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Eris

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Everything posted by Eris

  1. Eris
    Does anyone know the duration of TOS symptoms that Archer has. Do his fingers become numb after throwing a certain number of pitches and then this numbness goes away in a day or two or does the numbness appear after multiple outings and then lasts for weeks or months. Neither Phil Hughes or Matt Harvey have returned to their pre TOS levels.
  2. Eris
    I agree with you. The Angels would be a better team if Trout moved to LF. While there is no question that Trout is the best offensive player of this generation he has become an average to below average defensive CF. In outs above average from 2016 to 2021, Trout has -3 OAA (worse than 40th on this list). https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/outs_above_average?type=Fielder&startYear=2016&endYear=2021&split=no&team=&range=year&min=q&pos=8&roles=&viz=hide Just imagine how good Buxton would be if he was on the field more than half the games
  3. Eris
    “Nothing stops the team from moving him up and down from Triple-A throughout the 2022 season.” I thought a part of the new CBA limits the number of times a player can be optioned per year to 5.
  4. Eris
    Not quite analytical, but it gives you an idea. Here are some of the lopsided stats: Yankees pitchers have a 1.78 ERA (108 IP, 21 ER) with Higashioka catching and a 3.92 ERA (151.2 IP, 66 ER) when Sanchez is receiving. Higashioka is hitting .243 with four homers, seven RBI with a 1.012 OPS, while Sanchez is at .180 with two homers, four RBI and a .619 OPS. Higashioka has no errors, one passed ball and has thrown out two of six base stealers compared to Sanchez’ three errors, one passed ball and 1-for-8 caught stealings. The Yankees are 9-2 when Higashioka starts, 6-12 when Sanchez starts. source: https://www.nj.com/yankees/2021/05/kyle-higashioka-or-gary-sanchez-yankees-pitchers-get-no-input-on-aaron-boones-daily-catcher-decision.html?outputType=amp
  5. Eris
    Towards the end of the 2021 season, when the games really started to matter, Sanchez lost his starting job to Kyle Higashioka. A Defensive first cather. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kyle-higashioka/5517/stats?position=C It could well be that the Yankees see Rortvedt as one of their catchers of the future edited to add. One of the Yankees top prospects, Austin Wells (#5 in their system) is an offense first catcher with an ETA of 2023
  6. Eris
    If the Twins were unwilling to accept Donaldson’s contract why do we think they will spend even more money to sign a SS or SP. it is really hard to comprehend the value of a trade that makes the Twins worse at 3 positions.
  7. Eris
    Remember lots of discussions on how Liriano’s nasty slider would put a lot of stress on his elbow. Almost if having Tommy John surgery was a fore gone conclusion. When Liriano returned from TJ surgery, the issue became the consistency of his delivery. I remember seeing a chart somewhere that on Liriano’s effective outings, a plot of his release points would fit on a grapefruit. On his bad outings, the release point plot expanded to the size of a watermelon.
  8. Eris
    I am also down on Celestino. I think one of the reasons for being negative is the Twins got nothing in return for Baddoo and Wade, both of whom had better seasons than Celestino. Edited to add: It seems that Nick Gordon played CF as good as or better than Celestino. Defensively, both were slightly below league average but Gordon achieved this without any prior experience in CF.
  9. Eris
    At A+ Wallner’s stats are BB% almost 10, K% 33 Rooker at the same level has similar BB% with K% 29 Data is from Fangraphs.
  10. Eris
    Rooker in left? It is one of the challenges faced when the team drafts a bunch of bat first outfielders whose best long term position might be DH. I would not be signing any of these free agents as we have a number of positionless players (Arraez, Gordon, Rooker, Larnach, Sano?) who will need to play somewhere. Agree with Old Fox that Martin might be the best internal option.
  11. Eris
    According to MLB Trade Values, Lewis for Sonny Gray (2 years remaining on his contract) would be a reasonable trade. As a Twins fan, I would not want that trade made because I expect 2022 to be a lost year.
  12. Eris
    You forgot Shooter Hunt. With a name like that what could possibly go wrong. https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=hunt--001sho
  13. Eris
    The MLBPA association are hardly saints in this process. Look at how the sold out on the minor leaguers, negotiating their salaries and conditions but not letting them be part on the union so they can actually vote. The MLBPA resistance to drug testing was one of their larger disgraces. There are proposals that would seem to make a more competitive balance. Increased revenue sharing in return for a salary floor. Such a proposal would be popular with the average to below average players as it would mean higher salaries for the none elite. They get to vote on the contract as well. Correct? I realize the opposite has been presented in the Manfred discussion. But why would the average player agree to a provision that means fewer opportunities for them I think a form of restricted free agency (as in football) would be useful. A player can be controlled by one team for upto 14 years. This is too long.
  14. Eris
    Byron Buxton needs a crash course on risk assessment. The risk to take in a close game should be much different than if having a lopsided score. I can’t remember if it was 2019 or 2020, but Buxton hurt himself running full speed into the wall vs the White Sox in a game the Twins were up by a lot.
