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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Do you think they need both Bride and Clemens?
  2. jorgenswest
    I can’t. I can tell you that the Dodgers have more innings from their bullpen than any other team this year. Last year it was the same. The Twins are 7th but in front of them are two other teams having a good season with the Cubs and Mariners joining the Dodgers. Individually Varland’s 14 innings would rank in the 22nd to 32nd spot. Second on the Twins by innings is Duran and he slots in 96 to 105 by inning use. The leaders in games played at 15 pitch for the 17-11 Dodgers (Yates), the 17-10 Giants (Rogers) and the 12-15 Cardinals (Maton). Varland several others are next. There are 77 relievers that have pitched at least 12 games and 158 that have pitched at least 20 games. By team the top 3 in games from the pen are the Dodgers, Mariners and Cubs. The source for this data is Fangraphs.
  3. jorgenswest
    Did they need an infielder? They have Gasper and Bride on the bench. The only position that Keaschall could play is 2B and they both can play there. It is Keaschall’s bat at DH that will be missed. I think they should have replaced him with the best bat they could add within or outside the organization.
  4. jorgenswest
    Bride’s history of reverse platoon includes the minors from the time he hit AAA and the difference seems significant. Clemens hit right handed pitching better in the minors over the last three years. It seems more likely that his major league reverse split is a function of only 62 plate appearances. His strike out walk ratio was 15 to 1. I think they are both better against right handed pitching and seem pretty redundant.
  5. jorgenswest
    With Keaschall out they need a bat. They still have three guys that can play the left side in case on goes down in a game. They have enough that can 1B and 2B. I don’t see the need for both Clemons and Bride. I would have preferred they call up McCusker and put him at DH. They still can do that. They can option Gasper and bring up McCusker but now they need a 40 spot. Instead they can DFA Bride which will create the 40 spot and maybe he will pass through waivers.
  6. jorgenswest
    I guess they want him to sit around until there is an opportunity to use him to pinch hit for Julien against a left handed pitcher.
  7. jorgenswest
    It is hard for a contending team to carry a player on the 40 that will not be ready for the majors this year. That player needs to be a really good prospect in order to protect him. On the other hand teams where contending is not realistic should retain upside over players in expiring contracts. It is like investing in a rule 5 player but instead you have to keep him in the 40 rather than the 26. Is contending in 2025 still realistic? Does Cartaya still have upside? I think Cartaya should still be given time and the Twins sure aren’t trending towards contention. It is quite possible the Twins asked Cartaya to make some changes in his swing. Any change is likely to cause struggle before growth.
  8. jorgenswest
    Baseball drafts are always about failure. You can virrually always find someone in hindsight they should have drafted in that spot unless of course you draft Bailey Ober in the 12th round and he has the 4th most WAR in the class. There will always be players that need more time than options allow and end up making it with another team. If there was a redraft today would Royce and Bailey be in the top 10 picks? That would seem a success. If you summed the WAR of the players selected and signed where would the Twins rank? I think the DBacks might be number 1 with Varsho and Caballero though neither is in the organization any longer. They do still have Lourdes Gurriel in trade for Varsho. Nothing for Caballero. The Twins might slot in number 2 in total WAR of drafted and signed players. I think that I would need to go way down the list of mistakes the Twins organization has made in the last 8 years before I would put 2017 draft on the list.
  9. jorgenswest
    For McCusker the risk is the 40 man spot. If he struggles in the majors and needs this full year of AAA either that 40 man spot is unavailable or they need to DFA McCusker to open it up. They really need to be pretty certain he is ready. The same would be true if they wanted to take a look at Morris or Eeles. It might be worth the risk.
  10. jorgenswest
    Jonah Bride’s platoon splits (versus right/left) Career in majors .711 in 384 PAs/ .522 in 228 PAs Majors and Minors combined last three years. 2024: .890/.735 2023: .959/.648 2022: .797/.719 Is the Twins plan to use him against left handed pitching? Maybe he has just had a three year run of bad luck against lefties.
