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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    I am not focused on an immediate fix for a very mediocre team. We heard the same rhetoric last year about our 1st place team. Had we not made a short-sighted decision to trade for Mahle, we would have a very good 3B in Steer (cheap) for the remainder of this year and 5 more years. We could call up CES to play 1st and send Kirilloff to the OF. With 3B filled we could ask Lewis if he wants to play CF or remain in AAA until a spot opens up. Obviously, CES is untested at this level but he has been an absolute elite hitter at all levels. We would also have Cano in our BP had we decided not to buy last year.
  2. Major League Ready
    10-4. My bad.
  3. Major League Ready
    Why can't the twins get an equivalent or better and younger free agent next year? Why would we assume they would be forced to use Kuechel or Varland?
  4. Major League Ready
    It could be they want Kepler and Gallo in the lineup most days to hopefully play well enough to promote a trade in the next 10-15 days? That would not be so bad. I can wait a couple weeks. Kepler for sure has value if he plays the way he has the last month. They can DFA Gallo after the deadline if they can't find a buyer.
  5. Major League Ready
    The only pending free agents that would significantly impact their chances to win the division if traded are Gray and possibly Maeda. MAT and Solano are debatable. Solano is one of the few twins hitting well. It would be risky to give Stevenson a shot but hard to imagine his bat is worse than MAT given he has an OPS in the 900s at AAA. I have only seen 4 Saints games so I don't know how much of a drop-off he would be in CF vs Taylor. Would appreciate insight from anyone with better knowledge of his defense. They could move on from Gallo / Kepler and Pagan with a chance for better production. Farmer is probably expendable too. Gray would have to be a very good offer because of the comp pick if we give him a QA. Maeda is interesting. He might bring a nice package if his next starts up to the deadline are good. Gray has been pretty average in his last 10 starts. I don't know that a big offer is eminent.
  6. Major League Ready
    We don't see much of what they do. How do you judge actions when you have minimal knowledge of what led to those actions? As sports fans we tend to speak with great certainty about these things when we don't have nearly enough information in most cases to judge things like hiring and firing.
  7. Major League Ready
    What's your point? Would you prefer they did not acknowledge they are failing and need to do something about it?
  8. Major League Ready
    I think you are ignoring a few things in coming to the conclusion this is "simple".. First, you have to assume Goldschmidt is available, and available at a price that is not absurd. Then, you have to assume he produces to career norms. I bet Angels fans assumed Albert Pujlos was a safe bet. I am sure the Rays expected far more out of Nelson Cruz. Donaldson did not work out so good and thankfully we got out of the last two years. The last year of most of these deals is far below the player's norm. The fact is that the last 5 weeks Goldschmidt has produced below average. Kepler’s wRC+ is actually 10 percent higher. He is 35 years old. It is quite possible perhaps even likely that he will not produce to his career norms. We also can't assume ownership will approve another $10M. They are already at record spending. Many teams are going to be restricted on the cost of additions. This isan assumption we can make. What about the $26M next year? If he declines to league average at age 36 that money could be spent much wiser elsewhere. It could be used for a longer term solution. I would much rather go after an impact bat free agent under 30. OF or 1B being the best targets. It really simplifies it if you ignore the cost in prospects. Lots of people said the Mahle decision was simple. How much better off would be with Steer for another 5 years and CES has the potential to be dominant bat this lineup is missing for the next 6 years. He would be on the ML roster right now had we played the long game instead of trading for Mahle. If CES hits (even as a DH) to his potential, the Mahle deal is a disaster and here are pondering a similar scenario, granted a pitcher vs a hitter but a 35 y/o hitter. All of these things are valid considerations. So, I would not be inclined to say it’s a simple straight forward no brainer.
  9. Major League Ready
    You are basing you argument on a relatively meaningless stat. OBP with me more meaningful. OPS would be more meaningful than OBP and wRC+ would be more meaningful than BA, OBP or OPS. One could argue that WPA is more meaningful than all of them and it's certainly more valuable than BA. Then, there is the defensive aspect to consider. Gallo is not only a good defender, he provided a back-up option in the event Kirilloff's wrist remained an issue. You are using this particular stat while ignoring everything else because it suits your argument. The argument to cut Castro because he is the cheapest also ignores a number of other factors. The most obvious being he has two more years of control. His utility covering multiple positions including CF and being a switch hitter provides rather value that we can't readily replace. We have two corner OFers that can easily take Gallo's spot.
  10. Major League Ready
    No, I don't think they would add Prato to the 40 man right now. I was merely answering the question about other possible OFers. Larnach and Wallner are going to get first crack at an opening. I think you are right they are not cutting Gallo or Kepler until they have a chance to either get a prospect or someone to pick up their salary. I see the situation being resolved in 15-20 days when either Gallo or Kepler gets traded. If Gallo is not traded, I think there is a decent chance he gets cut. His wRC+ is decent for the year but it's 71 for the last 8 weeks.
  11. Major League Ready
    That's probably more important than the short-term implications. They need to figure out if they need to play Kirilloff in the OF? In which case, they need to find a 1B. Do they need to budget for a free agent impact OFer? Do they need to keep Gordon? Can Austin Martin play a role? It would be really poor roster management to go into next season hoping Wallner and Larnach can stick without a good look this year.. My bet is they are thinking the exact same thing as us. Their timeframe recognizes that nobody is making trades yet. Some teams will determine over the next 15-20 days if they are buyers or sellers. Those who know they are sellers are not trading anyone until the last few days before the deadline unless they get a crazy offer. The Twins will hope to trade Kepler and/or Gallo before the deadline. I would hope Gallo gets cut if they can't find a trade partner. We can complain if the deadline passes, and we are in the same situation.
