Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Trov

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,375

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Trov

  1. Trov
    I would add SWR to the list. Although he only had one start at MLB level last year, his poor first half really knocked off the hyped prospect. I think he still has huge upside but many wrote him off after his first half last year.
  2. Trov
    Chase petty may have put up decent numbers, but he pitched in 18 games and only 68 innings for average of 3.7 innings per start. In 2021 he actually pitched more innings per start as he came out of pen 5 times and averaged 3.9 innings per outing. He clearly had some injury concerns as he pitched 30 innings less than he did the year prior last year, however, he appears to have made a start each week. He averaged 15 pitches an inning, which is a good number. I personally wonder why the scale back of innings? Without following him more I wonder if he has a future of a top pen guy, not that is a bad thing for any pitcher, but when you are hoping for top starter it is a little disappointment. Unless he builds and pitches more innings this next year I think he will be settling into a pen spot. As for Soto hopefully he can be one of the few high school pitcher that does have a good MLB career. Very few high school pitchers make it.
  3. Trov
    This is a great idea for baseball to do. I will try my best to catch the game, However, it is only one game and I sure hope people do not take too much from it. It is more just a fun way for our top prospects to get to play together and let fans see them who could not normally otherwise. I mostly will look forward to Jenkins and Soto.
  4. Trov
    If he is what he did last year, then he will be good but not great. Most likely eventually looking to settle into DH roll. He has great arm in the OF, but not good range overall. He will need to learn to hit some against lefties, else he will be only a platoon guy as he was auto out against lefties. His OBP was .196 against lefties, He crushed righties, and if he can continue to do that, then those are MVP type numbers against them, so if he can even be average against lefties he will be huge for us.
  5. Trov
    This has to be the season he shows he can be counted on or he will be relegated to bench guy. We had high hopes for him but he never was able to stay healthy. Although we do not have clear long term answers at first, it is a position that people get moved to when they can hit but fielding is ehh. We brought in Santana due to his defense and if AK can start to actually hit well he will get more reps at first, but he will have much less time to work with.
  6. Trov
    I am not sold on Wallner as a star, and I am concerned he will regress too much as pitcher continue to adjust. He was also unplayable against lefties so for now he is at best a platoon guy. I hope he adjusts to the MLB pitching. I would point out, the author says had he qualified with enough at bats he would have trailed just 5 hitters for highest k-rate. Joey Gallo if he had enough at bats would have been way worse, he was at 42.8%. Heck, Gallo has never had a lower K rate then 34%. Personally, I am not a fan of the three true outcome type hitters, they get boring in my mind, but if Wallner stay near where he was he will at least be above average. He is not far off Kyle Schwarber type numbers. Not superstar, but not bad at all and if you get hot in playoffs could carry a team.
  7. Trov
    I do not understand people getting upset so much about trading prospects. Not every prospect will work out, pitchers are some of the most volatile, and high school pitchers even more. Petty has been doing well, but many pitchers do well at lower minor leagues. He only has 8 innings at AA. Could he turn out to be a good pitcher yes, but at the time we also though Balzavic was going to be good, he dropped off a cliff prospect wise. The fact that we got 2 seasons from Gray for him, and he would is still at least 1 year from MLB, to me means we got a good deal, even if he turns out to be a good pitcher he was not helping us the 2 years we got from Gray. In terms of the Mahle trade, yeah he was injured, common for pitchers, and we got overall burned. However, where do you fit the guys we traded away in the teams pecking order? CES most likely is in minors for us, possibly at MLB level fighting for reps at first. Steve Hajjar would be in minors and is not even in top 30 ranking of Cleveland prospects, he got traded to them. If you want to talk about the third piece, Steer, he would be in similar spot as CES being a bench guy fighting for reps at 2nd now behind Julien or first, or some outfield. He would have filled the Farmer roll most likely, absent the SS fill in. That is if we gave him a shot. Reds had the spot open. Point is, many of the guys we traded away over last few years would have been down our depth chart or close with others we have. People always look at who we sent away, and compare them to who we got in return in trade, but never look at who had or got to replace them in depth charts. Sure, could we have used the guys in the Mahle trade for other trade yeah and going back that would have been better.
  8. Trov
    I do not understand why we would predict regression when he was always touted as a top prospect and only health is what really kept him back. Sure, he may not hit 4 grand slams every year, in part he may not get that many chances, and teams may start pitching around him in those situations willing to give up 1 run, not the full Bonds treatment, but give him nothing but junk in hopes he starts chasing. If we are expecting regression it is only because he did things he never did before, but that does not seem to be the fact. Yes, compared to his very young years the OPS is higher, but that is to be expected from an 18 or 19 year old. His 2019 season he was hurt much of the year, but in 2022 he put up .940 OPS at AAA and .867 OPS at MLB. Last year the power was about the same, the main difference in OPS was his OBP. The main risk we run into is if he starts to press and chase bad pitches because teams start pitching around him. I am not too worried about that because after he came back from his injury last year, the last 2 months he did better than his first month, which is when they would have started to adjust more to him crushing. Sure, he may regress, but to expect it because he was very good seems odd based on his overall history. He is getting into his prime and could very well get even better. If he, Buck, CC can all stay healthy and Julien can build off what he did last year the top of this line up will be crazy.
  9. Trov
    None of these make the roster barring a 60 day DL stint of a position player. Even then I find it unlikely that any of these will take that spot right away. They will have to put in work at AAA before they get a spot on the 40 man.
  10. Trov
    What this deal tells to me is that Taylor was asking for either too much money or too many years. Taylor would have been better fit, but being it would be as a 4th OF and late inning replacement the cost should be lower. However, I feel like Martin could have filled the roll too, unless they want to make sure he is playing everyday so will be AAA then only get call with injury.
  11. Trov
