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twins_89

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Everything posted by twins_89

  1. twins_89
    What will happen first, Belisle's ERA with the Twins goes over 10 or he gets released?
  2. twins_89
    Great write up. Your grades match almost exactly with my own thoughts on the trades. The only one I might have graded differently was the Duke trade (I might have went with a B ), mainly because I never expected to get anything of value back. If the Dodgers offer was the best available, I would have much preferred to keep Brian and see where things stood at the end of the year in terms of a qualifying offer.
  3. twins_89
    I'd pass Forsythe through revocable waivers tomorrow and then give him a month of regular playing time and see if he can regain the production he had in 2015-16 with the Rays. Maybe there is a slim chance he could be traded again in August for a lottery ticket prospect.
  4. twins_89
    Based on the trade return, I really wonder if the Twins overplayed their hand in Dozier trade talks. If the rumored Brewers interest was real I have a hard time believing we couldn't have gotten a better deal from them (before they traded for Moustakas). Milwaukee needed a 2B a lot more than a 3B and they gave up a considerably better package.
  5. twins_89
    Dozier has pretty much played himself out of trade consideration with his terrible post all-star hitting. Combine that with very few (if any) trade destinations remaining and I'm beginning to doubt that he gets moved.
  6. twins_89
    I wonder if this signals that the Logan Morrison experiment is coming to an end.
  7. twins_89
    Neither guy coming back makes the Twins top 30 prospect list and I suspect De Jong gets DFAd at the end of the season (if not before) to make room for players that need rule 5 protection.
  8. twins_89
    Rooker's SO/BB ratio has steadily been improving all season. In May it was 4.1, in June 2.5, and in July 2.1 (his last 10 games it has been 0.9). He's had an OPS over 1.000 for two straight months and really looks like he needs a promotion.
  9. twins_89
    Here's my list of guys who look ready for a promotion. AA->AAA: Rooker, Thorpe, and Jay A+->AA: Barnes and Wells A->A+: Badoo and Ober R->A: Keirsey and Williams
  10. twins_89
    I say give Garver as many starts behind the plate as possible. If he can develop to the point where he is remotely competent he'd be a great building block. His bat seems like it's going to be well above average for a catcher, so we really need to find out if he can stick behind the plate.
  11. twins_89
    Over the last calendar year Gibson has been the 20th best starting pitcher in the majors in terms of fWAR (Berrios is 17th). To even consider trading him should require a huge package coming back and I doubt that an appealing offer is out there. I'd be more than happy to sign him to a 3-year deal this off-season.
  12. twins_89
    Anyone waiting for a sign that the Twins should sell clearly got it today. An inside the park HR by Drew Butera to seal a Royals sweep is the most clear sign I've ever seen.
  13. twins_89
    You are right about the comp pick, there's a decent chance it would end up as as comp B pick. I think Escobar accepting the QO is the third most likely scenario if it's offered. Declining the offer or signing a multi-year deal with the Twins seem more likely to me.
  14. twins_89
    One other point of note is that Dozier hasn't been particularly lucky at the plate. Dozier's BABIP of .251 this year is 23 points lower than his career average and almost 50 points lower than last season. With a career average BABIP, Dozier's slash line would be almost exactly in line with his number pre-All Star break the last 2 seasons.
  15. twins_89
    I'd be very comfortable offering Esobar a qualifying offer. If he accepts the Twins get a valuable guy who can fill in at multiple positions on a one year contract (overpaying for one season doesn't hurt the team much if at all). If he declines Minnesota gets a compensatory draft pick. I wouldn't consider any trade offers that have less value than the potential pick (a fangraphs article I saw valued a pick in the 30-40 range around 2.5 WAR pre-FA) plus the value of having Escobar for the rest of this season (extrapolates to around 0.9 WAR not counting playoffs). Based on fangraphs research, a value of 3.4 WAR should be worth a 50 grade hitter or a 55 grade pitcher (based on fangraphs prospect ratings). As an example, in a deal with the Brewers that would be Tristen Lutz or Corbin Burnes.
  16. twins_89
    I'm hoping to see both Buxton and Sano back with the Twins for the last 50 or so games (back up shortly after the trade deadline). I'm also hoping that the time in the minors gets them both on track so that they can build some momentum going into the off-season.
  17. twins_89
    What I'd like to see for the rest of the season is some extended chances for a number of pitchers at AAA. The Twins need to trade Lynn and give a shot to Romero, Mejia, Gonsalves, Sledgers, and Littell where they get at least get 5-10 starts before being sent back down. Similarly in the bullpen I'd trade Rodney and Duke (and waive Belisle) and give real month long opportunities to May, Busenitz, Curtis, Duffey, Moya, and Bard.
  18. twins_89
    Unless the Twins get a better offer for Dozier than is likely, I suspect the best course would be to keep him. If Dozier has a huge second half like in previous years, he might get back to a point where the qualifying offer makes sense which is probably the best possible outcome at this point. As for the rest of the trade options, I'd keep Odorizzi, Gibson, and Escobar (with the intent of extending a qualifying offer). I'd look to trade Lynn, Rodney, Morrison (more likely to be waived), and Duke.
  19. twins_89
    Hard to compete when 8 of the team's 12 position players have a sub .700 OPS. The lineup the Twins put on the field tonight wouldn't even be considered a good minor league batting order.
  20. twins_89
    I'm more than a little surprised that a player of Herrera's caliber got traded this early, especially for a prospect package that isn't particularly strong. Maybe there's hope that the Twins could get a guy like Wilson Ramos sooner than expected (and without giving up our top prospects).
  21. twins_89
    I wish there were moves the Twins could make to turn things around, unfortunately there is almost nothing they can do in the next few weeks. There just isn't much of a market to add talent through trade until closer to the deadline and we don't have any prospects who look like they would be a significant improvement if called up. The fact is, the team just isn't going to succeed when over half of the position players are performing well below expectations. About all the Twins can do is try to stay close enough to Cleveland to justify adding some talent at the trade deadline (catcher and a competent RH hitting outfielder are the glaring needs). Couple an addition or two with guys coming back (Santana, Polanco, May) or figuring things out (Sano, Buxton, Morrison, Dozier) and we might be able to make a run at the Indians in the second half.
  22. twins_89
    I'm not surprised that Sano was optioned, the only real interesting thing was that it was to Fort Myers. If Sano gets moved to Rochester in the fairly near future the AAA team could have a lineup that includes Polanco, Gordon, Sano, Rooker (looks close to a promotion), Buxton, and Wade. That's basically half of the position players I'd hoped would make up the 2019 roster.
  23. twins_89
    With a recurrence of his concussion symptoms it sounds like Mauer won't be back anytime soon. By the time he might be able to give it another try, the Twins could be effectively out of the playoff race, at which point you'd have to question if it's worth coming back at all (especially if he's thinking about retiring after the season).
  24. twins_89
    If the concussion like symptoms that Mauer is having look like they might keep him out for an extended stretch I could see Ramirez as being a good option (on a minimum contract, not claimed off waivers).
  25. twins_89
    I feel bad for Romero, both of the 2 runs he gave up were preventable (one resulted from a stolen base where Garver dropped the ball, and the second only happened due to a wild pitch that Garver couldn't snag).
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