  11. jorgenswest
    Jonah Bride’s platoon splits (versus right/left) Career in majors .711 in 384 PAs/ .522 in 228 PAs Majors and Minors combined last three years. 2024: .890/.735 2023: .959/.648 2022: .797/.719 How would you utilize him on the roster?
  12. jorgenswest
    I am saying the Dodgers used 565 relievers last year not including the 10 relievers I used as an opener.
  13. jorgenswest
    The Dodgers used 565 relief pitchers last year. That is 3.5 per game. The 10 openers they used (most pitching 1 inning) should be added to that bullpen use also.
  14. jorgenswest
    Wouldn’t Julien DH if Keaschall gives them a better glove? I don’t know which glove is better or how often they would play Keaschall on the field coming back from TJS. I will take whatever I can get on the field as opposed to waiting in AAA assuming his bat is ready. If Julien and Keaschall give them a line up with the best bats I hope they are both in the line up.
  15. jorgenswest
    If he is ready to hit above league average I will take whatever defense he can give them at 2B.
  16. jorgenswest
    He can also consent to be optioned. I am not sure where the motivation would be other than he would remain on a 40 man roster. In waivers he could risk no one picking up his contract and then not be on a 40. Would that be any motivation?
  17. jorgenswest
    I am sure you are correct but I see he has 2 options with 4.165 years of service on Fangraphs. I guess he must have reached 5 years now and the 4.165 represents the service time entering the year. I think he would have needed 7 days and now would have to give his consent to be optioned.
  18. jorgenswest
    I don’t think I have ever griped about the Twins not having a second replay and it costing them the game. I am sure that they have been on the other side in the past. The last thing I would want is more replay. Give a manager a second replay and there will be more frivolous first replays. That will be followed by a cry for a third replay when the two are used up. One is enough. I would hope the takeaways for both teams would be… Be judicious about using a replay early in the game. You need to be absolutely certain of a reversal or the win expectancy change in turning it around is very significant. If not trust your team to get out of the situation. Keep playing baseball in the face of a bad call. The play was not over at the moment of that bad call. In this case be aware and throw the guy out at home.
  19. jorgenswest
    Thanks for the update. Varland at 77 innings would ranked 7th last year. Duran at 69 would have ranked 33rd. There were several relievers without double digit saves and more than 69 innings including Clase, Hader, Scott and Iglesias. it seems like a pretty reasonable workload so far.
  20. jorgenswest
    Bride has a career OPS of .640 with a career split where he has an OPS of .711 against right handed pitching and .517 against left handed pitching. That much reverse split didn’t make sense so I looked at his last three AAA seasons and he has hit right handed pitching better than left handed pitching each year. He hasn’t hit left handed pitching so he can’t platoon with Julien nor should he ever pinch hit for Julien. His career defensive metrics center suggest he is an average defender. He is out of options and will likely be DFA’d when the Twins get some of their left side of the infield back. Seems like a reasonable temporary solution for 3B against right handed pitching.
  21. jorgenswest
    Concur. To add… mlb gameday reported as a missed catch by France.
  22. jorgenswest
    He can beat the odds. Brendan Donovan has played a just little shortstop professionally and Brandon Lowe hasn’t played shortstop professionally. They play a lot of second base. Both Lowe and Donovan also have played a lot of games in the outfield. They play well enough at 2B with very good bats. I don’t think Keaschall has the power of Lowe but maybe his hit profile is similar to Donovan. In any case he doesn’t have many professional innings on the diamond in the outfield or second base and he will benefit from the AAA season this year.
  23. jorgenswest
    You could go to about 11:53 on the podcast. My paraphrase… The next step is full games and then back to back days. In mid May early June begin working in the outfield in practice off days before getting him back in game action in the outfield after that.
  24. jorgenswest
    Jeremy Zoll on Inside Twins yesterday. He will progress to back to back at second and eventually progress to the outfield where he says the arm action is different.
  25. jorgenswest
    Do you think Keaschall will stick at 2B? It is rare for a college second baseman to stick at that position. Virtually all major league 2Bs start as shortstops in the minors. Most that come in as drafted as 2Bs move to a corner like 1B or LF if they have enough bat.
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