    I doubt they sign any of them to MLB contract, but if any will take a minor league deal with opt outs Twins may go with that. They have options that may have more upside than any of the names on the list. Signing any to MLB deal will take someone off the 40 man roster. So do not expect anyone to sign until 60 day DL moves get made, if any, unless again they are on minor league deals. They have a few guys in AAA that could come up and be just as good as any on the list, if not better. Why block them?
  12. Trov
    Severino is more like Joey Gallo than Salano. Salano will strike out like 40% if not more at MLB level.
  13. Trov
    He is still considered one of the best defensive catchers in the league. I bet a team would claim him. Sure, you hope he hits better than he has, but I doubt it was not a coincidence that our pitchers all did better last year, than the year prior when we had Sanchez as our main catcher. I know everyone loves Jeffers offense, but we have not seen him play the every day role long term. He could take a step back if he is expected to play most of the games behind the plate. Also, if we dump Vasquez, not like we will replace his 10 mil with anyone, and then if Jeffers gets hurt, which he has in the past, then we have a rookie running the pitching staff full time and finding some cast off guy.
  14. Trov
    No team ever gets by on their planned 26 man roster through a season. Having depth is very important for any team. Many times, the depth becomes the leader in successful teams. Take last year for example, we did not have Lewis in our starting 26 man roster. We knew he would come back mid-season but did not know if he would be a piece or a top guy. He quickly became top guy. He then missed a little more time. We also thought Miranda would take 3rd base out the gates, and he failed. Juilen and Wallner both came in and helped carry the team at times. That is one reason always trading away your depth for a slightly better player is not always the smartest move, unless you have more guys in the wings to fill in.
  15. Trov
    AK numbers against RHP is not that much better than Santana's numbers against RHP. The difference in OPS from AK career to even Santana last year is only .040 points about, and slugging is only .020 points. That is not a black hole in comparison. I have high hope for AK but he has yet to show he can reach what we thought.
  16. Trov
    If Buck can stay healthy and actually play a near full season and in the playoffs our lineup would be so much better. If he can steal bases again even more. I will never believe Buck will play a full season but we can always hope.
  17. Trov
    It is unlikely Miranda makes the team out of camp based on current roster. He does not need to have a strong spring because he will get shipped to AAA barring injuries to others. Once in AAA he will need to hit well there, else he will be looking as a possible DFA or trade if we need to free up a roster spot. Therefore, I do not agree Miranda needs to have a strong spring. I also disagree with either Festa or SWR needing strong spring, and if they have strong performances in AAA that will show more than 1 or 2 inning outings in spring. Again, we all know spring means nothing and many guys crush in spring training only to flop when real games happen. Pitchers that are trying to impress normally will do better in spring against established hitters because the hitters are working on something specific. Just as established pitchers sometime have bad springs because they are working on a new pitcher or sequencing, stuff like that. I would agree people fighting for last pen spot need to show they can come out, throw well out of the pen. Rarely does results in spring connect to making team, it is the process the team looks at generally. So if the pitches looks good, and they can get velo up and work a good process, even if results are not as good. Personally, I want to see Buck play multiple games in CF and be healthy, that would be a best outcome of spring. There is 1 roster spot on the 26 man roster up for grabs right now. That is the pen spot. This will mainly be a spring of non roster guys trying to impress and build off stuff, and the fringe guys like Miranda and Larnach showing improvement over last year so they will be called on when needed not passed on. However, both will need to show that in AAA first.
  18. Trov
    Personally I do not like the deal at all. We are paying 4 mil of our own cash for a backup CF that is average defense wise over his career, was negative last year slightly. He is subpar with the bat. Yes, he has hit lefties better, but not a masher against them, still not huge power. Not sure what Taylor would have cost but he fits both those roles better. On a cheaper option we have Martin in minors. Most likely can play CF from all accounts, and will have similar power to Margot. I am not someone that thinks Miller will be a star, he cannot hit enough to be MLB regular I think, but we could have filled this same hole most likely with other options that would be better and without giving up Miller. Hopefully Margot does well with us, but feel like it is a ehhh move.
  19. Trov
    Personally not a fan of the move. If we wanted a right handed hitter for outfield, Taylor is better hitter overall than Margot in my opinion. I assume we could have signed Taylor for similar amount of money, maybe not. Also, Taylor is much better defender than Margot as well. It is possible Taylor wanted 2 years, which we would not have wanted to give him, but if he would have been willing to take 1 year deal for similar or slightly more money that would have been better move. I do not expect Miller to be an amazing player, but we could have used him in a trade to fill other needs. I am assuming the prospect we got from Dodgers is not even in our top 30. So we really gave up a mid-level prospect for a downgrade at 4th outfielder spot. Personally, I think we could have filled Martin in for what Margot would be doing for us, and he will hopefully play better defense and hit better than Margot.
  20. Trov
    I do not think the team gave up on him, some fans may have after his terrible start last year, but if you look at his numbers from July on they were very good. Not great, but for being 22 last year at AAA his second half numbers were good enough to warrant an MLB look.
  21. Trov
    I have little faith in Desclafani as a guy we can count on in this rotation. Specifically, outside of his contract year, he has never been much better than end of rotation guy. He did have okay year in 2019 as well. I do not care how much of changing his pitch mix he does. He has never been a great pitcher and he is at an age where really you just want to try and get innings out of him. My guess he breaks camp as the 5th guy, but hopefully with other health and performance he gets the DFA before too long. Maybe he has a good year and we would take it, but I am not counting on it at all.
  22. Trov
    Yes three batters does not mean much, but having higher velo and when you look at his last couple months of last season he put up good numbers. He will be an interesting one to watch this spring, and could be the first call up like Ober was last year and take off running if he is doing well.
  23. Trov
    Barring injuries I find it unlikely he breaks camp with Twins. Even if he tears it up. Mainly because they will want him full time playing, and he will not get that out the gate with the Twins. At some point it is likely someone in the infield gets injured and then Lee will get a shot. If he comes out gate blazing they will find a spot for him rest of the year, if he does not, he will go back until another injury.
  24. Trov

