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1985Fan

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Everything posted by 1985Fan

  1. 1985Fan
    Miami says no! I can’t see them trading away their top two arms. In today's market, SP is the asset with the highest value based on limited supply and seemingly limitless demand. Luzardo alone would net a haul for Miami if they wanted to trade him. How would they justify trading their top SP and their Cy Young ace? They made the playoffs and got swept in 2 games. Making this proposed trade does not improve their roster to get deeper into the playoffs this year.
  2. 1985Fan
    FO is in a tough spot. Stand pat with the roster or give up valuable players and/or prospects to bring in outside talent. Good news is the issue is a situation created by a good farm system and the depth on the roster.. I think there are enough options to fill in at 1B. One of Miranda, Farmer, Goodrum, or Severino could play 1B and probably do very well. The CF position has Castro, Gordon, Martin, and Kiersey to backup Buxton. Ideally it would be great to see full season from both Kiriloff and Buxton, but the backups can fill in and contribute to a winning team. Pitching is where they may want to add. Replacing Gray and Maeda is a large hole to fill with Paddack and Varland. Falvine may see it differently. All depends on what they expect from those two and SWR, Festa, even Dobnak as depth. The market for controllable, #2 type pitching just doesn’t seem to be available via trade and FA are out of the budget. I vote for FA signing if they can sign for short term high AAV. Wonder if Snell would do a short term deal with opt outs?
  3. 1985Fan
    With these arb players signed, what is the payroll at now? Any room to left to add to the payroll? Seems strange the TV deal hasn’t been worked out yet.
  4. 1985Fan
    The TV revenue problem is not limited to just the Twins. I’ve recently read about TV revenue problems in Seattle and St. Louis. Every team except NY, Boston, and LA are cutting or holding the line on payroll. Given the reality of the current economics, it’s going to be difficult to get back value for Polanco, given his salary, age and injury concerns. I think he has more value to the Twins offensively challenged roster. He’s a veteran hitter with power from both sides.
  5. 1985Fan
    If he changes his pitch mix to feature the sinker, he should compete for SP spot. IF he is healthy. Carlos Silva gave the Twins a couple of good seasons in the rotation. I think one season he was #1 starter. Not that those were great rotations. No reason, other than health, that a sinker heavy Winder couldn’t be a #5 guy or depth at St. Paul.
  6. 1985Fan
    I agree that it does seem like they will rely on minor league depth this year. I think that is a solid strategy for the position player side of things. The CF depth looks ok with their outlook on Buxtons health. I can’t argue with that since only they know his health status. With Castro, Gordon, and Martin ( in that order) lined up as CF depth, that should work. Don’t forget about Keirsey in St. Paul. He had a good year last year and probably deserves a shot. Is Niko Goodrum still able to play outfield? I think the corner outfield depth is questionable. After Larnach, I guess it’s Castro, Gordon, Martin, Goodrum, and Keirsey. That’s a big drop off in power output for the corner outfield spots. The SP depth right now is Dobnak, Festa, SWR, and maybe Winder. Headrick was also a starter, so he is probably on the depth chart. Except for Festa, those aren’t exciting names to take long term spots at the MLB level if needed. Could work for short term stints to fill in for injuries. Would be better to bring in experienced SP to push Varland to St. Paul for depth. Like every fan every year, it would be good to see a BP arm added. With the way BP usage is in today’s game, you’d think that is a requirement for teams that want post season success. With the top five spots locked up, the FO is going to go with Canterino, Alcala, Balazovic, Staumont, Winder, Headrick, and Moran. Not sure of Moran’s health status. Lots of questions with those names. Falvine seems comfortable gambling on three of those guys being dependable for the season. High risk, if you ask me. BP gamble is their MO, so no surprise.
  7. 1985Fan
    Congrats to Dinkelman! Admired his attitude from afar as a fan. Fun to root for him and his type of AAAA players. Glad to see his coaching career is a success, especially with the Twins organization. I wonder what his career progression will be? Hope the Twins can reward him and keep him!
