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  • 2023 MLB Draft Day 2 Thread


    Jeremy Nygaard

    The Twins added three players on Sunday night and will add eight more on Monday. This article will be updated with each Twins pick, so check back often.

    Image courtesy of Michael Cuneo/STARNEWS-USA TODAY NETWORK

    Twins Video

    Today's portion of the draft, which will include rounds 3 through 10, will begin at 1 p.m. CT.

    Keep up to date with the Twins Draft Tracker.

    A quick recap from yesterday:

    1 (4) - Walker Jenkins, OF, South Brunswick HS (NC)
    18 years old. 6-3, 210.
    Draft Article / Draft Tracker / Rapid Reaction Video

    1C (34) - Charlee Soto, RHP, Reborn Christian Academy (FL)
    17 years old. 6-5, 200.
    Draft ArticleDraft Tracker / Rapid Reaction Video

    2 (49) - Luke Keaschall, 2B, Arizona State
    20 years old. 6-1, 190.
    Draft Article / Draft Tracker 


    3 (82) - Brandon Winokur, OF, Edison HS (CA)
    18 years old. 6-5, 210.
    Draft Tracker  

    Every Draft class has its fair share of high school outfielders who fall in the five-tool potential bucket. Winokur, a product of an Edison High School (Huntington Beach, Calif.) program that has produced big leaguers like Kyle Higashioka and Tim Lopes, has the chance to be one of the best in the class of 2023 after showcasing his tools at summer showcase events like the PDP League, the Area Code Games and the Perfect Game All-American Classic. Winokur certainly looks the part at 6-foot-5 and has the chance to have multiple plus tools in the future. The right-handed hitter will have easily plus raw power and has shown he can tap into it at times against good competition. For a young player with such long levers, he's also shown he can be pretty short to the ball, with a more compact swing than you'd expect. He's a plus runner with a strong arm. While his ability to use his raw tools consistently in games is one question, another is where he plays defensively long-term. The UCLA recruit plays a lot of shortstop for his high school team, but most see a better fit in an outfield corner, where his power and speed could profile very well. - MLB.com

    Draft slot: $859,700

    4 (114) - Tanner Hall, RHP, Southern Mississippi
    21 years old. 6-1, 185.
    Draft Tracker  

    Hall has been one of the most consistent starting pitchers in college baseball in the last two seasons. He doesn't have dominating stuff, but he uses what he has incredibly well. A fastball that sits 89-92 mph but can grab 95 mph is back up by a plus changeup, maybe even better. He hides it well and it has been incredibly effective for him with good tumble. Hall also has an at least average slider and plus control. In 2022, he walked just 14 batters in 109 innings of work. In 2023, the production is still there. Through the end of the season, Hall pitched 112.1 innings, with a 2.48 ERA, 124 strikeouts and 33 walks. At worst, Hall is a good long-man, could be more if he can add to the fastball. - JD Cameron

    Draft slot: $586,000

    5 (150) - Dylan Questad, RHP, Waterford HS (WI)
    18 years old. 6-1, 200.
    Draft Tracker

    Questad turned in a series of strong performances on the showcase circuit last summer, including three perfect innings while sitting in the mid-90s with his fastball at the Area Code Games in August. His stuff wasn't as sharp during his Wisconsin high school senior season, though he did earn Gatorade's state player of the year award. He still has a chance to become the first Badger State high school pitcher taken in the top five rounds since 2006 third-rounder Tony Butler. Questad leans heavily on his fastball, which sat at 92-94 mph and peaked at 97 last summer before dropping a tick or two this spring, albeit still with plenty of run and downhill plane coming out of his high arm slot. He gets good depth on his upper-70s curveball and low-80s slider, though he's still learning to land them for strikes. He can impart some nasty late fade on his low-80s changeup but struggles to control it as well. Questad is strong and athletic, but he may be physically maxed out at 6 feet and 200 pounds. His arm works well but to succeed as a starter at higher levels, he'll need to improve the quality of his secondary pitches and his ability to locate them where he wants. He has had more of a reliever look in 2023, which could land him in college as part of Arkansas' top-rated recruiting class. - MLB.com