    Budgeting in Baseball

    Trov commented on Paul D's blog entry in Paul Danesi

    There is one team that has to open their books, the Braves as they are a publicly traded company. The link below is from last March where Atlanta had record revenue, but less profits from the prior year. https://www.forbes.com/sites/mikeozanian/2023/03/01/atlanta-braves-post-record-revenue-but-profit-falls/?sh=6c91a8c03bcc They brought in 535 mil from baseball, 53 mil from non baseball stuff. The reported operated income was 71 mil, which was 36% less than year prior. They have debt of 546 mil, which was down as well from 602 mil. Of course MN is not Atlanta. However, it give some glimpse at a teams books, at least 1 team. It is true we do now know the books of the Twins, and many believe the Twins are raking in record profits every year, maybe they are, maybe they are not. However, if people do think that, then stop giving your money to them if you think the owner are just going to pocket it and not invest in players. I think also fans forgot you need to be concerned of more than just 1 year. Most players do not want to sign 1 year deals. So even if the team could spend an extra 20 to 30 mil this year, there are no players out there that are worth that per season that would sign for just 1 season. So now you need to invest in future seasons on that player. How will that affect your ability to sign other players in future years? For example, lets say Twins decided to give Snell what he wants 7 years and 30 mil a year. In a few years, Lewis, and most likely others, will need big raises. Will the fact that we are paying Snell 30 mil and others like CC large contracts prevent us from signing the other guys? If so, you need to think about that, and not just think about this year alone.
  25. Trov
    Only way this happens is if Kepler gets traded. If you see a Kepler trade pop up out of no where, similar to Donaldson trade a couple of years ago, then a signing of Bellinger similar to CC contract years ago could be coming. Bellinger is looking to cash in on his bigger year last year, looking to show he is healthy and can be MVP type guy again. He is the perfect type guy for "pillow" prove it deal. However, he hits lefty and would just add to our too many lefties in OF, if Kepler stays on team. He is below average against lefties for his career, but did hit them at high clip last year. If we are going to make a splash with remaining FA I would like to see short term contract with Snell.
×
×
  • Create New...