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twinstalker

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Everything posted by twinstalker

  1. twinstalker
    Yawn on Walker, who's maybe baked and costs far too much for them. Twins just got one of those, and you expect another? Also, sunk cost mean it's done and gone.
  2. twinstalker
    They think it's low-risk, but then he gets 23 hits in a row, and you start doing stupid stuff.
  3. twinstalker
    Oh, the irony of the filthy wealthy and aspiring oligarchs: Having too many kids spreads the wealth and increases the chance of having a few turn out to be movie and record producers or hippies.
  4. twinstalker
    Well, if the Twin bring in Mayo, and especially if they pay a price for him, it fits with them not having a clue about hitting.
  5. twinstalker
    Why in the world would you want to trade for Coby Mayo? There are statlines that you should never look at unless there's something bad on them. Example Prime A is Baltimore's AA affiliate Bowie. No matter how good the hitting stats are there, you have to ignore them. One of the valuable pieces of information you can get from a good hitting line there, though, is strikeout rate. So here we go: Age 21 AA (that right there indicates he's a little ahead but is not overly special, Jenkins was 20 at AAA) 86 K in 347 PA which comes to a 25% strikeout rate (this indicates for age and level that he strikes out too often to be MLB-good Age 22 AAA he did the same. Slash numbers down at Norfolk because it's not the bandbox that Bowie is. K rate still 25%. He was promoted to majors for 46 PA, a .293 OPS, and nearly a 50% K rate. Age 23 AAA his K rate got worse, his batting slash dropped. Like Cody, Baltimore made the mistake that he might be good and gave him 294 PA of a .687 slug and a really bad 27% K rate. There is zero reason to want Coby Mayo. His predictors say he'll be mediocre, and those are the types you'll find on the non-tender scrap heap after they've put in 4-5 years.
  6. twinstalker
    Shaking my head at the constant proposals to extend Boras clients.
  7. twinstalker
    I'm aghast that Jackson hasn't considered improving before this. Think of the millions he was forgetting about.
  8. twinstalker
    For what people think of Josh Bell, they should take note that his minors predictors are fantastic in comparison to anybody in the Twins system (esp EmRod), excluding Jenkins, with Gonzalez and Culpepper arguably somewhat close?. Even a past-prime Bell is better than most anything the Twins can expect or reasonably hope for from their system. I see nothing past those three, and they're AAA. This system is bereft of hitting, and I've never seen anything like it. Maybe conveniently forgetting.
  9. twinstalker
    There are some names, like Andujar, who might get you some value at the trade deadline. O'Hearn. But it's doubtful they'll be around when the Twins are offering up 1 yr low salary contracts.
  10. twinstalker
    Rebuild can't work unless you know what you're looking for in a prospect. Hitting-wise, they don't.
  11. twinstalker
    Trade EmRod. Please. While he still has a little value.
  12. twinstalker
    Mayo is the definition of mediocre, which would be a fine platoon bat with Clemens, but the Orioles asking price is that of a truly good prospect. Mayo predictors say meh at best. Mountcastle should, in theory, give you a better player. His predictors were better than Mayo's, and they proved out early in his prime. This is going to be his age 29 season, which should still be in his "good years," but this past season is a head-scratcher, especially with the Orioles pulling the left field fence back in. I'd stay away from Mayo at all costs unless the asking price is the same. You're basically getting a half-time player either way, and RM theoretically > CM.
  13. twinstalker
    Here what I think won't change: Cholowsky and Emerson are not available. The best hope is that someone becomes a clear number 3. I'm a little surprised Jacob Lombard isn't listed and would like to ask why to see Jamie's thoughts. I don't necessarily disagree.
  14. twinstalker
    Why would they pay money for Hoskins? I just don't understand that. Sure, give him a million to platoon, not that he hits lefties that well. If there are financial troubles, stop being stupid with money.
  15. twinstalker
    He's not a young star. He's never been a star. Maybe some day we'll look at our players objectively.
  16. twinstalker
    Isn't Correa signed through 2028, so there are just three payments to be made? If the first is today, the third is in 2027.
  17. twinstalker
    It seems like a good result to get a catcher for free, neither having to pay $150k the catcher signed for nor $100K, of course.
  18. twinstalker
    LOL. Why in the world would you think someone would take Kala'i Rosario? His hitting predictors are cr*p, he can't play defense, and he can't run. "While he's not quite ready for the majors..." This would seem a sarcastic not quite, as he almost certainly won't be ready for the majors, I'd say ever. The only time good minors hitting lines translate to the majors are when the actual hitting predictors are good. They're horrible for Rosario, as has been shown several times, and he won't be a factor. He's Yunior Severino. Only the Pirates might not get that totally, but they are savvy enough to know he can't be played. Rockies have DePodesta in charge now. It seems the Twins are back to being among the worst in data analytics.
  19. twinstalker
    Right now it's a two-player draft, and the Twins have the third pick. I think they must have gotten that advice from the 1990s Timberwolves. Whom to pick? Christian Laettner?
  20. twinstalker
    They don't know how. I should start trading stocks to make millions, too.
  21. twinstalker
    No. This is wrong. If the Twins sign Hoskins, facts don't matter. He will hit lights out. And then I will b*tch about him when he doesn't and ask what happened because he was good that one season before I finally say something nasty about the Pohlads.
  22. twinstalker
    From memory he got a chance to play ball at a small school, and I don't think even that lasted, as he just wasn't very good (pro-wise). And that's the first and most important thing I thought of: age matters. Whatever he did while being scouted means nothing. I highly doubt he's anything, and for a team crying poor, $500k is a ton to pay for a prima facie too old prospect that has no track record. The FCL is where you should play as an 18 yr old if you have any chance, and I doubt he's starting there. Most likely they start him in DOSL, and he struggles there, and it's a waste of money. Twins system has been reduced to gambling on longshots. All this with no successful hitting development in the system.
  23. twinstalker
    I think some missed that this wasn't paid by the Twins.
  24. twinstalker
    LOL. Kyle DeBarge was a 1st rd pick. His stock is not remotely "up." After not impressing at all at low A, he got promoted to A+ in 2025. That's the level that college first rounders should start unless the idea is to get their feet wet with a few low A ABs. Like Culpepper did. DeBarge couldn't really handle low A, DeBarge also couldn't handle A+ in his age 21/22 season this past year, putting up the same poor hitting stats he did at low A after being drafted. This all fits with the scouting report the Twins should have read prior to drafting him: he couldn't hit major conference pitching in college. Overall his K rate is 22.6% in leagues where his age is a bit old for a top prospect. And that 22.6% is too high for his profile (and age and level). It was a bad pick, and it's turned out exactly as you'd expect. If/when he makes it to the majors, it won't be in any way impactful except in the negative. So, if you knew how bad the Twins drafting of him (and he was ranked much lower on the consensus draft board), you might be generous and say his stock is the same. But most people were okay with the pick, in which case his stock should be way down. It's one of the many disasters of this Twins drafting regime.
  25. twinstalker
    The irony is twofold: 1. It's not youth, it's $$$. 2. There is a whole bunch of youth, but hardly any of it has a chance. Jenkins, Keaschall. Zebby, sort of. they have a good chance. Gabe G. and Culpepper have small chances. I can't think of any other hitters who could be good. I'm sure many people can, but they'd be wrong. The pitching pipeline seemed to break with injuries to nearly all of them and the Morris/Lewis collapse.
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