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Twins fans have followed Brooks Lee closely since the team drafted him with the eighth overall pick in the 2022 MLB Draft. At the time, he was considered the best college hitter in his draft class, and the Twins have seen that play out throughout his professional career. In 156 minor-league games, he has hit .281/.355/.459, with 45 doubles, three triples, and 20 home runs. National prospect lists have included him in their top 100 prospect lists over the last two seasons, peaking at number 18 on MLB.com’s list for 2024. Lee is unquestionably among baseball’s best prospects, so what are reasonable expectations for his Twins tenure?
Every fan base believes their team’s top prospects will develop into the next superstar, but this rarely happens, because there are no guarantees with prospect development. Miguel Sanó was considered one of baseball’s best prospects before making his debut, and many fans would classify his career as a disappointment (even with a career 116 OPS+). Aaron Hicks peaked at 19th on Baseball America’s top 100 before posting an 81 OPS+ in a Twins uniform. Other players, like Byron Buxton and Alex Kirilloff, ranked highly but have dealt with injuries. For every successful career, there are players like Sanó and Hicks, who underachieve or even never make the big leagues.
Jorge Polanco was never considered the Twins' top overall prospect, but he was ranked as a top-100 prospect entering the 2016 season by multiple national outlets. He ended up playing parts of 10 seasons in a Twins uniform, while hitting .269/.334/.446 with a 111 OPS+. He started the 2019 All-Star Game at shortstop and finished in the top 13 for the AL MVP. Since 2016, his 15.1 rWAR ranks third on the team behind Max Kepler and Buxton. It’s easy to look at Polanco’s career and undervalue what he brought to the Twins over the last decade.
Lee is a higher-ranking national prospect than Polanco was in the minors, but Twins fans should be satisfied if Lee compiles career numbers similar to the former Twins second baseman. Like Polanco, Lee is climbing the minor-league ranks as a switch-hitting shortstop. The Twins have Carlos Correa and Royce Lewis on the left side of the infield, so Lee will start seeing more time at second base. Those traits are only the beginning of the similarities between these two players.
Polanco has posted solid numbers from both sides of the plate throughout his career, with his OPS being 74 points higher as a lefty. Lee makes consistent contact from both sides of the plate and his .860 OPS was 253 points higher than the one he posted versus right-handed pitching. Last season, both players walked in around 10% of their plate appearances, while Lee’s strikeout rate was 9% lower than Polanco's. Evaluators commend Lee and Polanco on their baseball IQ, one reason Polanco could stick at shortstop for the beginning of his big-league career. As Lee begins his MLB career, his similarities with Polanco will likely start to stand out even more.
The Twins hope Lee can establish himself as an above-average big-league player in the coming years. Some believe he can be a perennial All-Star, with the potential to win an MVP. Those accolades are still possible, but Lee’s profile might be closer to what Polanco accomplished with the Twins. Minnesota’s front office would love for Lee to develop into a consistent top-of-the-order hitter for the next decade. However, some fans would likely be disappointed with that result, since Lee has been highly ranked as a prospect.
What should be the expectations for Lee? Is Polanco a reasonable comp? Leave a comment and start the discussion.







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