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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    I am perfectly willing to listen why your account of wRC+ is better reasoned than the folks at Fangraphs. Let's hear why wRC+ is a bad stat instead of insisting without any explanation. The "I don't give a rip without any explanation is let's just say not very credible. BTW ... We can also use OPS+ to show Jeffers is the far superior bat which I believe someone else mentioned. Of course, OPS+ does measure what happened.
  2. Major League Ready
    You didn't answer the question. What is deficient about wRC+? Here is what Fangraphs says about wRC+ If you’ve looking to measure a batter’s value using a cumulative statistic that credits a player for total production rather than on an at bat by at bat basis, then wRC is extremely useful. It combines the virtues of a weighted statistic like wOBA, which credits a hitter for how valuable each particular action truly is, with the virtues of counting stats that give players credit for producing at a given level over a great number of plate appearances. wRC isn’t necessarily better or worse than wRAA, it’s simply the same statistic communicated differently. Both provide you with a measure of how many runs a player contributed to his team with their bat. If you want a rate statistic for hitters that weights each offensive action and controls for league and park effects, wRC+ is for you. While wOBA is a huge step forward from stats like batting average and slugging percentage, it doesn’t credit hitters who play in difficult parks or deduct points for hitters who play in smaller ones. wRC+ brings all the virtues of wOBA plus two added benefits; park and league adjustments. A .400 wOBA at Coors is much less impressive than one at Petco, for example. Additionally, wOBA tracks with overall league offense, so you can’t use it to compare players of different eras very effectively. A .400 wOBA in 2000 is much less impressive than one in 2014, but a 140 wRC+ in 2000 means essentially the same thing in 2014. Here is another article entitled baseball statistics you should know. It states wRC+ is the single best way to quickly measure a player’s offensive production, better than batting average, OPS, or a triple slash line. That’s because wRC+ properly values everything a player can do at the plate, allowing you to compare across playing styles. At the end of the day, despite the difference in playing styles, a slapstick hitter and a slugger are trying to create runs, and wRC+ allows you to easily compare the production. Baseball stats you should know.   What you don't understand is that wRC+ is calculated by combining a number of performance metrics and is therefore a far more comprehensive stat than most. BA is useless without OBP and slugging. RBI is useless without know the number of opportunities and conversion rate., etc.
  3. Major League Ready
    What's your objection with wRC+. BA is useless in comparison. BTW .... It's quite evident you can't be swayed by a logical argument so you probably don't need to tell anyone it's useless trying.
  4. Major League Ready
    Austin Martin would sure be great insurance for Buxton if this break out is for real. It's only been 18 games but since 7/25 he is hitting .393 with an even 500 OBP. His OPS is 1161. Wow! Hopefully, Buxton is back in CF next year and Martin joins Castro as part of a very good bench for the Twins.
  5. Major League Ready
    For the sake of this conversation, let's just say this is a reasonable estimate. If this is so, he would generate $75M for a half dozen different teams so why wouldn't they just outbid us?
  6. Major League Ready
    The statement is amazing. Let's highlight a couple average players while ignoring Julien / Walner / Lewis and Kirilloff who has yet to really prove himself because of injuries. For that matter, Jeffers was not all that proven either and last winter many were insisting he needed to be strictly a back-up. Let's further ignore that the other proven vets have mostly underperformed. Talk about selective recognition of the facts.
  7. Major League Ready
    I would not have to go that way. They could start Lewis at 3B and Lee/Severino/Prato get auditions. Where and how they are used is figured out over the course of the season. If Polanco is still here, in a bench role which is where he would be with Lewis at 3B, the ABs that could be used to audition young players won't be available. Now, if Lewis becomes an OFer, that changes the equation for a short while but eventually we would have the same situation with Lee starting at 3B. I would invest the dollars in pitching and the ABs in young players. Hopefully, by June 1 Lee is the 3B and in that scenario I like the idea of some combination of Castro / Martin / Severino / Larnach / Gordon and Prato on the bench.
  8. Major League Ready
    They also have Lee/Prato/Severino knocking at the door and let's hope a healthy Miranda reasserts himself. It's fair to assume he is a bench player if Lewis is healthy. Would the $10M be better spent on pitching while rolling with one of the several other options?
  9. Major League Ready
    A couple questions come to mind when considering Polanco for 2024. Does Lewis remain at 3B or does he become a super utility? Do they believe Lee will be here by June 1st next year. Do they believe in Prato as a bench player at 2B/3B. Are they bringing Gordon back? I could see keeping Polanco instead of Farmer. They both don't fit on the roster IMO. I guess the other question is can they get something back in trade. With all the other options, he is expendable if they can get back a decent prospect. The best option could be to keep him until the trade deadline while working in Lee/Prato/Severino the early part of 24.
  10. Major League Ready
    Here is where the revenue increase logic fails. Whatever the amount of revenue increase, there are several markets where Ohtani would increase the revenue much more than he would here.
  11. Major League Ready
    He has been brutal until these last 4 appearances. A promotion to the ML club after 8 good innings seems very premature.
