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twins_89

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Everything posted by twins_89

  1. twins_89
    About the only trade I could see working would be based around Larnach for Paddack+Weathers. I'd probably do that if it was on the table. I don't see the Twins moving Kepler and Arraez isn't really an outfielder. I think it comes down to how much the Twins really believe in the Ryan, Ober, Winder, Balazovic, and Sands group (with Canterino and Woods-Richardson potentially being added to the group later in the season).
  2. twins_89
    It's hard to give the front office more than a C grade since the single most obvious problem with the roster was nowhere close to being adequately addressed. Betting the season on unproven young starting pitching is not a formula that is likely to have a high success rate.
  3. twins_89
    If Archer can maintain his fastball in the 94-95 mph range, I'm much more optimistic about his chances to succeed. I was worried he would come in with a 91-92 mph fastball, which I think would have led to him being gone by June.
  4. twins_89
    This move seems like a signal that the team is going to go all in on the pitching pipeline. I guess we'll finally get to see if Falvey and Levine really can build most of the rotation through scouting and development (something that hasn't yet yielded much proven talent at the major league level).
  5. twins_89
    I'm fine with giving Archer a chance, but if his ERA is 6+ after 6-8 starts the team need to let him go sooner rather than later. If we're going to get poor starting pitching, I'd at least like the innings to go to guys who can use the opportunity to develop for the future.
  6. twins_89
    I'm not particularly excited about the move, though at this point there really aren't any free agent options that would be clearly better. I just hope that Archer (and Bundy) have a fairly short leash and the team doesn't give them 10-20 starts if its clear they are cooked. Ideally, I'd only want one Archer/Bundy reclamation type of signing, but since the front office whiffed on signing a reliable starter this is what we get.
  7. twins_89
    I give the deal a B with a chance at being an A if the Twins add another front of the rotation starter. Having Correa on what could be a one year deal without having the pitching to make the playoffs doesn't make sense. The team needs to add significant pitching to make this deal a success.
  8. twins_89
    It wouldn't be a Falvey and LeVine offseason without signing a seriously over the hill starter whose production is poised to fall off a cliff.
  9. twins_89
    It is really weird to have spring training starting and have no idea what direction the team is going this season. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Twins try to compete by signing Story and trading for another good starter. I also wouldn't be surprised to see the team go into the season with a sub $100M payroll and virtually no chance at the playoffs.
  10. twins_89
    I truly have no idea what the team is trying to do. Everything other than the Gray trade points to the team going into developmental mode with a low payroll. Maybe the Gray deal was just too good to pass up. I could see a scenario where Gray gets flipped for what the front office views as better package than Petty at the trade deadline.
  11. twins_89
    Overall this move makes sense if the team is trying to do a quick rebuild. Getting off Donaldson's contract gives the team more flexibility going forward. Adding up the money in the Twins recent trades shows that the team has actually cut the payroll slightly, meaning the team is currently sitting around $40M below the payroll from recent years. The question is whether the money will be spent or if this really is a tanking/developmental year.
  12. twins_89
    As of today I don't see the Twins having enough pitching to make the playoffs. About the only way I see the playoffs happening with the current roster is if Gray has a great year, Bundy pitches a full year at his 2020 level, Ryan/Ober both take a step forward, and at least one of Balazovic/Woods-Richardson/Duran have a huge breakout year. I am very skeptical that we'll see enough of those things to get the Twins into the top 6 teams in the American league. Maybe there will be additional signings/trades to bolster the pitching staff, but unless something fairly significant happens we are not a playoff team.
  13. twins_89
    I think the value is really good for the Twins, but I'm now very confused on the team's direction. Every move (or more accurately lack of moves) up to this point has been in the direction of the team not competing this year, so this is out of step with the rest of the off-season. By itself this doesn't get the starting rotation up to playoff caliber, so I'll be curious if there is a follow-up move to add another good starter.
  14. twins_89
    Johnny Cueto reminds me a little too much of J.A. Happ. I'm tired of the Twins going after well past their prime pitchers who have a fairly significant chance of their production falling off a cliff (examples being Happ, Shoemaker, and Bailey).
