Twins (Lopez/Matthews) vs Red Sox (Pivetta/Crawford): 9/22/24, 11:35am/4:35pm

[sampleSizeOfOne]

18 minutes ago, Hosken Bombo Disco said:

The Vikings are 2-2 in converting third downs today already, which I think is the equivalent of the Twins batting with RISP

So... If the Vikings stop getting 1st downs, the Twins will start scoring runs?

 

They're more than 2 minutes down in time of possession, and about to return the ball to the Texas Houstons.

[Jocko87]

23 minutes ago, karcherd said:

The Gold Glove first baseman needs to play that grounder more aggressively, he has made a lot of great plays, but he has also cost runs.  And today he cost us three runs.

He was a long, long way from the baseline and made one hesitation step.  A ball that hits the bag sucks but it was a slight misread at worst, not lack of aggression.

[TwinsCD]

Welp, flush this one.

[mrtwinsfan]

3 minutes ago, mrtwinsfan said:

need to catch em by the 5-6th , if not we will see there COLLARS tighten up  its so obvious  that there p[laying tight 

This is OVER,    

[Patzky]

4 minutes ago, mrtwinsfan said:

need to catch em by the 5-6th , if not we will see there COLLARS tighten up  its so obvious  that there p[laying tight 

Better shoot for game 2.

[Patzky]

Can't take him out unless he's hurt. Can't kill the pen for game 2.

[USAFChief]

Way to show up, Twins.

Way to show up, Lopez.

Way to show up, Rocco.

 

[Patzky]

Just now, USAFChief said:

Way to show up, Twins.

Way to show up, Lopez.

Way to show up, Rocco.

 

Rocco lol. He puts out the best possible lineup with his ace pitcher and gets the call from the ump.

 

You Rocco people..

[CRF]

That does it for me. This game is over. One less channel to surf. NFL for the rest of this afternoon. I'll check the 2nd game later. Have fun guys. 

[sampleSizeOfOne]

14 minutes ago, sampleSizeOfOne said:

So... If the Vikings stop getting 1st downs, the Twins will start scoring runs?

 

They're more than 2 minutes down in time of possession, and about to return the ball to the Texas Houstons.

Good news. Vikings punted. Let's see if the Twins can take advantage. A touchdown would be nice.

[Dave Borton]

Tigers up 2-0 in the second against the black and orange birds.

[USAFChief]

25 minutes ago, Patzky said:

Rocco lol. He puts out the best possible lineup with his ace pitcher and gets the call from the ump.

 

You Rocco people..

Nothing is ever Rocco's fault.

 

You Rocco apologists.

[Dave Borton]

2 minutes ago, USAFChief said:

Nothing is ever Rocco's fault.

 

You Rocco apologists.

Who is Rocco?

[Patzky]

Headrick, welcome! 😁 

[Dave Borton]

11 minutes ago, Dave Borton said:

Tigers up 2-0 in the second against the black and orange birds.

3-0.

[singlesoverwalks]

Using the current live Fangraphs win probabilities, I have the Twins at

Retain the wildcard position at end of today: 64.9%

Be in 6-seed at end of today: 38%

Be in 5-seed at end of today: 26.9%

 

Showing my work:

[Patzky]

1 minute ago, singlesoverwalks said:

Using the current live Fangraphs win probabilities, I have the Twins at

Retain the wildcard: 64.9%

Be in 6-seed: 38%

Be in 5-seed: 26.9%

 

Showing my work:

Maybe if the Royals only win one more game this season.. which would really be a shame honestly.

[Patzky]

Better to find out Headrick ain't the answer in a 1-7 game than a 1-1 one.

[singlesoverwalks]

2 minutes ago, Patzky said:

Maybe if the Royals only win one more game this season.. which would really be a shame honestly.

I'm only calculating the chance that the Twins are in that position at the end of  today. I don't know about the rest of the season. I don't have a Monte Carlo simulator in my spreadsheet. (Just edited my post to make that more clear...it wasn't very clear.)

[Schmoeman5]

35 minutes ago, Jocko87 said:

He was a long, long way from the baseline and made one hesitation step.  A ball that hits the bag sucks but it was a slight misread at worst, not lack of aggression.

If there was "one hesitation step"  Does that not imply a lack of aggressiveness?  It was a tough play. I thought he took a bad angle as it wasn't hit real hard.  It's a moot point. Casas is a one man wrecking crew today.

[Patzky]

8 minutes ago, Dave Borton said:

Who is Rocco?

The poster child for crappy hitting  world hunger and terrorist aggression.

[Patzky]

Hope they use up all their runs in Game 1. But that only happens to us.

[USAFChief]

7 minutes ago, Patzky said:

Better to find out Headrick ain't the answer in a 1-7 game than a 1-1 one.

Not sure anybody was under the impression Headrick was an answer to any question we want to know the answer to.

[Patzky]

Just now, USAFChief said:

Not sure anybody was under the impression Headrick was an answer to any question we want to know the answer to.

He should be on Jeopardy. His answer is in the form of a question.

[Western SD Fan]

I’ve been very critical of Rocco. Maybe everything was set up too perfect. Our ace on the mound. What appears to be a good lineup construction. I guess it’s his fault that we had nothing to complain about. 🤷

[jaimedude]

Does anyone that follows Saints closely know if Raya is a real pitching prospect?

[singlesoverwalks]

I think Pablo gave up the 3-run home run, said "Well, might as well get out of this game and save my arm for the next start," and quit trying.

[Schmoeman5]

18 minutes ago, Dave Borton said:

Who is Rocco?

Rise to fall

[Hosken Bombo Disco]

9 minutes ago, Patzky said:

The poster child for crappy hitting  world hunger and terrorist aggression.

and bad coffee 

[singlesoverwalks]

Royals down 2-0, Tigers up 3-0 - updated probabilities:

Twins have wildcard at end of today	60.4%
Twins have 5 seed at end of today	33.8%
Twins have 6 seed at end of  today	26.5%