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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    middle middle is never good, but I’m ok with “over the plate” up 6-0 in the 8th. A walk is even worse in that situation…the guys behind him can reach the seats too…at least he made him beat him. He’s a great hitter, if we can control the rest of the order, we’ll be able to pitch around him when it matters.
  2. jkcarew
    It was a rundown play…the catcher has a right to be in the base path (as does the 3rd baseman)…and the catcher was where he was because he was expecting a return throw. The umpire is never going to call obstruction there unless the catcher goes out of his was to initiate some contact…which isn’t what happened.
  3. jkcarew
    In the second half this team became worthy…it’s about how you’re playing. Completely different team in second half, completely different vibe with Lewis. Fun with numbers…records against teams over 500… 101-win 2019 Twins: 32-37 87-win 2023 Twins: 37-36
  4. jkcarew
    Brooks LeeWalker JenkinsEmmanuel RodriguezCharlee SotoAustin MartinDavid FestaLuke KeaschallMarco RayaYunior SeverinoKala'i RosarioBrandon WinokurCory LewisDanny De AndradeAndrew CossettiJair CamargoSimeon Woods RichardsonDameury PenaCJ CulpepperNoah MillerYasser Mercedes
  5. jkcarew
    Agreed. I was assuming ‘pipeline’ was referring to guys that we developed.
  6. jkcarew
    I’m not following. The pitching was without question absolutely fantastic…but I’m not seeing the connection to the ‘pipeline’…unless you are referring to the relievers? Jax and Duran were almost flawless. Varland and Thielbar a little shakey in their inning today, but survived thanks to the bases loaded line drive going inches foul.
  7. jkcarew
    I think that early it’s more important to play against the big(er) inning…and believe a pretty decent offense can score 2 or more runs over the next 5 innings. They played double play depth up the middle against Kepler, Solano, Correa with the bases loaded, and Castro with the bases loaded. It gave them a chance to almost field Correa’s hit…and it ‘worked’ on Castro’s PA. I’m sure if Castro’s ball had been hit to 3rd, the play would have been to home. They played the sequence probably what I would have done. Like pulling Berrios ‘too early’…everything’s moot when your team doesn’t score a run. Probably the biggest mistakes Toronto made in the series were losing the two baserunners.
  8. jkcarew
    I posted during the season, in the midst of Correa’s persistent offensive doldrums and the team struggling to stay over 500, that he was far from the Twin’s biggest problem. He’s just a really good baseball player, and he knows how to win. You saw it in spades in these two games.
  9. jkcarew
    Thanks to Correa, Polanco’s failure to field Kiermaier’s chopper in the 4th was a HUGE break for the Twins… if Polanco successfully fields that ball, no out is recorded on the play. Zero chance of getting Kiermaier there. None. Best case, Polanco eats it…Bases are loaded with Chapman in the box. Weird how things work out sometime.
  10. jkcarew
    5 pitchers used on a strong start. Why do people think 12 pitchers would ‘never’ be used? It’s playoff baseball, matchups will be leveraged more often…and extra innings can go forever. When setting the roster, you pretty much need to assume 3 tight games with at least one going to extras.
  11. jkcarew
    The team will need someone else to step up offensively even if Lewis is ok to go again. I’m reasonably optimistic that someone will.
  12. jkcarew
    Means nothing more to me than going up 1-0 in a best-of-three series..(which is big enough deal without the irrelevant baggage). Now, for the real objective…let’s win the series. I think the Twins are the better team right now.
  13. jkcarew
    The streak is only remarkable if you think the Twins had anything close to a 50% chance of winning most of the games. They didn’t. Go back and look at the team…and pitching matchups. Maybe had a 45-ish percent chance in maybe 3 games. The rest were complete and utter mismatches. Yes, you’d still figure to get a win or two along the way, but who cares…you’re losing all but the earliest of these series 10 out of 10 times. Got a better chance this year.
  14. jkcarew
    During the streak, they were clearly the inferior team. Every time, and every single pitching matchup. This time they won’t be…at least not by much. I expect competitive results. Disclaimer is if Lewis can’t play at least DH.
  15. jkcarew
    Hopefully they’ll be Twins fans. I’ve been to Blue Jay’s series where there were more fans from Toronto, Thunder Bay, and Winnipeg in the stands than folks from Minnesota. We’ll see.
  16. jkcarew
    A large part of that was Lewis making 5 plate appearances in most of the games.
  17. jkcarew
    Yeah…you’re probably right. Weakens the infield defense at two positions though. Farmer much better at 3rd than Polanco, IMO.
  18. jkcarew
    That would be VERY bad news. It puts Lewis or Julien on the bench for every game. Not good.
  19. jkcarew
    Baseball was meant to be played in daylight. Despite the fact that modern ballpark lighting may make that moot, I LOVE afternoon games. I don’t necessarily need to watch a playoff W to enjoy it immensely. Just win, baby.
  20. jkcarew
    I agree that this could be a real benefit…of course it’s still on the players to capitalize on it. This was in play in ‘87 in the Tiger’s series, when they went down to the wire with Toronto (no wild card then). Saw their number one and two…but they seemed taxed, Alexander more than Morris, but Morris couldn’t dominate and the Twins won his lone start. I think the club is positioned much better than at any other time during the streak. I expect them to compete no matter which opponent.
  21. jkcarew
    Yep..I look at it as adjustments. It’s hard to make adjustments at the mlb level. All player have to do it though…it’s just that guys with K issues usually have to make ‘bigger’ ones to stick, I agree. I do wonder sometimes if swing-and-miss rates would be more predictive. SOME guys with high K rates, have the ‘patient’ approach and take a lot of strikes…don’t really whiff a ton and can actually control the K zone. SOME low K guys whiff plenty, but everything happens earlier in the count. That’s why (in lieu of whiff rate,) I’ll look at BB/K rate. And yes, Cossetti’s is way better, albeit at an ‘easier’ age-to-level than Severino has experienced.
  22. jkcarew
    Beware the high K rates…but also beware the low BB rates. Miranda and Kirilloff fell into the later category. It’s tough to maintain a high BABiP in the majors, especially when you are hitting pitcher’s pitches. Those guys fail too…maybe not as spectacularly as the K guys when the adjustments can’t be made.
  23. jkcarew
    The top-ish hitting prospects had a strong overall year. I’d have at least a couple of the HM mention guys ahead of Lee in terms of their offensive output this season. Maybe some ranking bias there. Not that Lee disappointed…seems right on track.
  24. jkcarew
    Severino makes fewer outs than Miranda. He has a materially higher OBP than Miranda in the minors…because along with the way fewer K’s, Miranda gets way fewer BB’s.
  25. jkcarew
    Never was going to happen.
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