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Eris

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Everything posted by Eris

  1. Eris
    I am seldom bothered by roster moves. I find sending Wallner down to somewhat troubling. At a time when the Twins are reaching new lows in offensive ineptitude and leading the league in SO, they send down the one batter who has out performed every one else on the team since recalled on May 23. Since then, Wallner has had 0 SO, walked 2 times, has a WRC+ of 371, OPS OF 1.714, WPA+ = .67, WPA- = 0.04. (Data is from Fangraphs) While I don’t expect Wallner to maintain this pace, it would have been relatively easy to find roster space for Wallner for the Houston series. For example put Gallo on the IL because of his leg injury. Taylor may also benefit from being on the IL because of his back. With Kepler coming back, Wallner could DH the Houston series while giving Buxton sometime to clear his head.
  2. Eris
    Not liking the Wallner transaction. He is one of the few players who stepped upto the plate against the Blue Jays and actually did the job.
  3. Eris
    WSJ (May 27-28)has a back page story on how the Orioles fixed Yennier Cano. Short summary is they identified mechanical flaws in his delivery and have improved his % strikes. First pitch strike % in 2022 was 58%, it is now 68%. The mechanical flaws cited in the article are: his front shoulder would fly open, tinkered with grips and threw from multiple arm slots. This should be alarming for Twins fans. Cano goes Orioles and significantly improves. Lopez to the Twins with massive regression and we have not seen the center piece of the trade pitching in the majors yet.
  4. Eris
    I think, unfortunately, with the Bomba Squad in 2019, the Twins emphasized home runs and power and have put together a team that as a result are among the leaders in % of runs scored via HR. With that comes more SO and a collection of players who seem incapable of playing small ball. Spencer Steer had 2 hits and 2 RBIs today. His K% is 21.3 There are 14 players for the Twins this year that have a greater K%. Kepler, Wallner, Miranda, and Gordon are lowerer.
  5. Eris
    Injuries contributed a lot to Hick’s last several years of underperformance. However, he has been brutal this year in the OF, missing balls that should have been easy outs. One of the effects of trading Hicks is that Buxton was called up before he was able to be effective at the MLB level.
  6. Eris
    I agree with everything you have written. In general unions are designed to protect the most senior members. This is as much true for MLB players, the umpires union, as well as teachers unions and the auto factory. This is one of the reasons why I thought having the MLB players association represent the minor league players was a poor idea. The objectives of minor league players are inherently in conflict with major league players.
  7. Eris
    The Gio Urshela trade can not be viewed in isolation. Urshela was essentially traded for Kyle Farmer. By most metrics (WRC+, OPS, WAR), Farmer has outperformed Urshela. Yes, 3B is a problem. Few would have predicted that Spencer Steer would outperform Jose Miranda.
  8. Eris
    I think the biggest criticism of the PH moves is depleting the bench early in the game. However, Rocco didn’t get 16Ks by himself, 12 of which came against Manaea and Beck, both of whom have ERAs >5.4. There should be expectation that MLB players can take quality at bats. Currently, beyond Kirilloff, something few players on the Twins seem capable of doing. I was going to put Farmer on the list with Kirilloff but noticed that Farmer’s K% has increased from 17% last year to 26% this year.
  9. Eris
    Steven Kwan, Guardians left fielder and Larnach’s teammate at Oregon, was drafted in the 5th round of the 2018 draft and has accumulated 4.8 WAR. Data is from Fangraphs.
  10. Eris
    The Twins offense is quite offensive. As per Fangraphs, the Twins have 1 player who has contributed more than 1 WAR. The Rays have 8 players. This is not the best measurement because WAR includes defense contributions, but still it is an indication how poor a number of Twins players have done for the season.
  11. Eris
    The Twins paid a premium for an all star closer to help secure a playoff spot. He fell apart when he got here and did not help the Twins down the stretch. The Twins will lose this trade.
  12. Eris
    Sorry. No. The Twins gave up good prospects for a front line pitcher the help down the stretch last year and he was put on the DL after 2 starts. Mahle has nothing this year. Did the Twins need pitching help last year. Yes. But trade imploded from the start. The Twins are small market team. The consequences of being wrong on trades like this are harder for the Twins to recover from than some of the large market teams.
