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Minny505

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Everything posted by Minny505

  1. Minny505
    I might be focusing on this statement too much, but that was not a meltdown. If that is a meltdown, 80% of MLB bullpens meltdown every night of the season. Giving up runs happens. I feel like a meltdown requires 3+ runs to be given up.
  2. Minny505
    Miranda and Arraez should be getting most of the 3B & DH starts going forward, with Arraez getting some 1B time as well. He's really good over there. Miranda is terrible at 1B and I'd rather he be the "break glass in case of emergency" option.
  3. Minny505
    Production for minor leaguers, especially prior to AAA, is hard to evaluate. Many are focusing on weaker parts of their game, which often leads to lower production than their true talent level. This is why scouting is so important here. That said, if Martin can translate that OBP to the MLB level at a .360+ clip, he can essentially be Steven Kwan or Connor Joe like, but with better defense and baserunning. That's a top of the lineup batter that can give the squad 3 or more wins a year. I love it.
  4. Minny505
    I'd like to see Arraez get the majority of starts at 3B when Kirilloff and Polanco are healthy. Urshela makes a fantastic Utility Infielder, being a league averagish RH bat with no true defensive strengths. Arraez would be an upgrade on offense and possibly on defense. That said, there are plenty of starts to be had in LF for Kirilloff until Larnach returns.
  5. Minny505
    Twins have Thornburg throwing a slider for the first time in his 9 season career. It's grading out pretty rad-like. If it's not just a shiny new toy that hitters start to pick up on, he could be a legit weapon. Especially if he drops that nonsense curveball that has had a negative run value every season since 2014.
  6. Minny505
    Maybe 3 for 33mil? With his injury history and age, it seems risky to give him more. At 11mil a season, he's not going to hurt you too much if he can only pitch 80-100 innings.
  7. Minny505
    This doesn't seem likely. He's probably about as available as: Carlos Rodon Noah Sydergaard Aaron Nola Charlie Morton Adam Wainwright Corey Kluber (Knowing the Rays, he actually might be available. Fair enough) Sean Manea Why Gibson as opposed to these other pitchers?
  8. Minny505
    I remember the Sabato pick. I confusedly exclaimed, "What the ****!? Why?" Nothing I heard or read after justified the pick in my mind. That was a terrible pick the moment it was made. I still don't understand it. Also, huge props for spelling out the guttural "OOffftttaaa". Living outside Minnesota for the last 19 years, that made me giggle.
  9. Minny505
    Jeffers is a strange case. His BaseballSavant page looks solid, but the results are horrible. Savant has Jeffers listed as the 10th most unlucky batter in MLB this season, with a .071 point gap between his wOBA and xwOBA. He has an elite barrel rate and an expected slug that would earn him a solid extension offer if his results matched, but they just don't. The issue seems to be a complete lack of strike zone control...ironic considering he has such a great strike zone control behind the plate. I expect his production to regress, or progress if you will, to the mean. He just needs more time. I don't expect him to be a good hitter, but I think league average is attainable.
  10. Minny505
    Sorry to burst the bubble, but if the Yankees break the record, it will be impossible for the Twins to face them in the first round as the Yankees will have a first round bye with the new playoff structure. The top two teams in the AL/NL get byes. That said, if the Twins can win the division, they will get three home games for the first round, best of three.
  11. Minny505
    Jeffers is a borderline elite defensive catcher. In addition, his Baseball Savant swing results scream breakout. If he ever learns some patience at the plate, he's going to be a monster. Sanchez, on the other hand, is one of the worst defensive catchers in MLB that gets regular time behind the plate. In addition, his Baseball Savant offensive profile would lead you to assume he must be a defensive wizard since he has a job. He's not.
  12. Minny505
    Sanchez better start hitting. A weak hitting, poor fielding catcher is not really an asset. At least be decent at one of those things.
  13. Minny505
    Risking injury. I don't disagree with hustling in that specific situation, but 99% of the time that players don't hustle, it's the right decision. Unfortunately that may have been one of those 1% plays.
  14. Minny505
    I was going to put this here as well. Of all the hitters the Twins have had on the roster since 2019, only Nelson Cruz has hit LHP better. Garlick would be firmly planted as a top 10 hitter in MLB if he could put that up for his total line. As a bench player though, on a team where the primary corner outfielders hit left handed, his role is about as secure as anyone.
  15. Minny505
    Height at 1B is extremely helpful when the rest of the IF is less talented. in HS and college, that height advantage can be extreme, as the 1B has to stretch up and down the line to snag poor throws on a regular basis. MLB fielders were closer to this for most of MLB history, so it's no surprise the belief exists. In the modern MLB game, fielders around the IF have such incredible arms that throws are rarely needed to be stretched for horizontally. They just don't make as many errant throws. Footwork/positioning and scooping ability is much more important in modern MLB. ------------------- [side note: I play amateur baseball. The main, and very noticeable, difference between 30 year old amateurs and 30 year old pros on defense is the ability to throw. Most amateur players at comparable ages seem to have similar range and glovework as their professional counterparts. But wow, the throwing is SOOOOO different.]
  16. Minny505
    Getting Garlick some 1B work would do wonders. Arraez has looked shockingly proficient at 1B, particularly on scoops. That said, his numbers against LHP are "meh" at best and unplayable at worst...like he's going now. Rotating Garlick between RF and 1B against LHP would be the best way to maximize his production.
  17. Minny505
    Incredibly well written article Matt. Really fun way to digest this info. Thank you.
  18. Minny505
    I heard on the Pitcherlist podcast that the Twins barreled 13 balls against Verlander and didn't score a run. Baseball is weird sometimes. (Note: I think it was barrels. Might have been hits over 100 MPH. How would I look something like that up?)
  19. Minny505
    I'd move the Jays to 4 and slide the Astros and Twins down one each to accommodate...but that's just picking nits.
  20. Minny505
    A high-contact, walk-taking, slap-hitting, speedster has a lot of value. This version of him is better than I had hoped for. Let's see if he can keep it up!
  21. Minny505
    Bundy's results so far are not sustainable. This start feels a lot like Martin Perez, circa 2019. Ryan, Paddack, and Ober have all looked solid. I'm not worried about Gray as long as he stays healthy. Archer is still a question mark. He looks passable. Winder has looked great! It's nice having a wild card like Bundy as the seventh best SP on the squad right now. We're gonna need them all.
  22. Minny505
    10th seems about right. No dispute here.
  23. Minny505
    Not really. According to the brightest minds in the biz, pitcher performance stabilizes at 200 pitches. That is about what Paddy Wagon has thrown. His pitching numbers are uniformly excellent, with above average control, command, and movement. He is a big mover up the lists of Pitcher List, Pitch Plus, and others. Ignore the production and focus on his pitching independent of results. It is impossible to not be impressed.
  24. Minny505
    Another fan of the pitch clock here. I have heard from 8-10 hardcore baseball fans that went to minor league games that used it. Every one of them raved about it. If that is the response from hardcore fans, it's going to be even bigger from casual fans. As an isolated rule change, it seems to be far and away the best rule change MLB could make for a better fan experience.
  25. Minny505
    Correa's hard hit rate is as high as it has ever been and he is in the top 5% of the league in that category. The issue is that he's hitting so many balls into the ground. Based on his track record, that will correct itself. I'd add on that Larnach and Gordon have both been a pleasant surprise in limited time on the field.
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