  12. Major League Ready
    Souhan has his head in the sand, Being better than 4 other teams is not a good measure of the quality of a given team. This is a mediocre team. Fans are not being snooty. They are being realists. The team being in 1st place does not negate the validity of various criticisms fans have of this team.
  13. Major League Ready
    It's nice to have options. 🫠
  14. Major League Ready
    You are assuming Miami would accept other assets that you would rather give up and that was very unlikely.
  15. Major League Ready
    I just don't see it as Polanco VS Kepler. We have ample options for Polanco so the comparison is do I want some combination of Lewis / Lee / Prato / Severino / Miranda taking his place + $10M to spend on pitching or a RH OFer free agent. BTW ... I am a Polanco fan. He has been good for us and I have no problem with them keeping him until one of the others comes up and takes the spot as Julien has and Arraez before him.
  16. Major League Ready
    I also had Henriquez being taken off and Polanco traded so 12 spots. I have been through the list of who needs to be added and I can't come up with 12 that need to put on the 40 man.
  17. Major League Ready
    IDK that they keep Kepler but they have rather limited OF depth next year and the free agent market is thin. The potential Polanco replacements are Lewis / Lee / Severino / Prato / Farmer / Castro / Gordon and Miranda. Larnach is the only realistic replacement for Kepler. I would move Kepler readily if the depth chart behind him was six deep as it is with Polanco. You could move Wallner to RF and Castro / Gordon become options. Not ideal.
  18. Major League Ready
    They won't lose anyone significant prospects. They have 7 expiring contracts (Gray / Maeda / Mahle / Pagán / Solano / Gallo / MAT). They can also remove De León / Celestino and Henriquez. Polanco is likely traded or option rejected. Farmer and Gordon are also not locks. That's a total of (13) 40-man spots assuming they keep Kepler.
  19. Major League Ready
    Arraez was on fire the first couple months. Since June 1st. Arraez has an OPS of 865 and a wRC+ of 136. Julien has an OPS of 895 and a wRC+ of 152. Seems like he has been at the same level for the last 2 1/2 months. Since 7/1 ABs Arraez has an OPS of 797 and a wRC+ of 118 where Julien has an OPS of 951 and a wRC+ of 167. I guess we will just have to wait and see how they compare for the last couple months of the season. I love the trade because we had enough IF depth to replace Arraez where we would be short on starting pitching without Lopez.
  20. Major League Ready
    Thanks! I really spaced that one. The hope would be Buxton plays 1/2 the time in CF and Royce takes the bulk of the games he is not in CF. If things come together next year they are going to have incredible Flexibility.
  21. Major League Ready
    I have said on more than one occasion that Lewis is the Lynchpin. I know they said he would not play the OF in 23 but we were talking about 2024 and he fits best on this team as an OFer or Super Utility given the depth of INfers and Buxton's propensity for injury. They have Lee / Miranda / Severino and Proto as potential 3B replacements. We are almost as deep at 3B as we are 2B. They only have Castro and Lewis as potential RH or switch hitting OFers, and Lewis offers a more legit start CF option. Lewis could play every day between CF/LF/3B/SS. Just my opinion but It would see to be a lot easier to maximize the personnel we have and match-ups if Lewis is used as an OFer or Super Utility. If there was a pool for when Lee is called up, I would take a June Date.
  22. Major League Ready
    According to Statcast, Arraez is even worse at 2B. Julien is in the 18th percentile for OAA and Arraez in the 2nd percentile. Why would it be better to have Arraez "entrenched" as our 2B? One could argue that we replaced Arraez with an equivalent player and gained a very good starting pitcher.
  23. Major League Ready
    Why limit the choices to current SPs? How about a lefty starter like Jordan Montgomery. Blake Snell is having a great year too. I have not been on the Snell bandwagon, but he has been very good this year.
  24. Major League Ready
    Other than Lewis, I don't see youth filling any more holes this year unless there are a significant number of injuries. The INF will be Kirilloff / Julien / Lewis and Correa. The OF will be Kepler / MAT / Wallner. The September call up for position players will be Prato or Severino. Next year .... Move Lewis to the OF and 3B is a competition between Lee / Miranda /Prato and Severino. The OF is Kepler / Wallner / Lewis and Buxton. Castro is the only certain bench player. Farmer probably stays but there are 2-3 bench roles between Farmer / Gordon / Martin / Prato / Severino and maybe even Hellman.
  25. Major League Ready
    What Mike said. I would add that I have never seen him play 1B nor do I have access to all the coaches providing feedback. Other factors like where they think Lewis and Lee end up also come into play. No doubt, this will be a factor. Lewis to the OF where they need help much more so than the IF would change things substantially. I also don’t develop players for a living. With all of this in mind, it would be naïve for me to believe I have a better understanding of where Julien should play than Twin’s management so all I can do is speculate knowing I don't know enough. An IF of Kirilloff / Julien / Lee and Correa with an OF of Lewis / Wallner / Buxton and Jeffers catching looks pretty good to me.
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