I had been thinking the Twins might be okay just adding one competent reliever at the trade deadline, but Moran has made me doubt if that will be enough.
EDIT: and now Pagan has me wondering if adding 2 relievers would be enough.
This has to be close to the end of the Gallo experiment. A sub .570 OPS with a K% over 50% in July should mean he will no longer be with the team after the trade deadline.
One good thing about the hitting this season is that the top 5 guys in terms of OPS (Julien, Wallner, Kirilloff, Lewis, and Jeffers) are all relatively young, cheap, and have multiple years of team control.
I'm a bit baffled by the hitting approach that Buxton and Popkins put together. It seems involve the unusual strategy of watching fastballs over the plate.
The idea of "we're a better team when he's in the lineup" has been clearly untrue since the start of May. Having a DH with .650 OPS over the last 2 and a half months is not setting the team up for success. I agree he needs to go on the IL until his health issues are resolved.
I do wonder if Buxton should go on the IL and see if some weeks off would get his health in a better place. Frankly having a DH with a sub 700 OPS since the start of June isn't helping the team win games.
Day 1 of the draft makes me nervous because my confidence in the front office ability to evaluate 1st round talent is not high. That said, I'm happy with the Twins first 3 picks this year (I'm thankful the team didn't try to play games with the #5 pick). Now onto day 2 where the organization has done a great job over the years.
I have absolutely no faith in Falvey being smarter than the universal consensus at #5. Just make the glaringly obvious pick and be happy that you have a chance to draft an elite level prospect.
If that is the case, then I think the Twins need to seriously consider putting Buxton on the IL and attempt to get him healthy. Right now, I'd take Julien, Wallner, and maybe even Miranda (has been heating up at AAA) at DH over Buxton.
Much like Joe Mauer's contract, the success of the Buxton deal is going to depend heavily on how many games he ends up playing a premium defensive position. If Buxton can play even 70-80 games a year in CF over the next 3-4 years, the contract will look pretty good. If he ends up as a full time DH, the majority of the contract it will likely be rated as a bad deal. I suspect we'll have a much better idea of how good the contract is a year from now.
If Miranda is hitting, I don't think there would be much of an issue finding him ABs at 3B/1B/DH. The fact that all of our depth at corner OF and 1B is left-handed gives him a pretty clear opportunity.
My guess for the trade deadline is that Kepler gets moved, the Twins acquire a relief pitcher that can be trusted in high leverage situations, Julien sticks in the majors, Miranda bounces back, and that Buxton starts to play CF part time.
The Pagan rollercoaster continues. Pitching him in lower leverage roles for a few weeks makes him seem like a pretty decent reliever, which then causes the team to think that just maybe he can be used again in higher leverage situations. When will they learn that Pagan will way too often crash and burn when the game is on the line.
I would be interested in signing him to an extension, but $20M/2 years seems too high. I could see something in the ballpark of $14M/2 years as a more palatable deal. The best-case scenario would be that he is able to return to form in 2025 and the Twins extend a qualifying offer.
Taylor would be great in the role as Buxton's backup in centerfield. Unfortunately, he has been and continues to be the starter, a role that is too big for him.
If the Twins offense was doing well, continuing to Play Buxton at DH might make sense. With the offense consistently struggling, I don't think the team can afford to continue the experiment. Neither Buxton nor Taylor have hit enough to justify their current roles.