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Major League Ready

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  1. His wRC+ is 95 so basically league average. That production looks a lot better when it comes from a switch hitter that can play several positions pretty well and steal bases very effectively. I hope he becomes expendable, but that day is not here yet.
  2. Kirilloff to the OF. Gallo gone by the deadline. Cron would be a decent move. He started out the year bad but has been better lately,
  3. Lewis is quite a bit faster which makes me wonder if Lee takes 3B and Lewis 2B. Plus, I am still holding on to the hope Lewis ends up in the OF. We are deeper now and next year in the IF. The RH hitting Lewis would be a nice addition to our OF.
  4. Would have wrote exactly the same thing and just to add some numbers to your position. Polanco's wRC+ this year is 103. Julien's wRC+149. Polanco's a better defender but how can his return be the most important?
  5. I have only seen Stevenson play a couple times so I am pretty much looking at his stats and 70 grade speed. The speed suggests he should be decent defensively. I look at the numbers and he hit really well in small samples in 2019 and 2020 at the ML level and then fell flat in 2021 but it was only 213 ABs. If he keeps us this pace you have to believe he gets a shot or perhaps traded to someone else who wants to give him a shot.
  6. Atlanta got two MVP candidates for nothing. We would all love someone who has a big impact but costs us nothing. However, when we contemplate buying most people want a Paul Goldschmidt type player and that has a very significant cost. That's not what the 87 Twins did. That was the only point. People hold up these examples when they actually support a strategy that is quite different than what they are advocating. Baylor was having a very poor year. Is that what people want for additions. We already have a bunch of guys playing poorly.
  7. Not sure where you are going with this. How was the 87 a team cast into contention by deadline additions? The only additions I can come up with are Joe Niekro who was acquired in early June and produced a modest 1.7 WAR and Don Baylor who produced .4 WAR for the entire season. Baylor was acquired for a player to be named later that ended up being Enrique Rios who never made it out of A ball. It would appear the 87 Twins are an example of winning the WS while making only minor (very low cost) additions at the deadline.
  8. Since June 1 Andrew Stevenson is hitting 388 with a 1.125 OPS. Wow! Anthony Prato's OPS since being promoted to AAA in 1.037. Anyone seen him in the OF?
  9. That's a good point. Those two would mitigate the argument that keeping Kepler and Gallo is necessary so that we don't have a repeat of last year.
  10. Sonny Gray has career earnings of $62M before taxes so let's call it $35M after taxes. Jordan is reported to be worth $2B. His superstar status allowed for him to make a fortune after he retired. He had a royalty deal in place that to this day pays him $150M+/year. Two completely different scenarios. Part of me wonders if Gray is so calculating as to drop that sound bite to encourage a trade so that he does not have a qualified offer attached to him next year.
  11. Spot on! Can you imagine making a firing decision in an actual business without actually observing performance and with little direct knowledge of someone's skillset and the actual body of work. I understand people are frustrated but the need to punish someone seems more vengeful than it is an educated assessment. None of us has the combination of subject matter expertise and direct knowledge to provide an information opinion.
  12. I have no idea if Trevor Plouffe would be a good hitting coach. However, the difference between him and those who have commented here is that he has actually played MLB.
  13. Letting one of Wallner/Larnach reduces our chances of finding a long-term solution. Gallo is gone for sure next year and Kepler's option is not likely to be exercised. It would be very short-sighted to let one of them go now. Letting both Kepler and Gallo go creates a short-term risk but that risk is mitigated by Kirilloff's ability to play the OF. Plus, how much downside is there to the level of play Gallo and Kepler have provided. Letting both Gallo and Kepler go opens roster spots that will facilitate finding solutions.
  14. I have never seen Julien play the OF. However, he is well below average at 2B so you would have to believe he did not show much promise when they tried him in the OF.
  15. I know Stevenson is a stretch but jeez the guy has earned a shot, especially if this level of play continues. From the little I have seen he seems like a good defender. Can be an above average defender? I have not seen enough to comment.
  16. Both. We need the roster spots to audition talent. We need to find some help to actually give us a shot in a playoff series as well as finding some long-term solutions. Start by bringing up Larnach and sending Kirilloff to the OF. Then, give Williams a shot at 1B. Larnach over Wallner because their offensive numbers are very similar and Larnach is clearly the better defender. Bring Wallner up if there is an injury or Buxton is able to play the OF. I would also at some point give Stevenson a shot.
  17. It could be they want Kepler and Gallo in the lineup most days to hopefully play well enough to promote a trade in the next 10-15 days? That would not be so bad. I can wait a couple weeks. Kepler for sure has value if he plays the way he has the last month. They can DFA Gallo after the deadline if they can't find a buyer.