    Draft slot: $557,900

    6 (177) - Jay Harry, SS, Penn State
    20 years old. 6-0, 190.
    Draft Tracker  

    Harry is one of the more difficult hitters in the country to strike out. He hit .299/.376/.463 in 229 plate appearances with 20 walks and just 20 strikeouts for a 9% strikeout rate this spring. Harry also doesn’t turn 21 until just after the draft, putting him on the younger side for a college junior. A hard-nosed player who generally eschews batting gloves, Harry has minimal movement to get his swing started. He lifts his front foot up, stays relatively still with little rhythm in his swing before punching his hands at the ball. The result is one of the lower swing-and-miss rates in college baseball, trusting his hands to produce a contact-oriented swing with the ability to serve breaking balls into play. Harry can occasionally turn on a ball for power, but it’s a contact-oriented, spray approach with well below-average power that will be tested against better pitching. He has a solid sense of the strike zone, though he’s not an especially patient hitter for a hitter whose offensive value will have to come from his ability to get on base. Harry played shortstop at Penn State, but his range and arm strength will likely shift him elsewhere in pro ball, possibly to second base. - Baseball America

    Draft slot: $322,900

    7 (207) - Nolan Santos, RHP, Bethune-Cookman
    22 years old. 6-1, 205.
    Draft Tracker

    Santos isn't a Top 500 draft prospect, which likely means he's going to sign for $10-25K to help the Twins sign their other picks. Low 90's fastball. 

    Draft slot: $252,500

    8 (237) - Jace Stoffal, RHP, Oregon
    20 years old. 6-3, 218.
    Draft Tracker  

    Draft slot: $202,200

    9 (267) - Jack Dougherty, RHP, Ole Miss
    21 years old. 6-4, 215.
    Draft Tracker 

    Miscast as a starter, but has a chance to be a quick-moving reliever with a mid-90s fastball. 

    Draft slot: $179,000

    10 (297) - Ross Dunn, LHP, Arizona State
    21 years old. 6-5, 210.
    Draft Tracker

    Dunn began his college career at Florida State, pitching in relief sparingly as a freshman in 2021. He ended up spending much of 2022 as part of an all-lefty weekend rotation with the Seminoles, joining 2022 draftees Parker Messick and Bryce Hubbart. Dunn struck out 14.4 per nine over 48 innings of work before pitching well for the U.S. Collegiate National Team. The Utah native also entered the transfer portal and moved back west to be a part of Arizona State's rotation in 2023, where he's continued to miss bats but have mixed results overall. While none of Dunn's individual offerings jump off the page, he has a very strong three-pitch mix and knows what to do with it. His fastball sits in the 90-93 mph range and it's a sneaky fastball that hitters don't see thanks to some deception in his delivery. His low-80s slider continues to miss bats at a very high rate, according to Synergy, and he's used his mid-80s changeup very effectively as well. The one thing that could hold Dunn back in terms of his Draft stock is his command, especially with his fastball. While he misses a ton of bats, he's also given up too many free passes, with his walk rate spiking this year. Even with that, a college lefty with a legitimate three-pitch mix still has the chance to land in the first five rounds. - MLB.com

    Draft slot: $168,100


    In the meantime, what did you think about what happened Sunday night? What are you looking forward to on Monday?

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    I know this is a big ask, but is it possible to get an updated list of what the top consensus 100 players are left on the board before the twins make their first pick today?

    Or some kind of rolling updated list after the Twins pick in every round?

    If it's not possible I understand and it's fine, I just think it would be cool to see before the twins pick a list of players that were expected to be off the board already that they might still have a shot at.

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    I would love it if they could find another HS kid that is still signable with their third pick. It feels like they are probably more or less at slot after their first 3 picks, but I wouldn’t be shocked if they had a little extra saved up. Even a small discount for Jenkins could be several hundred thousand, with a slot value of 7.5 million.

    I think we might see one more bat before they get heavy into college pitchers.

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    Thrilled with day 1 picks. Not sure if they will need to find some draft pool savings or not because of the 1st two pick. If not, I'd like to see Cam Johnson or catcher with the next pick. The farm seems a bit light on LH starter prospects and catchers.

    A lot of the more exciting position player prospects the last few years have come in these rounds. hoping for more of the same.