  13. Eris
    I don’t think a hitting coach is responsible for players swinging at pitches a foot out of the strike zone. It would be interesting to learn how Brent Rooker was able to resurrect his MLB career by doubling his walks and significantly reducing his strike outs. This transformation was over one offseason. He is an example of what is possible with improved plate discipline. edited to add. Brent Rooker had minor league seasons with BB near 14%. He is at career lows with SO even compared to his stats in the minors.
  14. Eris
    Miranda should be sent down and let Farmer play third until Royce Lewis is ready. At least the team and fans could have the expectation of above average defense at third. The Twins just have too many right handed bats who aren’t getting the job done. Miranda, Correa, and Solano. It is hard to win when a third of the lineup isn’t getting the job done.
  15. Eris
    The Twins have the third worst team batting average at 0.225. This corresponds to the third worst BABIP. They are tied with SF for the most SO. They are also 25th in OBP. These are not the stats of a team that would be expected to do well when they have an opportunity to score a run. At some level strike outs and the ability to get a base hit matter.
  16. Eris
    I used 0.250 because the league average is 0.247. A better approach would be to use WRC+ but the point would have been the same in that there are a lot of Twins hitters who are underperforming league averages. Some of these by a substantial amount https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=10&type=8&season=2023&month=0&season1=2023&ind=0&team=8&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2023-01-01&enddate=2023-12-31&sort=17,d
  17. Eris
    The Twins lineup in their 12 inning win against the White Sox today (including substitutions) featured 9 players with a batting average below 0.250. While I don’t know if Alex Kirilloff will recover from his injuries, I find it hard to believe that a lineup this anemic can not find room for some who was once considered one of the best hitting prospects in Twins minor league system. As mentioned in the article, he can get at bats playing LF, RF, 1B and DH. Rotate until there is a better solution. By comparison, the Rays had 3 players in their lineup today with a batting average less than 0.260. The White Sox had 5 players with a BA less that 0.250.
  18. Eris
    “bringing Correa to the plate. The Twins superstar, however, struck out swinging, and the game was over” On a ball that was at least a foot off the plate Almost painful to watch the poor plate discipline from a lot of the Twins batters Also Jeffers got thrown out at 3rd base with 2 outs on boneheaded base running. The Twins challenged and lost. They really needed the lost challenge later when Castro was called out stealing 2B but was really safe
  19. Eris
    It was known that Mahle had shoulder issues before the trade last year. https://www.mlb.com/news/tyler-mahle-reds-injury-shoulder-strain
  20. Eris
    Curious as to whether or not the Twins could have played the game under protest. It was no longer a judgment call as to if he had sticky stuff on his gloves. It was noticed by the umps who presumably deemed this incidental (this part is a judgment call) and asked him to remove it. He did not comply (perhaps this non-compliance is also considered an umpire judgment call). In any event, playing the game under protest would have forced the league to explain why the Yankee pitcher got special treatment, not once but twice. Likely the protest would have been denied but it would have placed a greater spotlight on the issue.
  21. Eris
    Can someone comment on the quality of defense Emmanuel Rodriguez provides in CF. Is he a legit MLB defensive CF.
  22. Eris
    Not sure I agree with the bit about Gallo playing excellent defense. Maybe at 1B. With his brief stint in RF it seems that Gallo could not catch 2 balls that Kepler would have made look easy. Gallo has a cannon. Maybe we are spoiled by watching Kepler all these years. And they are both on the DL.
  23. Eris
    The article is probably quite on. I probably disagree the most with the assessment of Kenta Maeda. Maeda has always been a good pitcher and I see no reason why he will not come back. Part of this is wishful thinking but expect him to get stronger as the season progresses. Mahle. I cringe at what the Twins gave up for him.
  24. Eris
    I like the idea of robo umps as missed balls or strikes affect the outcome of the game. Perhaps an intermediate solution would be to get rid of or prevent umpires behind home plate who can not correctly call balls and strikes above a certain grade level. The later will never happen so it’s robo umpires. With regards to the future value of catchers, the ability to call a good game is still critical. This is harder to determine statistically, but pitchers know. More emphasis will also be placed on caught or preventing stealing. Maybe a pitcher catcher combo that allows 80 % or higher stolen base percentage should not be used.
  25. Eris
    LF. Larnach had 1.1 WAR last season playing in 25 games. If he is healthy for even half the season he should be able to put up at least 2 WAR. The position to be worried about is 3B as Miranda has not been tested there defensively. Of course he is an option at first base as well.
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