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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Can they go to 15 or does one of the additions need to be a position player?
  2. jorgenswest
    In September they can carry 14 pitchers. I would expect Ober, Winder, Maeda and Dobnak to start with a rehab assignment in AAA. Since none are on that assignment yet I wouldn’t think any of them would be ready on September 1. Moran would be my addition. They still need to find spots for Maeda, Ober and Winder including two 40 man roster spots. One of the 40 man roster spots would be Jewell. The other probably Pagán. A third spot on the 28 would be needed if by some miracle all three made it through a healthy rehab. In that case Bundy or Archer may be the next to go. Of course all of this really won’t really matter because someone currently on the roster will get injured (or maybe already is injured in Mahle).
  3. jorgenswest
    Playoff eligibility. Player must be on 40 man roster or 60 day IL as August 31 turn into September 1 to be eligible.
  4. jorgenswest
    Does any team have a pitcher used exclusively as a long man? I think Sands has the least trust in the bullpen. I don’t think he replaces Mahle in a close game. I believe they trust Pagán more in that situation. He is the reliever with options. There will be a game where the Twins get down and he goes in to save the rest of the bullpen followed by a trip to St. Paul after the game. I think the Twins do need a trusted mid game reliever that can go multiple innings. With the addition of Fulmer and Lopez I think Jax can return that role. In the first two months of the season most of his appearances went more than an inning. That shifted when Duffey, Smith and Pagán failed.
  5. jorgenswest
    It would be a tough add. Isola probably is not close to ready as a catcher. He has only caught 15 games this year and runners have been successful in 30 of 31 stolen base attempts. That is both high volume and a horrible rate. It would be really hard for a contending team to devote a 40 man roster spot to him. Those spots are starting valuable and he has no positional flexibility. Would a tanking team stash him on the 26 man roster? It is hard to imagine as a catcher. They need to develop their pitchers also and I don’t think they would want him behind the plate for 60 or more games. Any team taking him would have to stash him for a year as a pinch hitter/1B/DH. In 2024 they could return him to the minors to try to develop him as a catcher with hopes he can help at catcher at some point in 2025.
  6. jorgenswest
    Two reasons to not seek an extension would be his age and position at time of free agency. The Twins will already have locked up his prime. By his 30s he may be primarily a DH and his market may be limited. However if they believe he has an elite bat capable of putting up seasons with a wRC+ 160 or better they should get those first few years of free agency. He might have that bat.
  7. jorgenswest
    I enjoyed listening to the pregame show sharing part of the conversation between Gardy and Baldelli. Gardenhire wasn’t impressed with the distance of the thrown hat and had some tips for Baldelli.
  8. jorgenswest
    Martin seems like a lock. The AFL made a difference for Lewis after a rough year. I have the same hope for Martin. Pitchers are tricky trying to limit innings. I think they also value their own instructional following the season for their pitchers. Enlow has a partial season so he might make sense. I am not as sure about Headrick.
  9. jorgenswest
    Reliability in relievers is difficult to measure at the run level. ERA needs a sample size of several reliever years to stabilize so any unreliability is likely the measure and not the reliever. To look for a decline in performance or unreliability I think you would need to consider performance at the pitch and plate appearance level.
  10. jorgenswest
    I agree that Stassi does not score from first. He was on the bench. Velazquez probably does. That guy can run.
  11. jorgenswest
    They had a very fast runner on first taking off with two outs. The ball is slicing to the corner. There is no way that runner holds at third. There may be a chance at the plate but the best chance to win that game In 9 was to catch that ball. We might argue with the defensive positioning. Sierra had just missed a double down the left field line on the previous pitch. He was not catching up to the fastball. Gordon should have been moved closer to the line.
  12. jorgenswest
    At least 2 of the games was an ankle injury.
  13. jorgenswest
    I don’t think teams can be successful without developing and trading good prospects. It is a credit to the Twins staff to identify and develop a 90th pick in Steer to the point where they are the headliner of a deal for a controlled playoff quality starter. Only 1 player who signed from the 90th spot has more than 10 career WAR. In second place on the WAR list at 9 is Sean Rodriguez. Cal Raleigh who will probably pass Rodriguez is the only other over 1 at 1.5. Similarly Povich was selected at pick 97. Again only one player with over 10 career WAR in Jack Morris. Edwin Diaz will likely pass 10. Between the two spots and over 100 players selected only two or possibly 4 players will surpass 10 career WAR. Well done Twins. They turned the 90th and 97th draft slots into headliners for significant deadline additions.
  14. jorgenswest
    I don’t think I would replace Pagán with any of the options other than Moran and Cotton. I don’t have much more confidence in either but both provide a needed attribute in either being left handed or being able to go multiple innings.
  15. jorgenswest
    It did make a difference that Cave took second base. If both go on contact you still have a runner on third with one out if a play is made at home. If the Jays hold Cave instead of giving him second on the first pitch the play is riskier.
  16. jorgenswest
    I hope he stays. If he doesn’t stay they might look to Nick Gordon. Gordon had a long stretch of health trouble and had lost strength. That loss impacted his batting and I am guessing his play at shortstop also. I would prepare him for a lot of time in the middle infield in the off-season if Correa opts out.
  17. jorgenswest
    I don’t think they will keep Pagán. He has stuff but no command. Last year his walks were low but he was the hardest hit pitcher in baseball catching too much of the plate. This year he goes back and forth between walks and getting hit hard. He may finish the season with the luck of runners left on base as he did early in the season but it is unreasonable to believe he will gain command of his pitches. They need someone better and his arb 3 salary can’t be justified.
  18. jorgenswest
    I like Pagán over Duffey going forward… this year. I would look for a more reliable option than either in the off-season.
  19. jorgenswest
    These were necessary trades at the deadline and a credit to the drafting and development of talent that can bring back a controllable reliever and starter at the deadline. I hope this is a win for both sides of these trades at the deadline and we see the Twins win the central and a playoff series while the prospects they traded find their way to the major leagues down the road.
  20. jorgenswest
    I don’t see the crunch. They shouldn’t make any deals worried about the fringes of the roster. This is not a team with a great farm system. I do expect more to happen but not because of the roster.
  21. jorgenswest
    Not similar. Dyson’s best season was as a closer in 2016 and his 2018 season was in line with 2019. He was always a reliever.
  22. jorgenswest
    Would Cano have been DFA’d to make room? If so it is more like a three player deal.
  23. jorgenswest
    It is a good and necessary move. We might look back in hindsight a few years down the road and have “lost” this deal. It will still have been a good and necessary move.
  24. jorgenswest
    Good move.
  25. jorgenswest
    I think Correa might opt in next year. His performance is not elite and might not get him the contract he wants. He may bet on himself to be closer to the 19 or 21 seasons next year.
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