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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    75 catchers out of ~150 picks * 8 seasons = 6.25% 2 catchers out of 26 players on the roster = 7.7% I'm going to guess that drafts are about 50% pitchers, 19% infielders, 19% outfielders and 8% catchers. Catcher is also a position that seems more likely to have an international free agent than other positions. I think it would be interesting if the Twins brought over the best catcher from Japan. That's an untapped market for catcher talent.
  2. DJL44
    You sell at the trade deadline and buy in the offseason. Get the best prospects available in July, trade for areas of need in December/January.
  3. DJL44
    <10% is baseball reference. Their 90% confidence interval is 73 to 86 wins and a median projection of 80-82. 2025 Major League Baseball Playoff Odds | Baseball-Reference.com It's a mediocre team with a below average offense, about to have someone else get injured (someone always gets injured) and miss part of the season.
  4. DJL44
    Raya missed his window. If he had put together this streak a month ago he would have been promoted instead of Travis Adams. Now it looks like Zebby will be back before Raya gets a shot.
  5. DJL44
    No, neither one would change my mind that this team is not built for the playoffs. The bats are not good enough. They're trying to patch over both 1B and 2B with Kody Clemens. That's already figured into their 9.6% chance at a playoff spot and 0.1% chance to win the World Series. I'm not someone who bets with less than 10% odds of success. That's ironic. The Tigers succeeded because they sold the veterans at the deadline and went with their younger talent. If the Twins make the playoffs, it will mean Correa and Lewis started playing like All-Stars, not because they hung onto Willi Castro, Brock Stewart and Chris Paddack.
  6. DJL44
    I'm interested in actually competing and this sub-.500 team isn't going to go anywhere. I'd much rather build for next year than hope for this year. They have a 10% chance at making the playoffs right now (which means a 90% chance they won't). Besides, I think they players they are likely to sell (Castro, Paddack, Coulombe, Stewart, Bader, France) are mostly replaceable from within. Paddack is their 7th best starting pitcher. Castro makes boneheaded mistakes regularly. Coulombe doesn't face more than 3 batters in an inning. Stewart can't hold runners on base. These are not critical pieces. Bader is the only guy they'll truly miss, so maybe they hold onto him and hope they can negotiate a new contract. Their season success, this season and next, rests on Buxton, Correa, Lewis, Ryan, Lopez, Duran, Jax, etc. It's irrelevant if they keep Chris Paddack if Carlos Correa continues to suck at the plate.
  7. DJL44
    Elon University? These guys are probably underslot. I think Kalai Rosario was also a Hawaii Gatorade player of the year.
  8. DJL44
    I would not be surprised to see Gonzalez in St. Paul in August, if not sooner. He's up to 200 plate appearances of hitting the snot out of the ball in Double-A.
  9. DJL44
    Stevenson goes one pick earlier
  10. DJL44
    MLB.com on Quick
  11. DJL44
    Am I allowed to joke about his last name?
  12. DJL44
    I agree. I would sell if they don't go 8-4 over the next 12 games.
  13. DJL44
    12 games until the trade deadline. 6 vs playoff teams and 6 vs cellar dwellers. To get to .500 they need to go 7-5.
  14. DJL44
    The Twins don't have an Eduardo Tait in the system
  15. DJL44
    Can we do a bait-and-switch on all the teams who want Duran and Jax and sell them Brock Stewart and Danny Coulombe instead?
  16. DJL44
    He is in the lineup
  17. DJL44
    $4 tickets were too good to pass up so I ended up a the Saints game last night. It was "bring your dog" night but my dog is very bad around other dogs, very old and struggling with the smoke in the air so he stayed home. Jonah Bride was good on both sides of the ball, made a couple good defensive plays. I was excited to see Emmanuel Rodriguez. He has a very explosive swing. The first hit he had pinballed off first base (the actual base) and the umpire before ending up in RF. Unfortunately, I think he hurt himself swinging and missing in his second at-bat. That usually means a core injury. Trent Baker was not good; he kept falling behind batters at the bottom of the Cubs' order. Gillispie was meh but he threw strikes. Jose Miranda looks lousy. His batting average has slipped below .200 now. He's not squaring up pitches consistently and when he does they go right to a fielder. McCusker has a lot of levers to pull in the same direction but when he makes contact it is loud. Eeles must live in the weight room when he's not on the field. His lower half is huge for his height. Sabato missed a backhand scoop on a ball in the infield. Not an easy chance, but something a top fielding 1B would have converted. He's at the right level for his development - no reason to rush him. Gasper had a nice block behind the plate, otherwise I hardly noticed him which is good for a catcher. I didn't get to see Austin Martin. Does he get Saturday nights off?
  18. DJL44
    There are a few more - reach on error, fielder's choice, catcher's interference (the tough one to get) https://sabr.org/journal/article/was-there-a-seven-way-game-seven-ways-of-reaching-first-base/ If Buxton hadn't put up a cycle himself the story would have been the team cycle in the 2nd inning.
  19. DJL44
    It was a bit weird to see Genesis Cabrera entering in the middle innings. A guy named Genesis should clearly be a starter. If he's going to work in relief he needs to change his name to Matthew, Mark, Luke or John.
  20. DJL44
    Clemens is fine and they also have Keaschall and Lee who can play multiple positions.
  21. DJL44
    Plays like these are why I want to sell Castro at the deadline
  22. DJL44
    Is Correa going on the IL? He'd be eligible to return for the Dodgers series and would only miss 5 games.
  23. DJL44
    He's a sex offender. I did some dumb stuff when I was younger, but I managed to grow up without becoming a sex offender.
  24. DJL44
    Pulling Skenes after 5 innings is just proof that Pittsburgh is tanking.
  25. DJL44
    Does that mean the front office will have to work over the trade deadline? That's the best week to go to the lake.
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