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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    WPA should never be used in a serious discussion. I like RA9 better than ERA.
  2. DJL44
    Regarding pitcher wins I saw this mentioned elsewhere in a discussion of Wainwright reaching 200 wins. "no one in the top 100 wins active is under 27 years of age. Yikes. And it just takes 43 wins to make that list." Forget winning 300 games, the 200 win club among pitchers 33 and under might be just Gerrit Cole. Sonny Gray is 2nd in wins among pitchers 33 and under with 98 wins - good for 21st among active pitchers. Aaron Nola is #1 among pitchers 30 and under with 90 wins and Berrios is #2 with 83 wins.
  3. DJL44
    Apparently the trainer was working without a license https://www.startribune.com/twins-timberwolves-trainers-fined-unlicensed/600305763/#:~:text=The Minnesota Board of Medical,a state license until April.
  4. DJL44
    Alex Kirilloff is struggling. .581 OPS in September. They need him to get going again.
  5. DJL44
    My optimistic take. The Saints season is over in a week. They have to add Austin Martin to the 40 man roster this offseason. This clears a spot on the 40 man roster if they want to promote Martin.
  6. DJL44
    That's some bad 3B defense
  7. DJL44
    Royce, go to the movies instead.
  8. DJL44
    For 2024 you'll be better off with Lewis at 3B and Martin in CF than you would be with Lewis in CF and Lee at 3B. Lee isn't as ready for the big leagues as Martin is.
  9. DJL44
    I'm actually in favor of keeping Royce away from ice.
  10. DJL44
    And yet international pitchers aren't
  11. DJL44
    I doubt it. Rosario wasn't the best LF on the market. I think it's more like Urshela last season. They'll get something about as valuable as what they traded to get Farmer, which wasn't that much.
  12. DJL44
    Farmer might be the #1 SS in free agency if he was non-tendered. He is very tradeable.
  13. DJL44
    There is a 0.8% chance of a first round bye. Not impossible but very unlikely. They have to win 5 more games than the Astros in 12 games. If the Astros go 6-6 the Twins need to go 11-1. Once the Twins clinch (likely against the Angels) we will know if there is any chance at all.
  14. DJL44
    Play him enough that he keeps his timing when batting. No day games after night games. I would plan on resting him 9/20, 9/22 (with an off day between), 9/28 and 10/1.
  15. DJL44
    Taylor should definitely be able to find two years from a different team. The free agent CF market is very weak.
  16. DJL44
    After this season we can add Bally Sports Network to the list.
  17. DJL44
    I think they're drafting well but haven't been getting much out of international free agency. They have been particularly bad at acquiring pitching through international free agency.
  18. DJL44
    The average number of successful draft picks per team per year is 1.5. That's measuring success by getting a pick who contributes more than someone you could get off the waiver wire for free. Producing 15 players every 5 years is well above average.
  19. DJL44
    I'll take the other side of that bet
  20. DJL44
    If the A's get approval to move to Las Vegas then we can finally prepare for expansion.
  21. DJL44
    Not really. He mentioned in the post-game radio interview that he's been working on specific zones, adjusting to where they have been getting him out. Making adjustments. He didn't wake up this morning and say "I should try hitting the ball instead of missing it!"
  22. DJL44
    All it takes is one extra-inning game to blow up that strategy.
  23. DJL44
    Are they really going to drop down to 11 pitchers? I keep thinking another pitcher would be more useful than Luplow.
  24. DJL44
    I think it's selection bias - it only shows up in the stats if the batter swings, which only happens on pitches batters want to hit. Batters walk a LOT on 3-1 counts but clearly they didn't get a good pitch to hit if it was a ball.
  25. DJL44
    Look at the cloud plots of balls and strikes. There are borderline pitches that are 50/50. That's a "close" pitch. A pitch that is a strike 95% of the time or a ball 95% of the time is NOT a close pitch. Even a pitch that is a strike 60% of the time has an OBP of .400 on a full count.
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