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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    There is basically zero chance that Jenkins gets called up this season. The Twins don’t need to add him to the 40-man roster until next year. There is a non-zero chance they call up Gonzalez. He is Rule 5 eligible in December and is a must-add for the 40-man roster.
  2. DJL44
    Let’s look at this another way. The $4.5M the Twins got the Tigers to eat in this trade can be sent to the Astros to get them to take Correa’s contract. Pretending that cash is useless to a baseball general manager is either hopelessly naive or unredeemably cynical.
  3. DJL44
    If you don’t think money is useful for assembling a professional baseball roster, then I guess we will never agree. Someone should tell the Dodgers they’re spending a ton of money for no reason.
  4. DJL44
    All minor league talent does is marginally increase the value of the team to whomever buys it.
  5. DJL44
    Dollars are a useful return to the baseball team. Dollars can be used to pay player salaries, invest in facilities, pay coaches and scouts, etc.
  6. DJL44
    So, to take USAFChiefs stance to the logical conclusion, we should all be disappointed if the Twins end the trade deadline without paying $100M+ to buy the top 20 prospects in baseball.
  7. DJL44
    If they really want to maximize prospects returned, they should buy down the remaining salary on all the expiring contracts they sell at the deadline. They should also consider sending additional cash. They could get a great prospect bundle if they traded Willi Castro and $20M to another team. Anything less than that would just be saving ownership money, right?
  8. DJL44
    It is possible the Tigers were much more willing to send cash to a division rival than a top prospect who might play against them in the future.
  9. DJL44
    Yes, this is why the Red Sox wouldn’t call up Rusney Castillo.
  10. DJL44
    I don’t think Spotrac is correct. ”A team's Competitive Balance Tax figure is determined using the average annual value of each player's contract on the 40-man roster, plus any additional player benefits.” Dobnak is not on the 40-man roster and doesn’t count toward the CBT calculation for the Tigers unless they call him up and put him on the roster.
  11. DJL44
    Is there a chance they swap disappointments? Correa for Christian Walker saves the Twins $50M and fills the giant hole at 1B.
  12. DJL44
    Do you really think the Yankees had an issue with the $1.5M left on Randy Dobnak’s contract? That money doesn’t count toward luxury tax calculations since he’s off the 40-man roster.
  13. DJL44
    He may fool people for a while until the scouting reports catch up, then he will get pounded and head back to AAA to make adjustments and improvements. However, that is the most productive use of MLB playing time for the final two months of this season.
  14. DJL44
    Sell at the deadline, buy in the offseason.
  15. DJL44
    Their playoff odds were less than 10% at the All-Star break. This team has been mostly bad since last August. Success after the break was the least likely scenario.
  16. DJL44
    Prielipp and CJ Culpepper could be worth trying in relief. There is plenty of room on the 40-man. Easy to cut Keirsey, Fitzgerald, Gillispie, Davis, Misiewicz, Miranda, and McCusker. Plus 6-8 major leaguers should be leaving soon. That's 10-15 spots available for new prospects.
  17. DJL44
    It's going to strain their resources to deal 6 players in a matter of days. Better to wait until the offseason to address the rest of the roster. Plus, what playoff team would have any interest in Wallner, Lee or Ober based on how they have performed this season? On the list above, I certainly hope they find a buyer for Paddack. He has real value as a 5th starter for a playoff team and as a reliever on their playoff roster. I would rank him as #4 in most likely to be traded.
  18. DJL44
    You sell at the deadline and buy in the offseason. Prices are lower in the offseason because supply is higher.
  19. DJL44
    You think replacing the major league team with a AAA team with a losing record will help them win? That is a terrific example of the backup QB fallacy.
  20. DJL44
    This upcoming week will be the most consequential of the entire season.
  21. DJL44
    Glad I took the boat out instead.
  22. DJL44
    They should be more than willing to eat $15M of the remaining $115M. That's essentially what they'll do just by paying him the rest of the season to play for a non-contender. Correa is playing like a $10M player while drawing a $32M salary 2026-28. Ironically, that makes him more valuable in trade as time passes. Today he has a value of -$60M, next season at the deadline it will only be -$40M. By the end of 2028 they should be able to trade him for a prospect.
  23. DJL44
    What happens the rest of this season is irrelevant. They're not a contender. The rest of this season should be about developing players for the 2026 team. Which is weird. If he sincerely believes the players are underperfoming to the point where a 90 win team is playing at a 78 win pace, then he should fire Rocco.
  24. DJL44
    Two years of additional team control aren't worth much for Stewart. He's 33 and has an extensive injury history. I'm not confident he makes it through the rest of this season without another trip to the IL. Like everyone else on the team, he has zero value for the Twins for the remainder of 2025. Stewart is also the worst on the team at controlling the running game, which makes his pitching stats less valuable than they appear on paper. I think they're better off finding a trade partner. It will be quite disappointing if Stewart is still a Twin on August 1st.
  25. DJL44
    This is how a team plays when nobody cares about winning. Keeping the expiring contract veterans would be toxic. At least rookies have something to play for besides their next contract. Playing for a contract means you're only going to do the things that show up in the stat sheet.
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