  12. Major League Ready
    Prato has played some LF. It's stretch but he has a .991 OPS since being promoted to AAA. Stevenson has a 900 OPS. 29 years old but one could argue his performance is worthy of a shot. Of course, those arguing for less experienced guys getting an opportunity are Wallner and Larnach. It makes zero sense to give up on Larnach because his hitting has been slightly below average. He can definitely hit velocity but he could not lay-off low breaking balls. It makes sense to give him an opportunity to overcome the weakness opposing scouts found. Most are arguing find out now because we would not be losing much if they struggle a little given the current production. Same basic logic applies to Wallner.
  13. Major League Ready
    Is Jenkins our #1 prospect or has Lee done enough to retain that rank? Rodriguez batting under 200 with a lot of swing and miss does not do much for his case. Soto top 10?
  14. Major League Ready
    The Reds have had one season in the past 10 years with more than 80 wins (83/2019). They are in 1st place on a 90 win pace. Just curious, why do you think they would they trade Friedl for anything other than an absurd return? He is their highest WAR position player with 5 more years of control and they are just getting back in contention after a decade of futility.
  15. Major League Ready
    I agree with you on strikeouts and was not even offering an opinion. It really drives me crazy when they strikeout with a runner on 3rd. However, IDK what percentage of ABs offer the opportunity for a double play but if it's 1/3, it's worthy of pointing out that the math is off by 3X.
  16. Major League Ready
    Are you thinking Polanco holds down 3B until Lewis comes back? The idea of giving Severino a little wild but why not given how things are going. I would also consider Prato if he continues to mash at AAA. I think you will get your OF wish in the next 3 weeks.
  17. Major League Ready
    Your math assumes there is a runner at 1B in every AB.
  18. Major League Ready
    Someone needs to tell the leadership of the Yankees. Padres, and Mets they just don't understand that they need to get better players. Go figure ... they pay these people millions of dollars/year and they are to stupid to understand how simple it is to solve their problems. If Goldschmidt would not fix the offense, what is your point? If he is not a solution, how is he a simple fix? Carlos Correa and Jorge Polanco also have a history of performing well but history won't win us any games now. They are not playing well of late and neither has Goldschmidt of late. Why don't all of the teams performing at the level of Twins just go get new players if it's so simple to get better? Are you going to replace Lewis at 3B or Correa at SS or Kirilloff at 1B. Do we not already have options at 2B? Are we going to get better hitting catchers? If you only care about getting marginally better RIGHT NOW, it's simple. Not so simple to build a sustainable winner. They best option they have is corner OF. Bringing in veteran players when they have 2 guys that deserve a shot makes no sense, especially on a marginal team with numerous under performing players.
  19. Major League Ready
    .254 / .306 / .393 with an OPS of .699 and a wRC+ of 93. These are Goldschmidt's numbers for the past 5 weeks. It's not that simple and even Goldschmidt is no guarantee to fix this anemic offense.
  20. Major League Ready
    Are they giving Prato any reps at 3B? Does he have the arm for it? That dude has been raking. (.305 / .442 / .549)
  21. Major League Ready
    The "reset" you suggest seems inevitable. Gallo / Solano / MAT / Gray / Maeda and Pagan are all on expiring contracts and I doubt the pick-up Kepler's option. At least it would make sense they take that $10M and invest in an impact bat at 1B or OF. Wallner and/or Larnach are going to get their shot once Gallo and Kepler are gone. Then, if Lewis can just stay healthy that's a significant addition just waiting to happen. The other guy who could be a sparkplug is Austin Martin. It sure would be great if we could keep the best version of him healthy. Lee will also enter the equation in the not too distant future. Then, there are a few prospects that have elevated their game enough to warrant optimism. Pratt, Hellman, Williams, Camargo, Stevenson, Severino, Soularie, Hellman, Keirsey and even Aaron Sabato could be part of late 2023 and 2024.
  22. Major League Ready
    Trading Gray would not mean giving up a shot at winning the division as long as the remainder of the staff remains relatively healthy, especially if Maeda continues to pitch well. Improved play from the position players that are underperforming will have a far greater impact on winning the division. BTW, Gray was great early in the year but in his last 10 starts Gray has a 4.14 ERA. Not bad but not a game changer by any means. Bailey Ober's ERA is 2.93 in his last 10 starts.
  23. Major League Ready
    Memolo and Joyce discussed buyers and sellers yesterday on their radio show. They talked about the numerous teams around 500 and their fans wanting them to be buyers. They said and I quote them as nearly as I can recall, "these fans are deluded into believing these teams have a legitimate shot at post season success". They went on to say these teams are not contenders despite their relative ability to make the playoffs. There are a handful of teams that are simply far better teams and most of the league is mediocre. That's what these particular non-biased industry insiders think.
  24. Major League Ready
    Maybe. Just like the prospects it will take time to tell. We know these deals for SPs very rarely work out and I am glad they did not give him a 7 year deal but we should recognize only time will tell.
  25. Major League Ready
    He has been quite good the last month. Since 6/6 his stat line is .265/.396/.578 with an OPS of .974. Wouldn't that be something if he turned into a decent player?
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