher, was at 627 at 19 in the FSL. If that discrepancy holds, Miller would have to be Ozzie Smith with the glove to make up the difference. You mention Rosario’s hit tool is shakey. And you worry about his K’s. Why? BA 275, OBP 386…and K’ing at 26%…which is about the same as the ‘good stretch’ that you site for Rodriquez. 25% is a sign of good things to come for Rodriquez, but 26% is a red flag for Rosario?? And Rosario just turned 21, drafted out of HS in Hawaii…it’s not like he’s that much more of a finished project than is Rodriquez.
  5. jkcarew
    He’s not hurt (beyond the knee maintenance thing)…confirmed today by Falvey in an interview with Chad Hartman on WCCO radio.
  6. jkcarew
    I’m not convinced his approach has changed much from 2021. He’s just not executing the approach as well AND not getting as lucky. In 2021, his BABiP was unsustainably high (344)…and his HR/FB was around 20%…and had been otherworldly high across 2020, 2021, and 2022. This year those numbers are 235 and 14.9%. In 2021 his XBH% was ridiculously high (and unsustainable) 16.5%, this year 8.9%…career number is 10.6%. 2021 OPS 1.005, career, 763. I think we can forget about 2021 (which was only 250 PA, btw) If anything he’s been a little less aggressive, more P/PA, getting deeper into counts…and it hasn’t worked…more walks but more K’s and slightly lower exit velocity. He’s always been a very low OBP guy, making a ton of outs, and relying on an extreme rate of XBH to provide offensive value. It’s a profile that is a bit of a house of cards. The sad part is that even at a 700-750 OPS…which isn’t that far from what he’s been, it would be just fine if he were playing CF and batting 6th or 7th in the order.
  7. jkcarew
    Not for the record or even the division.. for actual relevance in terms of a team that could compete in the post season. Tonight was the first game to start demonstrating that type of relevance. 0-1.
  8. jkcarew
    Sac relig!! Mauer would NOT have...he would not have swung at the first pitch.
  9. jkcarew
    Gallo’s OPS higher than anyone else’s in the lineup except for Julien.
  10. jkcarew
    Petrified to throw a strike as soon as he gives up a little hard contact. Always been his MO.
  11. jkcarew
    And Buxton put a good swing on that pitch. More of that, and less swinging at pitches out of the zone please.
  12. jkcarew
    So a ton of BB
  13. jkcarew
    Unless a left handed pitcher enters the game in…say, the 2nd inning. Then you really have no choice but to bring in Castro or Farmer.
  14. jkcarew
    Funny how that type of info gets out there when a player that you’ve signed to a long term deal is slumping. It’s BS until they IL him.
  15. jkcarew
    So, as Buxton’s and MAT’s OPS’s merge somewhere in the high 600’s…should we no longer care that Buxton isn’t playing CF??
  16. jkcarew
    Our back up catcher is having a good year.
  17. jkcarew
    Maybe…but Bellinger is the regular CF. MAT, is break-glass emergency, late defensive replacement, and spot start against lefty only. In most scenarios, Kepler/Wallner/Larnach are better offensive options than MAT…same with Gallo
  18. jkcarew
    I say the second half starts tonight. The schedule is soft for a while, but not Oakland soft…not close. A’s and KC in a league of their own…sad, really.
  19. jkcarew
    Buxton’s as healthy as he’s ever going to be. If you don’t play him now, you’re never going to play him. I wouldn’t mind him coming off the bench some days, though. Like give Wallner DH today?
  20. jkcarew
    I’m more of a seller than a buyer for this deadline. But I do think Bellinger would be as much of a needle mover as anyone else I can think of. Finally get to replace MAT’s ABs (with someone other than Castro). And he seems to have his stroke this year. I’d love to have him next year, in a scenario where he’s in a corner instead of Kepler with Buxton (or Lewis) in center. We can dream.
  21. jkcarew
    I would assume, as a 2023 rental, he’d replace MAT. For sure against righties anyway.
  22. jkcarew
    Fwiw… they’re lineup is extremely young…youngest in baseball. They are not producing (overall) currently. But there may be several of them that they still believe in…that they would want to give another year, etc. In other words, they would FIGURE to be desperate for a bat or two based on to-date 2023 results, but it’s possible due to the youth, they may not be as desperate as it might seem. With regard to Civale, specifically, I don’t know. I will say that Cleveland seems to know pitching. So, if they were to sell Civale, with that remaining control…I’d say buyer beware.
  23. jkcarew
    @Brock Beauchamp Please add DaShawn Keirsey. Thank you.
  24. jkcarew
    Very cool. And a ton of work. Thanks much, Brock.
  25. jkcarew
    How again would trading Gray to enhance talent for the longer-term be 'panicking'?? It would be the opposite. It would be giving up a perceived chance at immediate gratification for a longer-term benefit. Now, tell me again how keeping Gray (and/or buying) in the face of complete mediocrity would be 'sending the right message'?? The message it sends is "this is what Twins success looks line"...we're in the race!...we're "trying"! But, in reality, all it does is lower the bar for what fans should expect going forward. Now...depending upon what offers are...sure, maybe the smartest decision is to keep him and go with the QO. We don't know and never will, probably. But they should be shopping him. And I call it smart, not panic.
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