  15. twins_89
    I am really starting to feel that the front office is going to treat this season as a developmental year. The complete failure up to this point in putting together a starting rotation (with a payroll under $100M) seems like an indication that we will see a lot of prospects getting significant time this season. I'm expecting to see a lot of the prospects who have already made their MLB debuts (Ryan, Ober, Jax, Moran, Kirilloff, Larnach, Rooker, Celestino, and Gordon) make the opening day roster. I would also expect to see a significant number of the Lewis, Martin, Balazovic, Richardson, Duran, Miranda, Winder, Canterino, Sands, Henriquez, Vallimont, and Strotman group fairly early as well. This is the year where we really find out how good Falvey and Levine are at scouting and developing talent (with a strong emphasis on the development of starting pitching). I won't be surprised to see Donaldson, Sano, Rogers, Bundy, Duffey, and Thielbar getting moved for prospects by the trade deadline (or even before the season starts in some cases). I even wonder if Polanco and Kepler would be available for the right offer.
  16. twins_89
    Paying Rodon $22M/year is more that I'd like, but it's only a 2 year deal so the risk would not have been that high. It's frustrating that the team payroll is $40-50M below what would be a reasonable expectation and the front office seems unwilling to spend on starting pitching. It's a moot point now since there is literally nobody to spend money on in terms of front line pitching.
  17. twins_89
    Having a 3-year stretch of 1st round picks that resulted in Stewart, Gordon, and Jay was a really painful stretch for the organization. Nobody expects every 1st round pick to work out, but whiffing on 3 consecutive top 6 picks was a disaster. The Gordon year I was high on Aaron Nola and was hoping he'd be the pick (which would have been a homerun). The Stewart/Jay years I didn't have a strong preference, so I probably can't complain too much. I guess if I had to pick one year as being the worst it would be the Gordon pick since I thought Nola was by far the best choice.
  18. twins_89
    The Twins have an impressive list of scrap heap relievers that have been on the 24 man roster at some point this season. To date the 11 player list includes Ian Gibaut, Kyle Barraclough, Brandon Waddell, Nick Vincent, Ralph Garza, Beau Burrows, Edgar Garcia, Derek Law, Luke Farrell, Danny Coulombe, and Juan Minaya.
  19. twins_89
    The Twins have a bunch of good to great near MLB ready pitching prospects in Balazovic, Woods-Richardson, Duran, Canterino, Ryan, Winder, Strotman, Sands, and Vallimont. The team's future depends heavily on whether that group turns into 3-4 legitimate major league starters that include 1 or more front of the rotation type guys. If the pitching pipeline produces, I think the team can be competitive next season and contend again in 2023. If the pitching doesn't materialize, I don't know that the front office can buy and trade their way out of their massive pitching deficit. Right now i have reasonably high confidence about the future, but if the pitching pipeline doesn't show results during the rest of this year and early next season that confidence will evaporate.
  20. twins_89
    I give the team a straight B for the trade deadline. The moves they made were good, but being unable to move Pineda, Simmons, and Colome reduces the grade.
  21. twins_89
    Finding a trade for a 38 year old pitcher that has been truly terrible for 3 straight months is amazing.
  22. twins_89
    One of the great mysteries of the Twins season is how Happ managed to get 19 starts when he has been legitimately awful in May, June, and July.
  23. twins_89
    One thing about Buxton is that he seems to have the worst luck of any player I've ever seen. So many of his injuries are freak accidents that most players never see more than one of in a career. If his injury luck balances out even a little bit, he should be in line for an extended stretch of good health. The Twins should be making every effort to sign him to a incentive heavy deal that pays him $20+M every year he plays 120 or more games.
  24. twins_89
    My guess would be to preserve his good start. No reason to put him back out there and risk him giving up a couple of runs. The Twins need him to build up some positive momentum as the trade deadline approaches.
  25. twins_89
    To get a PTBNL the Twins would have to cover pretty much all of Happ's remaining salary (no one is giving cash for Happ).
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