  18. The only pending free agents that would significantly impact their chances to win the division if traded are Gray and possibly Maeda. MAT and Solano are debatable. Solano is one of the few twins hitting well. It would be risky to give Stevenson a shot but hard to imagine his bat is worse than MAT given he has an OPS in the 900s at AAA. I have only seen 4 Saints games so I don't know how much of a drop-off he would be in CF vs Taylor. Would appreciate insight from anyone with better knowledge of his defense. They could move on from Gallo / Kepler and Pagan with a chance for better production. Farmer is probably expendable too. Gray would have to be a very good offer because of the comp pick if we give him a QA. Maeda is interesting. He might bring a nice package if his next starts up to the deadline are good. Gray has been pretty average in his last 10 starts. I don't know that a big offer is eminent.
  19. I think you are ignoring a few things in coming to the conclusion this is "simple".. First, you have to assume Goldschmidt is available, and available at a price that is not absurd. Then, you have to assume he produces to career norms. I bet Angels fans assumed Albert Pujlos was a safe bet. I am sure the Rays expected far more out of Nelson Cruz. Donaldson did not work out so good and thankfully we got out of the last two years. The last year of most of these deals is far below the player's norm. The fact is that the last 5 weeks Goldschmidt has produced below average. Kepler’s wRC+ is actually 10 percent higher. He is 35 years old. It is quite possible perhaps even likely that he will not produce to his career norms. We also can't assume ownership will approve another $10M. They are already at record spending. Many teams are going to be restricted on the cost of additions. This isan assumption we can make. What about the $26M next year? If he declines to league average at age 36 that money could be spent much wiser elsewhere. It could be used for a longer term solution. I would much rather go after an impact bat free agent under 30. OF or 1B being the best targets. It really simplifies it if you ignore the cost in prospects. Lots of people said the Mahle decision was simple. How much better off would be with Steer for another 5 years and CES has the potential to be dominant bat this lineup is missing for the next 6 years. He would be on the ML roster right now had we played the long game instead of trading for Mahle. If CES hits (even as a DH) to his potential, the Mahle deal is a disaster and here are pondering a similar scenario, granted a pitcher vs a hitter but a 35 y/o hitter. All of these things are valid considerations. So, I would not be inclined to say it’s a simple straight forward no brainer.
  20. You are basing you argument on a relatively meaningless stat. OBP with me more meaningful. OPS would be more meaningful than OBP and wRC+ would be more meaningful than BA, OBP or OPS. One could argue that WPA is more meaningful than all of them and it's certainly more valuable than BA. Then, there is the defensive aspect to consider. Gallo is not only a good defender, he provided a back-up option in the event Kirilloff's wrist remained an issue. You are using this particular stat while ignoring everything else because it suits your argument. The argument to cut Castro because he is the cheapest also ignores a number of other factors. The most obvious being he has two more years of control. His utility covering multiple positions including CF and being a switch hitter provides rather value that we can't readily replace. We have two corner OFers that can easily take Gallo's spot.
  21. No, I don't think they would add Prato to the 40 man right now. I was merely answering the question about other possible OFers. Larnach and Wallner are going to get first crack at an opening. I think you are right they are not cutting Gallo or Kepler until they have a chance to either get a prospect or someone to pick up their salary. I see the situation being resolved in 15-20 days when either Gallo or Kepler gets traded. If Gallo is not traded, I think there is a decent chance he gets cut. His wRC+ is decent for the year but it's 71 for the last 8 weeks.
  22. That's probably more important than the short-term implications. They need to figure out if they need to play Kirilloff in the OF? In which case, they need to find a 1B. Do they need to budget for a free agent impact OFer? Do they need to keep Gordon? Can Austin Martin play a role? It would be really poor roster management to go into next season hoping Wallner and Larnach can stick without a good look this year.. My bet is they are thinking the exact same thing as us. Their timeframe recognizes that nobody is making trades yet. Some teams will determine over the next 15-20 days if they are buyers or sellers. Those who know they are sellers are not trading anyone until the last few days before the deadline unless they get a crazy offer. The Twins will hope to trade Kepler and/or Gallo before the deadline. I would hope Gallo gets cut if they can't find a trade partner. We can complain if the deadline passes, and we are in the same situation.
  23. Prato has played some LF. It's stretch but he has a .991 OPS since being promoted to AAA. Stevenson has a 900 OPS. 29 years old but one could argue his performance is worthy of a shot. Of course, those arguing for less experienced guys getting an opportunity are Wallner and Larnach. It makes zero sense to give up on Larnach because his hitting has been slightly below average. He can definitely hit velocity but he could not lay-off low breaking balls. It makes sense to give him an opportunity to overcome the weakness opposing scouts found. Most are arguing find out now because we would not be losing much if they struggle a little given the current production. Same basic logic applies to Wallner.
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