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    2 hours ago, pierre75275 said:

    I know this is a big ask, but is it possible to get an updated list of what the top consensus 100 players are left on the board before the twins make their first pick today?

    Or some kind of rolling updated list after the Twins pick in every round?

    If it's not possible I understand and it's fine, I just think it would be cool to see before the twins pick a list of players that were expected to be off the board already that they might still have a shot at.

    If you go to mlb.com's draft site  they have that info set up for everyone.  Even have player rankings included.  Tough part from here on out is that teams will have very different grades on players than the MLB.com site does.  Once you are out of the top 100 all kinds of unknown players pop up.  However this is a deeper draft than most so it might have more value this year.

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    Heck of a first day for the draft.  I expect to see 2-4 college hitters in the next several picks and then a slew of developmental pitchers based on past history.  I am curious to see if the Twins cut a deal with Hurley,  or someone else for there 3rd round pick, a la Blayne Enlow.   May have been a situation where they flip flopped 2nd and 3rd picks because they thought they could get the other player later.  Not sure will have to wait and see.  Having 2 high upside picks in the first round will be fun to watch them develop.  Now we are getting to where the Twins have excelled in the last couple of years.  Find college bats early, and then pick lots and lots of arms.  

    They have said this was a deep draft in the early rounds because of the 2020 pandemic almost combining 2 years together.  I will be curious if the depth in the later rounds will carry through.  

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    12 minutes ago, IA Bean Counter said:

    Heck of a first day for the draft.  I expect to see 2-4 college hitters in the next several picks and then a slew of developmental pitchers based on past history.

    Which would leave them well short of the number of pitchers they actually need but that is the pattern of past mistakes.

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    5 minutes ago, DJL44 said:

    Which would leave them well short of the number of pitchers they actually need but that is the pattern of past mistakes.

    Where exactly are we short on pitching prospects?  We pick just as many pitchers as batters its that we tend to pick them later, as the Twins have a fairly strong plan that has identified pitchers that can have additional success with better coaching.  This has had good success in the last couple of years.  

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    Great job Jeremy. You have done so much good writing to help keep us readers informed as the draft approached and now during the chaos of the draft. You are having to deal with a lot of unknowns and variables and rumors and changes. Thank you for organizing so well the status of this draft as it progresses. Your hard work is much appreciated. 

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    10 minutes ago, IA Bean Counter said:

    Where exactly are we short on pitching prospects?  We pick just as many pitchers as batters its that we tend to pick them later, as the Twins have a fairly strong plan that has identified pitchers that can have additional success with better coaching.  This has had good success in the last couple of years.  

    The roster is half pitchers. Picking just as many pitchers as batters will leave your organization short because pitchers get injured and flame out at a far higher rate than position players.

    The Twins lose Mahle, Maeda and Gray to free agency next year. Who are the three pitching prospects that will replace them? If they had enough pitching they wouldn't have made the trades for Mahle or Lopez at last season's trade deadline. They wouldn't have kept Emilio Pagan for his last season of arbitration. They wouldn't have traded Arraez for Lopez last offseason.

    The Twins top 10 pitching prospects at MLB.com are:

    Prielipp; injured

    Raya: having a decent season

    Woods-Richardson: trending toward the bullpen

    Festa: having a good season

    Canterino: injured

    Henriquez: back end relief pitcher

    Balazovic: back end relief pitcher

    Hidalgo: OK A-ball starter

    Headrick: trending toward the bullpen

    Mooney: Maybe a reliever and he's already 25

    They have a lot of fringy guys who could give them relief innings but only Festa and Raya look like starters and neither will be ready in April. To have a "pipeline" they need to turn out a starting pitcher and a reliever every single year.

     

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    9 minutes ago, DJL44 said:

    The roster is half pitchers. Picking just as many pitchers as batters will leave your organization short because pitchers get injured and flame out at a far higher rate than position players.

    The Twins lose Mahle, Maeda and Gray to free agency next year. Who are the three pitching prospects that will replace them? If they had enough pitching they wouldn't have made the trades for Mahle or Lopez at last season's trade deadline. They wouldn't have kept Emilio Pagan for his last season of arbitration. They wouldn't have traded Arraez for Lopez last offseason.

