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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Wouldn’t the Baltimore/Washington DC metro area be much larger?
  2. jorgenswest
    My hope is they don’t double down and tender an offer to Topa in arbitration. He will be 34 and the injury and age will add to the decline. He doesn’t have any space for decline. It is unreasonable to think he will perform anywhere near his lone good major league season. It doesn’t matter if the trade was a loss for the Mariners. The trade did not improve the 2024 Twins. It won’t improve the 2025 Twins. If they aren’t going to compete for free agents, they need to utilize their trade assets better.
  3. jorgenswest
    I listened to postgame. Rocco said it was a good play and wasn’t close. Still wonder if they were told to pay attention to that positioning and be aggressive as Vazquez and Castro were. That would still make it something they did in their own rather than called from the dugout. That is more about preparation.
  4. jorgenswest
    Vazquez was tremendous tonight. I couldn’t disagree more with the @Matt Braun 90 minute take. Great base running on that Martin groundball. Perfect lead, timed the pitcher well and went hard through second and third. Later he gets the balk. I am glad he is on this team. Castro also took advantage of deep positioning of Jose Ramirez on that steal of home. Was that something the Twins planned to exploit?
  5. jorgenswest
    Like I said I think Rodriguez would do it given his ability to play CF. I dont think Keaschall would be enough. I would have done a Puk for Rodriguez plus a marginal prospect deal. I also would have done just about any of the recent Twin prospect deals including the Mahle deal and Lopez deal and they don’t always work out.
  6. jorgenswest
    I made this mistake too. It did take a 21 year old that had 28 home runs (31 now) this year and already in AAA. Would Emmanuel Rodriguez be enough to top that bat given his position? On the other hand he is often injured and a level lower. I don’t think they have anyone else in the organization other than Lee and Walker that can win that deal.
  7. jorgenswest
    My guess too but not really my question. I wonder what is best. Should they arrange their top 3 to throw in that series? In September of 2022 the Twins were 1.5 games behind Cleveland with a stretch of 11 games where they would see them 8 times. Sonny Gray and Joe Ryan were their best starters. In the opening 3 games series Baldelli started Bundy, Archer and Winder while the Guadians put up their top three starters. All Twin losses. Ryan and Gray got starts against a weak Royal team in between. In games 4-6 Ober, Varland and Winder were starters. All losses. Finally Ryan got a start in the 7th of 8 games against Cleveland. They won but it was far too late. Gray and Ryan could have and should have started four of those games.
  8. jorgenswest
    Should they try to set the rotation so that the top 3 start against Cleveland? If so, they need a solution for Wednesday and a 27th man starter for Friday.
  9. jorgenswest
    Can they option Wood Richardson and then bring him back as the 27th man on Friday? I know there is a 15 day rule but I think there is an exception for injury or 27th man. If that is the case they could consider bringing up Varland to start Wednesday. They would need to believe that the success he has had in his last four starts (22 2/3 IP, 13H, 27K, 9BB). wed - Varland fri - Ryan/Woods Richardson sat - Ober sun - Lopez mon - Festa tue - Varland The result would be there best three starters lined up against Cleveland. They would need to give Varland another start over Woods Richardson against Texas. I am not sold that giving a pitcher an extra day or rest or even skipping a start has any lasting impact but there would be an extra day or two for Ryan and Ober and longer rest for Woods Richardson. Can they manipulate the 27th man in this way? Should they? Edit: this doesn’t work for Varland. He pitched Saturday. They would have to do a bullpen day or bring up someone like Plutko for Wednesday to get the top 3 against Cleveland.
  10. jorgenswest
  11. jorgenswest
    AJ Puk? Can’t be. There must have been better relievers than Puk moved. As traded he had a declining strike out rate and a walk rate that has more than doubled. His velocity is a career low on all of his pitches except the change up where it is a career high. His BABiP and HR rate are at career lows. Is that sustainable? His velocity on the fastball and slider were both at or near career levels in his 2 Arizona innings so maybe they have something but his Miami performance was mediocre at best.
  12. jorgenswest
    Just copying the title and trying to redirect the conversation back to how that money might make a difference.
  13. jorgenswest
    Will the Twins Be Helped By MLB and MLBPA’s Revised Television Deal?
  14. jorgenswest
    The lighter air does help the ball travel further. It also has an impact on some pitches more than others. It is not as simple as acquire groundball pitchers. Mario DeGenz from Purple Row at SBNation did a six part series on pitching at altitude. These were his four attributes for a pitcher suited to defy the effects of altitude at Coors Field. Above average or better velocity. Supination dominant Elite extension Lower than average release point How many of those attributes are a match to Randy Dobnak?
  15. jorgenswest
    Two wild card teams made it to the World Series last year. The Rangers made several changes and gave up some very good prospects. The Mets did keep a lot of the contract in the Scherzer deal in exchange for a Rodriguez level prospect. They won the series and should have no regrets on losing Cole Ragans but he was a heavy price to pay for Chapman. They also sent three players for Montgomery. The DBacks added two relievers and a right handed batting outfielder without significantly impacting their prospect pool or budget. The door to the World Series should not be considered closed to the Twins.
  16. jorgenswest
    How does his defense compare to the other three? Isola has caught 1 game this year. He isn’t a catcher. Winkel has caught much more this year throwing out 13% of runners. That is half of Camargo’s AAA rate. I think Camargo is pretty different than those two. Perhaps Williams is close to Camargo. Not sure about the other critical parts of his catcher game. I guess they could pick up a Martin Maldonado or similar if an injury were to occur. I would have put Camargo on the 40 man roster. There are several on your list that I would remove before I would remove Camargo but if they need to remove that many he can go too.
  17. jorgenswest
    That is several teams with a cap of 75 million. I wouldn’t expect 15 million. I don’t think it will move the needle much.
  18. jorgenswest
    Credit to him for making the best of the option down and working to come back strong. Credit to the Twins staff for helping him get back here.
  19. jorgenswest
    I think they have 7 days to trade him or he would go to waivers. I don’t think he will make it to waivers and even if he did some team would take him with an earlier claim. What is the most you would offer in trade to get him? I would offer a player on the 40 that is a the fringe of DFA like Severino or a player that they will be making a rule 5 decision next winter like Keirsey.
  20. jorgenswest
    Boston can get so much more for Teel. His FV from Fangraphs is a 50. That is comparable to Brooks Lee but Lee is a year older and doesn’t play catcher. Jenkins for Teel and a reliever might be enough.
  21. jorgenswest
    I think it is a bad idea to sell low. I am glad we didn’t sell low on Miranda.
  22. jorgenswest
    I think they need to keep trying spots as high in the defensive spectrum as possible. If that is CF then they need to invest the necessary time to see if he can approach average.
  23. jorgenswest
    I hope Rodriguez gets healthy and is an option. I don’t think Keaschall is ready to play defensively at any postion in the majors.
  24. jorgenswest
    They also have been one of the least expensive places to see a game ranking 29th entering this year. Lower attendance and lower revenue per ticket is not going to help them compete with other teams. It was a PR mistake to announce that they were reducing budget but that came after their best opportunity to sell tickets during the 2023 playoffs. If they didn’t sell 2024 tickets then, why should they have expected the winter would be much better?
  25. jorgenswest
    Did they announce it during the playoffs? I thought it was reported early in the off-season. Their best shot at selling tickets is the playoffs when fans buy packages for next season to get a seat in the playoffs. That window is the key time to sell packages for 2024. Is it possible that poor future sales during the playoff push was a factor in their decision to cut payroll?
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