  15. Eris
    I would be inclined to pass on all of these buy low candidates in favor of protecting more of our Rule 5 eligible pitchers. Tyler Wells was more valuable than any of the buy low candidates last year. Finding 3 starting pitchers is a significant -almost improbable task. (2 if Peneda resigns). At some point the Twins need to depend on their farm system to contribute.
  16. Eris
    This is how the WS will end Or this
  17. Eris
    The Twins had a choice with Santana. They could have chosen to have Santana play out his contract and leave as a free agent and receiving a draft pick in the compensation round. This would have been the best option considering they were in the playoffs the following season and the poor return of players received from the Mets. They have the same choice with Berrios. They can trade him now for whatever they can get or keep him for the 2022 season. An uncertainty is over the CBA and whether there will be free agent based draft compensation.
  18. Eris
    I generally agree with these numbers and that 15 million is in the ballpark for the guaranteed value. I arrived at 15 million by taking Mike Trout's salary and then prorating by the percentage of games played. Mike Trout has appeared in 95% of the Angel's games over his career. Buxton's availability is around 40%. I would add other performance benefits to the contract, e.g,, 10 million if he wins MVP, 5 million for 2nd place, etc. A value that would make his salary similar to Mike Trout's. Also, we don't really know where Byron Buxton wants to play. He is from Georgia. Maybe he would accept a package from the Braves that he would not accept from the Twins. Free agency is a players opportunity to choose their employer. An opportunity that most of us could take every day.
  19. Eris
    I wish Nelson Cruz the best in pursuing a WS ring with the Rays. I will be rooting for the Rays for the remainder of the year.
  20. Eris
    An alternative way of looking at the question is have the Twins gotten value for the glut of outfielders they have in their system. The answer is clearly no. Lance Lynn and Kyle Gibson could be added to this conversation as well although I don’t know if either would have resigned and Lynn had the worst season of his career with the Twins. The discussion on which players to protect has to be viewed in the context of whether or not a team is a contender. When not contending, Baddoo would have been kept over Cave. Hindsight is a wonderful lens into the world. Was Baddoo available to be put on the alternative site in 2020. That was their opportunity to evaluate Baddoo’s readiness. Aaron Whitefield was on the taxi squad. Celestino has been on 40 man roster for two years. But he looks way overmatched. What was the criteria for keeping Celestino over Baddoo. Baddoo is a currently a slightly below average defender and maybe doesn’t profile as a true center fielder.
  21. Eris
    I don’t think spending money is really the issue. Some players don’t want to come here (Marcus Semien). They have gotten poor performance from some they did pay (Donaldson, Sano, Kepler, Colome).
  22. Eris
    Entering the season the Twins were in need of a backup outfielder who could play a serviceable CF because of Buxton’s injury history. The Twins had Cave, Kepler, Celestino, Wade, and Baddoo. Wade was traded, Baddoo lost to rule 5, both Cave and Kepler were hurt, Celestino look very unprepared when given the opportunity. Both Wade and Baddoo have outplayed the others on this list. Although injuries to both Kepler and Cave could not have been predicted, they both struggled in 2020. One of Wade or Baddoo should have been retained. The Twins don’t have the luxury of making to many mistakes in personnel decisions. I get that the Twins have too many outfielders, especially if you include Rooker, Lewis, and Arraez. Maybe the best option would have been to sign a Jarrod Dyson type of player to have an a legit CF to backup Buxton. Fortunately for the Twins, Gordon looks to be decent CFer (albeit with a below average arm).
  23. Eris
    “All three relievers have struggled mightily this year, but specifically using Dobnak and Shoemakers as relievers and leaving them out there when they were clearly struggling to get outs was interesting. “ Because the bullpen is burned up. The only way the Twins will have a respectable record at seasons ends is if every pitcher starts contributing. Yes, that means when a pitcher is expected to throw 2 or 3 innings he needs to throw 2 or 3 innings even if the results aren’t there.
  24. Eris
    I am curious about the decision to put Gordon in CF over Gilberto Celestino. Not that I am unhappy about it and hope that Gordon can learn how to play the OF like Jarrod Dyson. But with Gordon having no OF experience it seems the safe choice would have Larnach with a strong arm in RF, Gordon in LF and keeping Celestino in CF.
  25. Eris
    They used the slot money they saved by taking Lewis, to sign Blayne Enlow. Considering the Twins stretch of bad luck/poor decisions in drafting pitchers in the first round, selecting Lewis seemed reasonable. My concerns would be on reports of poor swing mechanics that aren’t being corrected. (Like another top pick who plays CF) I also agree with @Danchat above that the continued selection of bat first high strikeout prone hitters could use an adjustment either by drafting more pitchers or players with defensive value https://blogs.fangraphs.com/sunday-notes-twins-prospect-royce-lewis-has-a-cacophonous-swing-and-a-sky-high-ceiling/
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