    The Twins top 10 pitching prospects at MLB.com are:

    Prielipp; injured

    Raya: having a decent season

    Woods-Richardson: trending toward the bullpen

    Festa: having a good season

    Canterino: injured

    Henriquez: back end relief pitcher

    Balazovic: back end relief pitcher

    Hidalgo: OK A-ball starter

    Headrick: trending toward the bullpen

    Mooney: Maybe a reliever and he's already 25

    They have a lot of fringy guys who could give them relief innings but only Festa and Raya look like starters and neither will be ready in April. To have a "pipeline" they need to turn out a starting pitcher and a reliever every single year.

     

    Good thing they have Lopez, Ryan, Ober, Varland and Paddack ready for the start of 2024, along with a whole lot of time to make trades or sign a free agent while letting their pitching develop right?

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    32 minutes ago, DJL44 said:

    The roster is half pitchers. Picking just as many pitchers as batters will leave your organization short because pitchers get injured and flame out at a far higher rate than position players.

    The Twins lose Mahle, Maeda and Gray to free agency next year. Who are the three pitching prospects that will replace them? If they had enough pitching they wouldn't have made the trades for Mahle or Lopez at last season's trade deadline. They wouldn't have kept Emilio Pagan for his last season of arbitration. They wouldn't have traded Arraez for Lopez last offseason.

    The Twins top 10 pitching prospects at MLB.com are:

    Prielipp; injured

    Raya: having a decent season

    Woods-Richardson: trending toward the bullpen

    Festa: having a good season

    Canterino: injured

    Henriquez: back end relief pitcher

    Balazovic: back end relief pitcher

    Hidalgo: OK A-ball starter

    Headrick: trending toward the bullpen

    Mooney: Maybe a reliever and he's already 25

    They have a lot of fringy guys who could give them relief innings but only Festa and Raya look like starters and neither will be ready in April. To have a "pipeline" they need to turn out a starting pitcher and a reliever every single year.

     

    You are looking at next years need vs where these prospects will be at which is low A, High A and AA.  

    As to next year, the top of your rotation is headed by Lopez and Ryan, then Ober as a reliable #3.  Then you will have Varland, Paddack who should be back,  plus possibly 1-2 others who the Twins will sign in free agency.  You will still have others such as Winder who could be a 5th starter.  For future years,  Raya, Festa, Priellipp (? regarding health) , SWR, Matthews, Lewis and even Culpepper give you enough arms that could potentially be starters.  Then you can develop Soto and whoever else the Twins draft this year.  

    This is also ignoring that we can offer a Qualifying offer to Gray.  Either he takes it,  assuming he doesn't fall apart the remainder of the season,  or he gets signed and we receive a comp pick in next years draft.  We have a legitimate shot at 3 picks in the first round which should again be a strong draft due to the residuals of Covid and the 2020 draft year.  

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    there are 4 college pitchers on KLaw's top 10 "best available" list, and it would be great if one of them slipped to the Twins today. (I'm personally less enthusiastic about the HS shortstops sitting out there on that same list, but YMMV)

    I think we'll see the Twins take some college pitchers from smaller college programs again, and I'm fine with that.

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    45 minutes ago, Cory Engelhardt said:

    Good thing they have Lopez, Ryan, Ober, Varland and Paddack ready for the start of 2024, along with a whole lot of time to make trades or sign a free agent while letting their pitching develop right?

    Yes, it is a good thing they can make trades and sign free agents to make up for the shortage of pitching coming up from the minors. They have done that with most of their current roster. Ober and Jax are really the only successful pitchers on the team they drafted and developed. They can't trade multiple prospects for pitching forever and they don't have another Arraez they can trade for a top of the rotation starter. Right now they have no pitchers in MLB's top 100 prospect list and Festa is probably the only one who would even be considered for a list like that. Drafting pitchers becomes more important because the Twins record with international free agency is dreadful when it comes to producing pitchers.

    You have way more confidence than I do that Varland and Winder can replace Gray and Maeda. Winder is 26 and has an ERA over 5 in AAA.

    People talk about "drafting for need" with a catcher. If they were really drafting for need the next 10 picks would all be pitchers.

