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twins_89

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Everything posted by twins_89

  1. twins_89
    Going into the season with Berrios, Odorizzi, and an aging Bailey seems like a recipe for disaster. If one of those guys has an issue and isn't ready for the start of the season, the Twins would be in extremely dire straits. I just don't believe that free agency is much of an option at this point, the scenarios that make the most sense are trades.
  2. twins_89
    Rooker is not on the 40 man roster, none of the 3 discussed had to be added yet.
  3. twins_89
    I suspect Rosario's time with the Twins is nearing an end, I'm actually a bit surprised he hasn't been traded already. With Cave being a capable placeholder and a pretty good chance at least one of Kirilloff/Larnach will be ready by mid-season, there isn't much reason not to explore moving Eddie.
  4. twins_89
    The only change I can see is that I suspect Romero makes the team over Stashak since Romero is out of options. I'm not sure he'll hold the spot, but he is likely to be given the first shot to earn it.
  5. twins_89
    Dobnak, Thorpe, and Smeltzer are perfectly fine as the 5-7 starters on the depth chart, but having more than 1 of them in the major league rotation for any significant length of time is a truly bad idea. Graterol only pitched 70 innings last season (and his career high is 100 innings in a year), so expecting him to be a starter seems unrealistic. The Twins absolutely need to add another starter. If that guy can slot in at #2, it would make a huge difference for a rotation that is currently average to slightly below average.
  6. twins_89
    I believe the Twins are at 41 (since Pineda doesn't count until his suspension is over). We'll already have to drop somebody to add Donaldson (my guess is Harper), so I'm doubtful that Hall is interesting enough to drop a second player.
  7. twins_89
    The Twins are now in really good long term shape with respect to their the position players. Garver, Sano, Arraez, Polanco, Donaldson, and Kepler are all under team control through at least 2023 with Buxton around through 2022. With Lewis, Kirilloff, Larnach, and Rooker nearly ready the Twins should have an incredibly strong line-up for the foreseeable future.
  8. twins_89
    I had pretty much given up any hope that the Twins would ever sign a top end free agent. I've never been so happy to be proven wrong. If the Twins manage a trade for a playoff caliber starter, this could quickly turn from the most depressing off-season in memory to the most exciting.
  9. twins_89
    If the Twins had added a legitimate #2 starter in addition to bringing back Odorizzi/Pineda, the Bailey signing would have looked fantastic. Having Bailey as your #3 starter to open the season is a pretty good sign that front office did not do a very good job during the off-season.
  10. twins_89
    I don't care about what was said or expected, I prefer to look at results.The Twins entered the off-season with only a few holes to fill and a truly impressive amount of payroll flexibility and prospect capital. With all that going for them I don't see any convincing argument that the team is even slightly improved over last season. There is still a bit of time to work the trade market, but with no further moves it's really hard to see this off-season as a success.
  11. twins_89
    I look at Hill as a lottery ticket. He'll be 40 this season and coming off a UCL repair operation that is fairly new (and thus the outcome is not as well understood as a full Tommy John replacement). If he can come back and perform anywhere close to what he was before the injury it could be a big boost down the stretch. Unfortunately, I suspect there is an equal chance that he pitches under 5 games before being released. I'm not going to form any expectations or plans until he is back and pitching successfully in the majors.
  12. twins_89
    If the Twins are never going to stretch beyond their comfort zone on free agent offers they will never sign a top end free agent. That was true throughout Terry Ryans tenure and has been true so far in the Falvey/Levine regime.
  13. twins_89
    If the Twins don't have the top offer and they aren't willing to budge, I'm not really sure how Falvey thinks they are still in on Donaldson.
  14. twins_89
    My take on Donaldson is that the Twins have the best offer on the table, but he would rather sign with Atlanta. The $110M rumor is probably aimed at the Twins to say if you offer this he'll sign, if not he'll go back to the Braves. It's frustrating that the stare down is likely holding up other moves the Twins might be pursuing.
  15. twins_89
    The White Sox continue to inch closer while the Twins stand still. It would be understandable if we were resource constrained, but that has not been the case. The Twins came into the off-season with few holes to fill and $70M to spend, but with Spring Training about a month away the best case scenario is we will be about the same as last season (that's if our bargain bin starters work out).
  16. twins_89
    Hill is an extreme example of a lottery ticket signing. There is a small chance he returns to form and wins a playoff game for the Twins, but I'd say the odds are massively higher that he never reaches 25 innings pitched and is off the roster by August.
  17. twins_89
    I can't see how any fans think the current team is stronger than last season. Without any more additions, I think it highly likely the Twins are a bit worse. If neither Bailey or Hill pan out (a very real possibility), then the team could be significantly worse.
  18. twins_89
    I think it's time to call this the "non-impact" off-season since the team hasn't made a single acquisition that realistically moves the needle. With Donaldson looking like he's signing elsewhere, it's a pretty clear front office failure for anyone hoping to see the Twins field a better team than last season.
  19. twins_89
    I'd say that in the best case scenario the Twins are about the same as last season, but I think it much more likely they are a slightly worse team at this point. If they can make a move for a difference maker like Donaldson or a playoff caliber starting pitcher then yes they would be better, but so far I see no realistic argument that the team has improved.
  20. twins_89
    A huge part of Kepler's value is his outfield defense, taking that away by playing him at 1B would be foolish in the extreme.
  21. twins_89
    Coming into the off-season my optimism level was sky high, I truly believed the Twins would make moves that clearly upgraded the team. Now as the calendar turns over into 2020 and Spring training is on the horizon, I look at an off-season where the only additions are limited upside guys on 1-year deals. I fear this is going to be an off-season that will be looked back on with massive regret.
  22. twins_89
    To date, the Twins off-season has replaced Castro, Dyson, Gibson, and Perez with Avila, Clippard, Bailey, and Hill while still having a corner infield hole. It seems that at best we're basically the same as last season with a decent chance of being worse. Coming off a 101 win season and with a huge amount of money to spend this seems like a clear failure for the front office.
  23. twins_89
    With Hill, Pineda, and a soon to be 34 year old Bailey, I'm not overly concerned about the rotation getting too crowded (even if another starter is added through a trade).
  24. twins_89
    Falvey and Levine are the masters of doing the absolute minimum in terms of adding outside talent. They manage to fill holes, but do it in the most uninspiring way possible.
  25. twins_89
    Price has 6.2 fwar over the last 3 seasons which equates to just under $20M/year in value. Expecting more from him over his age 34-36 seasons is not realistic, so to even get to neutral value the Red Sox would have to eat at least $36M (and that's assuming no additional drop off due to age). I'm curious to see if Boston is willing to eat enough salary while getting back no real prospects.
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