  8. 1985Fan
    How Buxton’s injury was handled is the worst part of his 2023 season. He should have had the surgery done early on when it was obvious he wasn’t going to get to 100%. Of course us fans won’t know who to blame for that fiasco. Could have been the FO or the new trainer they brought in? Or could have been Buxton deciding that he could play. The outcome from last year should be that he needs to be able to play in the field or be on the injured list. No more playing while injured hoping he’ll heal while playing. If the same type of injury management happens again, someone needs to be held accountable.
  9. 1985Fan
    Please don’t add Stanton. Twins don’t need a full time DH. Better to keep that spot open to rotate players into. They have Severino, Miranda, and Larnach that can DH if they want to insert power potential into the lineup. Those guys don’t cost anything and have similar profile for high strikeout with power potential as Stanton. You never know what you have until you play them regularly. If Miranda is healthy, I think the RH bench bat & backup 1B role is his to lose this spring. It will be between Miranda, Goodrum, and Severino. Good competition.
  10. 1985Fan
    Successful stolen bases are not entirely dependent on speed. Yes it helps, but reading the pitcher to get a good jump is probably as important as speed. With today’s rules, advantage is tilted to the runner. When pitcher uses up their two throws, the runner can expand their lead and are practically guaranteed 2nd base. I’m sure the stats are out there on success rate for that situation. The old adage is the base is not stolen on the catcher, it’s the pitcher not holding the runner. Correa, if healthy, should be able to steal 20 bases easily. If he can get on base to get chances to steal. One and four are related. Less strikeouts should put more runners on base and add to stolen base opportunities. Less strikeouts also opens up other tools for Baldelli, if he chooses to use other tools. Hit and run is a great way to advance runners. Doesn’t work unless you can put the ball in play. Hitting behind runners on first base is another great way to set up scoring opportunities. Those are the types of tools that can be valuable in one run or low scoring games and can add a few wins to the record. I’d like to watch the Twins steal bases, hit behind runners, and hit and run. Station to station baseball is very boring. I’m not saying a total shift in game management or style, but using more tools to manufacture runs would be welcome!
  11. 1985Fan
    I like the part about going after Castillo. I’ve read that Seattle is also having to cut payroll. They purchased the Root Sports NW company that was broadcasting their games to save them from bankruptcy. RSNW also broadcasts Trailblazers and local college sports. Seattle owned a majority stake but had to buy 100% to keep their games on the air. After purchasing 100% stake in RSNW, they announced layoffs and cost cutting would follow. I think I read that also applies to Mariners payroll. Castillo is probably their highest paid starter and they have young controllable arms that can fill the void if they offload Castillo. if we offer cheap young offense, it might make a match.
  12. 1985Fan
    I think Miranda and Niko Goodrum are going to compete in spring training for last spot on the roster and right handed bench bat. This FO isn’t keen to trade assets when their value is at its lowest like Miranda’s value is now.
  13. 1985Fan
    I agree with others here that Ashcroft would be too expensive for a very uncertain return. Twins window to compete for championship, not just division title, should dictate that they add high value, proven assets, not take a flyer on someone. They already have prospects that are in the same mold as Ashcroft, so why give up players to duplicate what they already have?
  14. 1985Fan
    I question if Burnes is even available. Why would Brewers even trade him? They’re in a weak division that is ripe for the taking, they lost their other top of the rotation pitcher, they have a good/great rotation if they keep Burnes, and they’re not going to repeat the Hader trade fiasco. They’ll probably do what the Twins did with Gray; keep him to see if they can compete for the division or playoffs. If not, they’ll trade him at the deadline or hang onto him, give him the QO that he’ll turn down, and get the CB draft pick.
  15. 1985Fan
    How about Jeffers, Lee, and Severino for Luzaerdo? Marlins get a starting catcher, a middle infielder ready to plug into the lineup, and a ready for MLB first baseman. Or substitute Camargo for Jeffers and they get six years of control on three MLB ready assets.
