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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    By standard deviations in talent. The spread in talent has narrowed. The top players are not as big of outliers as before. Players can't sustain All-Star level performance for as long as they used to. Careers are starting later and ending earlier. This is what happens when you measure the top 1000 people on the right-hand side of a bell curve and the population increases.
  2. DJL44
    I think the top talent from any time after integration would hold their own today. Jim Palmer would still be a good pitcher. Bob McAdoo could still play. Neither would be as good relative to their peers unless they also took advantage of the improvements in training. The bottom talent from the 1970s and 1980s might never get past AAA. There are more people competing for spots now, including all of Japan.
  3. DJL44
    Simple seems to be the only thing you can understand, The pitchers and hitters are BOTH better now, specifically the worst players have been gradually improving. ERA measures run environment, not talent. This seems to be too nuanced and complicated of a subject for you to grasp. And 12th in total bases. The Brewers have above-average power. They're also 5th in walks. They're not a contradiction to sabermetrics, they're a shining example of how OBP and SLG matter.
  4. DJL44
    You're not very good at "rationale". MPH obviously matters. Every batter will tell you it matters. There is a reason batting average leaguewide has dropped 20 points since the 90s. Strikeouts are WAY up. The only thing keeping us from a deadball era is batters are hitting for more power, maintaining the power spike of the juiced-up 90s. If players weren't hitting for power, we would see an offensive environment like the 1968 "year of the pitcher".
  5. DJL44
    I wouldn't say the game is better, just different. The pitching and hitting are both better now. The spread in performance between the best and worst players has shrunk. Based on available talent, we're overdue for expansion.
  6. DJL44
    Neither DEF nor dWAR directly measures defense, Both DEF and dWAR include the positional replacement value. which means they will always favor a bad fielding SS over a good fielding 1B. What you're mainly measuring in your article is which position people played. If you want actual defensive metrics, for Fangraphs you want OAA, FRV, DRS or UZR and for BBREF you want RField. For example - Ryan Doumit was a legitimately terrible fielder, but he's been rated here partly by the 97 games he played as a DH. He caught 102 games for the Twins (poorly) but that doesn't pull down his DEF or dWAR number as much as his games at DH. I would throw this article in the bin and try again.
  7. DJL44
    The worst players are definitely better now. The worst pitchers throw in the mid-90s with nasty breaking pitches, not 88 with a mediocre curveball. The White Sox hitters lit up Hatch yesterday and he would have been a bullpen regular in the 80s. The games are less interesting - batting averages are down, strikeouts are high, and defense is not as consistent (no turf, players selected for bat first).
  8. DJL44
    This is correct. If the player had to wait for the 3B coach to make all the decisions for him, he would miss many opportunities to advance by giving away valuable seconds. 3B coach is mainly there to help the runner decide whether or not to advance to home when the ball is behind him. On a tag play like that, with the ball in front of the baserunner, the decision is on the runner. The correct move is to take a few steps off 2B and watch the trajectory of the throw.
  9. DJL44
    Please fire him now. They don't need more mediocre players, they desperately need upside.
  10. DJL44
    I think it's mostly that you're a grownup now and it's really hard to "look up to" a 25-year-old when you're over 50. I'd say that Pablo Lopez and Byron Buxton are just as worthy of admiration as Jim Kaat and Tony Oliva. Joe Mauer hasn't done anything to tarnish his hometown hero reputation.
  11. DJL44
    They have 5 guys hitting below .200 on the roster, so I guess it could have been worse.
  12. DJL44
    They're trying really hard to be the worst team in the AL.
  13. DJL44
    The runner at first should tag up and follow the runner at 2B. If Martin stays at 2B, the runner at first stays as well.
  14. DJL44
    He’s had years of coaching. I’m afraid he might not be all that smart.
  15. DJL44
    That is wins above replacement. Everything is first calculated as runs above replacement, then they divide by 10 (or a number close to 10) to get to WAR.
  16. DJL44
    But they already have two other CF. They don’t have to play Martin in CF. They have 6 OF plus Kody Clemens on the roster now.
  17. DJL44
    They have Buxton and Outman ahead of Martin on the CF depth chart.
  18. DJL44
    Deadline buyers are usually looking for good pitchers. The Twins added Trevor Richards last summer but that isn’t typical.
  19. DJL44
    Please, no. I don’t want Keirsey taking at-bats away from anyone. He is never going to help this franchise win.
  20. DJL44
    A contract extension for Jeffers should be a priority.
  21. DJL44
    That sucks. Lopez will be up in a few days and Davis returned to AAA, but I was hoping to see Emmanuel Rodriguez instead of Keirsey and I'd much rather give Abel innings than Adams.
  22. DJL44
    Wallner has 35 RBI in 335 PA Arraez has 49 RBI in 578 PA Looking at career stats Wallner 123 RBI in 914 PA Arraez 296 RBI in 3436 PA Matt Wallner drives in runs at a higher rate than Luis Arraez. It's a lot harder to drive in a run with a single than it is with a double or a HR.
  23. DJL44
    I don't see Lee as a long-term solution at SS and I'm not impressed with Keaschall at 2B. I agree that they'll give both players lots of innings but there is an opportunity to DH Keaschall more often or replace players on defense in late innings.
  24. DJL44
    If Austin Martin can keep fouling off the pitches he doesn't want to hit, he can continue to decide late. This will help him draw walks and get on base. I guessed before I even clicked into the article that someone would try to turn it into a "Let's bash Matt Wallner" thread. I'm not following that bait. I will say that no major league team is going to be successful if every player has exactly the same approach. That means the opposing pitchers can make one game plan and get your batters out every single night. You need on-base guys and power guys. You need guys that attack fastballs and others who crush breaking balls. You need lefthanded and righthanded bats. It's the mix-and-match approach that works best. Someone in the lineup needs to match up against the opposing starting pitcher's weaknesses.
  25. DJL44
    Rocco should give Buxton a green light on the bases for the rest of the season. It would be great to see a Twin on the 30/30 list.
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