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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    That's probably more important than the short-term implications. They need to figure out if they need to play Kirilloff in the OF? In which case, they need to find a 1B. Do they need to budget for a free agent impact OFer? Do they need to keep Gordon? Can Austin Martin play a role? It would be really poor roster management to go into next season hoping Wallner and Larnach can stick without a good look this year.. My bet is they are thinking the exact same thing as us. Their timeframe recognizes that nobody is making trades yet. Some teams will determine over the next 15-20 days if they are buyers or sellers. Those who know they are sellers are not trading anyone until the last few days before the deadline unless they get a crazy offer. The Twins will hope to trade Kepler and/or Gallo before the deadline. I would hope Gallo gets cut if they can't find a trade partner. We can complain if the deadline passes, and we are in the same situation.
  2. Major League Ready
    Prato has played some LF. It's stretch but he has a .991 OPS since being promoted to AAA. Stevenson has a 900 OPS. 29 years old but one could argue his performance is worthy of a shot. Of course, those arguing for less experienced guys getting an opportunity are Wallner and Larnach. It makes zero sense to give up on Larnach because his hitting has been slightly below average. He can definitely hit velocity but he could not lay-off low breaking balls. It makes sense to give him an opportunity to overcome the weakness opposing scouts found. Most are arguing find out now because we would not be losing much if they struggle a little given the current production. Same basic logic applies to Wallner.
  3. Major League Ready
    Is Jenkins our #1 prospect or has Lee done enough to retain that rank? Rodriguez batting under 200 with a lot of swing and miss does not do much for his case. Soto top 10?
  4. Major League Ready
    The Reds have had one season in the past 10 years with more than 80 wins (83/2019). They are in 1st place on a 90 win pace. Just curious, why do you think they would they trade Friedl for anything other than an absurd return? He is their highest WAR position player with 5 more years of control and they are just getting back in contention after a decade of futility.
  5. Major League Ready
    I agree with you on strikeouts and was not even offering an opinion. It really drives me crazy when they strikeout with a runner on 3rd. However, IDK what percentage of ABs offer the opportunity for a double play but if it's 1/3, it's worthy of pointing out that the math is off by 3X.
  6. Major League Ready
    Are you thinking Polanco holds down 3B until Lewis comes back? The idea of giving Severino a little wild but why not given how things are going. I would also consider Prato if he continues to mash at AAA. I think you will get your OF wish in the next 3 weeks.
  7. Major League Ready
    Your math assumes there is a runner at 1B in every AB.
  8. Major League Ready
    Someone needs to tell the leadership of the Yankees. Padres, and Mets they just don't understand that they need to get better players. Go figure ... they pay these people millions of dollars/year and they are to stupid to understand how simple it is to solve their problems. If Goldschmidt would not fix the offense, what is your point? If he is not a solution, how is he a simple fix? Carlos Correa and Jorge Polanco also have a history of performing well but history won't win us any games now. They are not playing well of late and neither has Goldschmidt of late. Why don't all of the teams performing at the level of Twins just go get new players if it's so simple to get better? Are you going to replace Lewis at 3B or Correa at SS or Kirilloff at 1B. Do we not already have options at 2B? Are we going to get better hitting catchers? If you only care about getting marginally better RIGHT NOW, it's simple. Not so simple to build a sustainable winner. They best option they have is corner OF. Bringing in veteran players when they have 2 guys that deserve a shot makes no sense, especially on a marginal team with numerous under performing players.
  9. Major League Ready
    .254 / .306 / .393 with an OPS of .699 and a wRC+ of 93. These are Goldschmidt's numbers for the past 5 weeks. It's not that simple and even Goldschmidt is no guarantee to fix this anemic offense.
  10. Major League Ready
    Are they giving Prato any reps at 3B? Does he have the arm for it? That dude has been raking. (.305 / .442 / .549)
  11. Major League Ready
    The "reset" you suggest seems inevitable. Gallo / Solano / MAT / Gray / Maeda and Pagan are all on expiring contracts and I doubt the pick-up Kepler's option. At least it would make sense they take that $10M and invest in an impact bat at 1B or OF. Wallner and/or Larnach are going to get their shot once Gallo and Kepler are gone. Then, if Lewis can just stay healthy that's a significant addition just waiting to happen. The other guy who could be a sparkplug is Austin Martin. It sure would be great if we could keep the best version of him healthy. Lee will also enter the equation in the not too distant future. Then, there are a few prospects that have elevated their game enough to warrant optimism. Pratt, Hellman, Williams, Camargo, Stevenson, Severino, Soularie, Hellman, Keirsey and even Aaron Sabato could be part of late 2023 and 2024.
  12. Major League Ready
    Trading Gray would not mean giving up a shot at winning the division as long as the remainder of the staff remains relatively healthy, especially if Maeda continues to pitch well. Improved play from the position players that are underperforming will have a far greater impact on winning the division. BTW, Gray was great early in the year but in his last 10 starts Gray has a 4.14 ERA. Not bad but not a game changer by any means. Bailey Ober's ERA is 2.93 in his last 10 starts.
  13. Major League Ready
    Memolo and Joyce discussed buyers and sellers yesterday on their radio show. They talked about the numerous teams around 500 and their fans wanting them to be buyers. They said and I quote them as nearly as I can recall, "these fans are deluded into believing these teams have a legitimate shot at post season success". They went on to say these teams are not contenders despite their relative ability to make the playoffs. There are a handful of teams that are simply far better teams and most of the league is mediocre. That's what these particular non-biased industry insiders think.