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    1 minute ago, twinkiesfan11 said:

    Any guesses on the next pick? I’m going with Eric Bitonti.

    Wide net to cast.   If I were a betting man based on their previous mutual interest between the player and team,  I could see Hurley.  beyond that gets a bit more murky.  If not another bat, would be college pitcher that they like of the ones remaining.  Hunter Owen is 6'6", He has a fastball that could improve,  slight health issues.  Has SO/9 of 10.7, last year 12.8.    Watts-Brown is 6'3" had an eye popping 13.6 SO/9.  Had some control issues and needs to gain some speed on the fastball.  Tanner Witt is 6'5",  seems like someone you could get later in the draft.  Really struggled after injury but has the arm talent.  Mcgraw has elite arm talent but hasn't been able to stay healthy.  As to the bats not sure who they would be focusing on.  

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    I keep hearing the draft is deeper on bats, shorter on pitching, and supposedly very short on quality LHP.

    Still, I'm going to hold out hope for a pair of LH arms today that are projectible. Think a pair of Povich types, solid, but similar room to develop.

    A great start to the draft. I'm liking Keaschall more the more I read. I'm hoping all the comments and belief are warranted. It's just odd to me to hear the Twins rave about him, look at good numbers, but then have the guys on the TV say he has no arm and no power and is a 2B. Obviously, what really matters is what the Twins think of him.

    Go Twins!

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    2 hours ago, DJL44 said:

    Which would leave them well short of the number of pitchers they actually need but that is the pattern of past mistakes.

    I don't see the pattern. This is the area of the draft the Twins traditionally start going hard at college arms. I think you're looking for alternate reasons to rip on the front office since the overall feeling is that they actually did well last night.

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    1 minute ago, DocBauer said:

    I keep hearing the draft is deeper on bats, shorter on pitching, and supposedly very short on quality LHP.

    Still, I'm going to hold out hope for a pair of LH arms today that are projectible. Think a pair of Povich types, solid, but similar room to develop.

    A great start to the draft. I'm liking Keaschall more the more I read. I'm hoping all the comments and belief are warranted. It's just odd to me to hear the Twins rave about him, look at good numbers, but then have the guys on the TV say he has no arm and no power and is a 2B. Obviously, what really matters is what the Twins think of him.

    Go Twins!

    Doc,  what this draft is telling you is a couple things,  the Twins are placing a premium on character, and then looking to see if the player has the tools that match the character.  All 3 picks so far this year,  the character has been off the charts.  The Twins said Keaschall was one of the most impressive people they interviewed.  Hey I am good with that.  If he performs as well as Schobel we will be happy.  

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    7 minutes ago, IA Bean Counter said:

    Wide net to cast.   If I were a betting man based on their previous mutual interest between the player and team,  I could see Hurley.  beyond that gets a bit more murky.  If not another bat, would be college pitcher that they like of the ones remaining.  Hunter Owen is 6'6", He has a fastball that could improve,  slight health issues.  Has SO/9 of 10.7, last year 12.8.    Watts-Brown is 6'3" had an eye popping 13.6 SO/9.  Had some control issues and needs to gain some speed on the fastball.  Tanner Witt is 6'5",  seems like someone you could get later in the draft.  Really struggled after injury but has the arm talent.  Mcgraw has elite arm talent but hasn't been able to stay healthy.  As to the bats not sure who they would be focusing on.  

    I believe Witt is a junior and can/will go back to school if not selected high enough, or as a result, offered enough. He sure didn't do much after trying to come back from TJ this year. But the potential is about as high as any arm in the draft. Could he be a 3rd or 4th rounder with $ saved for a nice bonus to make hum forget about college? He could be an interesting follow today.

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    55 minutes ago, twinkiesfan11 said:

    Any guesses on the next pick? I’m going with Eric Bitonti.

    I'll just throw out Trent Caraway.  From the same HS as Royce Lewis.

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    33 minutes ago, DocBauer said:

    I keep hearing the draft is deeper on bats, shorter on pitching, and supposedly very short on quality LHP.

    Still, I'm going to hold out hope for a pair of LH arms today that are projectible. Think a pair of Povich types, solid, but similar room to develop.