  14. Major League Ready
    Maybe. Just like the prospects it will take time to tell. We know these deals for SPs very rarely work out and I am glad they did not give him a 7 year deal but we should recognize only time will tell.
  15. Major League Ready
    He has been quite good the last month. Since 6/6 his stat line is .265/.396/.578 with an OPS of .974. Wouldn't that be something if he turned into a decent player?
  16. Major League Ready
    These 7 are expiring ..... Sonny Gray / Kenta Maeda / Tyler Mahle / Emilio Pagán / Donovan Solano / Joey Gallo / Michael A. Taylor. José De León will be cut. Kepler's option is probably not executed. Ronny Henriquez and Gilberto Celestino would be no big loss. The depth at 2B makes it logical to move one of Farrmer / Polanco / Julien. Gman's statement of the potential to cut 10 from the 40-man is well-founded and quite reasonable. However, adding one probably does not change the equation because we probably give up someone off the 40 man in trade to the addition.
  17. Major League Ready
    We just disagree. For starters, Max has had many of these little hot streaks and with the exception of 2019 has never maintained a high level of play so the benefit of keeping Kepler is far from assured. He is just as likely to regress to the same inept hitter he has been for the past 3+ years. More importantly, this club is not a serious contender and there is an opportunity cost in keeping Kepler. One in the form of whatever he brings back and another in taking up a roster space that should be used to develop our players of the future. It's very easy to maximize the present. It's much harder and takes a more disciplined approach to build a true contender. Would Tampa keep Kepler. Now way!
  18. Major League Ready
    Brandon Marsh was far from an established ML player when he was acquired. They basically traded a major league ready player for one with 1 year of service time. Marsh is not a free agent until 2028. This is a far different scenario than trading prospects for a rental or a player with an extra year of control. This is not an example of a marginal team trading prospects for short-term players. The Twins trading Wallner for a major league ready catcher is a very different scenario than trading him for a rental. Edmundo Sosa produced 1.2 WAR in 22. Is he really an example of the type of player that would elevate the twins into contention? Kepler is highly unlikely to bring back an established player. Any team looking for someone like Kepler to help short-term is not looking to give up established players in return. At least not an established player of any value.
  19. Major League Ready
    Glad you mentioned this because it's easy to forget about him. He has a pretty high ceiling so it would be a nice boost if we got a couple years of him pitching to his capability. Can we dare to dream he can help in September / October?
  20. Major League Ready
    You are using examples without illustrating if they are examples of teams that made investments or teams that won without investing. I don't know about the Phillies. I don't remember them doing anything. The Nationals traded for a couple RPs and gave up nothing. None of the prospects every played at the ML level. The Braves invested nothing so using these two as an example makes no sense. Are you going to be happy if the twins pick up someone that is performing poorly as the Braves did in 21? Don't we already have that situation? Should we swap one non performing player for another? The teams you site made very modest investment. I don't think that's what you are advocating so these examples actually contradict your position.
  21. Major League Ready
    What were those teams willing to invest in terms of trading prospects for help. I honestly don't know with the exception of the Braves who gambled nothing but came up with two players that played like superstars at the end of the year. I think we would all be just fine with any acquisitions that cost next to nothing. Who did the Nationals and Phillies trade for / what was the impact of those players and what did they give up to get them? Are they example of teams of invest very little and won or are they teams that are examples of teams that won without investing much at the deadline?
  22. Major League Ready
    By various metrics they are about the 15th best team in the league. 1st place and contender are not even remotely synonyms. Many posters used the same "1st place" logic last year. Apparently, lessons were not learned. Being in 1st place is an exceptionally poor measure of the relative merit of this team. The 1st place justification is desperate logic for those fans extremely focused on "this year". That's a very good way to be bad next year and the year after that and so on. Pretty much everyone criticizes the front office when they won't accept reality and move on from a player. This is the same thing, different scope. We can invest in the future by playing the numerous young players we have and perhaps selling or we can throw good assets away on a team with an extremely low probability of post-season success. I would add that they are far more likely to improve from within. They are not one player they are several players away. Their best shot is Kirilloff / Larnach / Julien / Wallner / Miranda stepping up and even then their best chance at success is Buxton / Correa and Polanco performing the way they are capable.
  23. Major League Ready
    So we shouldn't make trades that make us better in the future? I guess we should not have traded for Duran or Ryan.
  24. Major League Ready
    I can see a number of things when considered in aggregate that would persuade the FO to wait until the deadline. 1) The series of events last year that led to an outfield with Contreras and Cave. 2) The hope that the offense does a 180 and the teams has a reasonable shot at postseason success in which case they don't sell off assets. 3) Kepler becomes tradeable which saves the team about $3M 4) Kepler becomes tradeable, and they get a decent prospect back. He has been the team's best hitter the last 30 days with a 905 OPS and a wRC+ of 150. If that falls off over the next month, DFA him. If he continues, he is valuable to both us and other teams. He will bring a pretty decent prospect if he is plays like this for the next 3 weeks.
  25. Major League Ready
    Sands has been quite good recently. I am looking forward to seeing if whatever he is doing translates to success with the ML club. I did see him pitch recently and it looked to me like the same pitches with better command, but we shall see. With Thielbar out and Lopez being unreliable, Pagan remains in the top 8 at least in the eyes of the FO. Hopefully, Lopez gets it together and we get Thielbar back. Anyone know the story with Alcala? The Pagan situation has the same downfall as the OF situation. Let's invest those innings on someone that has a chance to help the team long-term.
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