    A great start to the draft. I'm liking Keaschall more the more I read. I'm hoping all the comments and belief are warranted. It's just odd to me to hear the Twins rave about him, look at good numbers, but then have the guys on the TV say he has no arm and no power and is a 2B. Obviously, what really matters is what the Twins think of him.

    Go Twins!

    I too am hoping for arms but expecting bats. They generally favor bats through the first 5 picks and then start to go pitcher heavy except for the 2021 draft.  That draft now decimated by trades they went pitcher heavy up top and I would have liked to see them do the same this year but most of the high octane arms are gone and it is going to be hard to sign High School kids unless you have the money to go over slot or they don't plan on going to college.

    There are some good bats floating around yet so I think they will go with bats and then do their typical off board small college starter picks and mix in falling bats or senior signs if they need more money to cover their high school signs. Hoping to be pleasantly surprised but most of the picks from here on out we won't have much info on and will have to wait until next year to see if they were good picks or not.

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    15 minutes ago, nicksaviking said:

    I don't see the pattern. This is the area of the draft the Twins traditionally start going hard at college arms. I think you're looking for alternate reasons to rip on the front office since the overall feeling is that they actually did well last night.

    You don't see the pattern with picking a lefthanded hitting outfielder high (Jenkins, Larnach, Kirilloff, Wallner) picking middle infielders next (Keaschall, Schobel, Steer, Ross, Ortega, Miller, Shuffield, Gray, Holland) and leaning heavily on maxing out velocity of late-round college pitchers?

    The Twins know what they like but they're going to keep getting the same results from the same process.

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    10 minutes ago, DJL44 said:

    You don't see the pattern with picking a lefthanded hitting outfielder high (Jenkins, Larnach, Kirilloff, Wallner) picking middle infielders next (Keaschall, Schobel, Steer, Ross, Ortega, Miller, Shuffield, Gray, Holland) and leaning heavily on maxing out velocity of late-round college pitchers?

    The Twins know what they like but they're going to keep getting the same results from the same process.

    Kiriloff was the previous front office. I'm not sure what people expect. No one from the last two drafts is in the majors in any team, meaning we should look at what they've done in four years. It's not great, but it's also not bad. 

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    22 minutes ago, Mike Sixel said:

    Kiriloff was the previous front office. I'm not sure what people expect. No one from the last two drafts is in the majors in any team, meaning we should look at what they've done in four years. It's not great, but it's also not bad. 

    Since 2018, the Twins have outproduced their draft capital and have used a lot of it to supplement their big league team.  Right now the teams are some of the most competitive in the minor leagues than they have ever been and will have multiple reinforcements coming with this draft. I hate playing next years draft as well, but the Twins will likely again have multiple picks, possibly 4 in the top 2 rounds.  Drafting is hit and miss.  I think the primary thing which I like the last year or two, is the Twins refocusing on hit tool, rather than just power.  That should pay dividends in the future.  

     

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    6 minutes ago, Mike Sixel said:

    It's not great, but it's also not bad. 

    Right, it's pretty mediocre. I think they have actually done a fairly good job of picking the right pitchers. I just think they need to pick more of them. Weight pitchers higher on future value than the position players. Take more shots on goal. A glut of pitchers is a lot better problem to have than a glut of future second basemen or corner outfielders.

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    12 minutes ago, DJL44 said:

    Right, it's pretty mediocre. I think they have actually done a fairly good job of picking the right pitchers. I just think they need to pick more of them. Weight pitchers higher on future value than the position players. Take more shots on goal. A glut of pitchers is a lot better problem to have than a glut of future second basemen or corner outfielders.

    I'm not sure any team does that? Like I said, not sure.

    You need 5 OF too....

    That said, sure, I'd take more chances on arms early, but this wasn't the year for that, given how round 1 went. 

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    14 minutes ago, DJL44 said:

    Right, it's pretty mediocre. I think they have actually done a fairly good job of picking the right pitchers. I just think they need to pick more of them. Weight pitchers higher on future value than the position players. Take more shots on goal. A glut of pitchers is a lot better problem to have than a glut of future second basemen or corner outfielders.

    We might not love the development and minors, but FG has their system 13th overall, before netting two top 100 guys this year. 

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