  16. 1985Fan
    Would love if a deal is done to get Luzardo. Agree with others that it will require the Twins to give up significant talent. Hope they can craft a deal from middle infield logjam that won’t hurt as much. Don’t do deal #2! Can’t afford to lose Keplers production as I don’t see anyone ready to fill that hole. They at least have Camargo at AAA ready to step in if they trade a catcher.
  17. 1985Fan
    Link to article in Seattle Times about the takeover of RSNW by Mariners: https://www.seattletimes.com/sports/mariners/mariners-to-take-full-control-of-root-sports-nw-clouding-teams-financial-outlook/ Also mentions that regional sports networks are “collapsing nationwide”. Wonder if the Twins will be forced into broadcasting their games themselves. MLB should get their act together and takeover all teams broadcasts to negotiate deals with networks like the NFL model.
  18. 1985Fan
    Mariners just announced they will take control of their regional sports network, Root Sports NW. They already owned 80%, but now control it all. Root also broadcasts Kracken hockey games, Trailblazers, and local college games. They announced that they will probably lay off people at the RSN in January. This will probably reduce Mariners payroll and increase the likelihood of Castillo being moved. Twins should be all over Castillo deal.
  19. 1985Fan
    Agree with all that the roster in general is solid and the pitching has depth. To improve either pitching or position roster will be difficult and costly. There should only be two types of pitching additions; either a low cost veteran depth starter, or a high quality starter that can pitch in October. I think Paddack has the talent to fill in for Gray as a number 2 playoff starter, but will he be able to pitch in October? Fingers crossed. Varland is the other question mark. Is he able to make an adjustment or add a pitch this offseason to take it to a higher level? If not, then he goes to the bullpen and that rotation hole has to be filled and the depth isn’t looking good. Those two significant rotation questions make it almost necessary to add a costly, high quality starter. FO has done a good job building depth through out the organization. They may have to use some of the depth as trade capital to get a quality arm like Logan Gilbert. I read the Mariners are looking for a second baseman which matches well with Twins infield depth.
  20. 1985Fan
    Twins definitely need to add an arm to the bullpen. Since they’re in win-now mode, you’d think they would target a proven bp arm that can be relied on instead of developing their MiLB arms at the MLB level. Varland would be a candidate for multiple innings, but not on short or limited rest. Using Varland in the bp means they will bring in a SP for the MLB team and one for depth at St. Paul. The price for a proven RP is cheaper than a quality SP, so that would fit their restricted budget. Would allow Varland to plug into the rotation, IF they believe in Varland in the rotation. They need to address SP depth to backup Paddock. If he gives them 100 innings this year, it will be a big success for him and the team. They’ll need to fill in innings there as well. It will be interesting to see where the FO spends their resources. It will tell us how much confidence they have in their MiLB pitchers and Varland. If the Twins are to go deep in the postseason, they’ll need to have a great bullpen. This could be the year the FO has to spend on the BP.
  21. 1985Fan
    I don’t see Pirates trading their ace. They’ve stated publicly that they’re looking to add arms this offseason. The deal, if they were to trade Keller, would have to include top pitching prospects that are near MLB ready. I doubt that Festa and SWR would be enough to get a deal done and I don’t like the idea of trading Festa. Hope that he’s ready to contribute by mid season. I do like one of Bader or Carlson to fill Taylor’s role. Who’s Correa’s backup if they trade Farmer? It’s not Polanco. I don’t think Castro or Gordon are MLB level SS. If Correa were to go down, Farmer is the only reasonable SS on the roster.
  22. 1985Fan
    I think there was a recent Twins catcher named Mauer that went to first base. At the end of his career, he was praised for his gold glove skills at 1B. I’m sure you know that Morneau was a catcher turned 1B? MLB history is full of catchers moving to first. Jeffers will have a full off-season to work on it. And it wouldn’t be full time or permanent. If it comes down to spending on SP, CF, RP, vs. 1B, I’d rather they try Jeffers platoon.
  23. 1985Fan
    The Twins already have a solution on their roster for first base, or at least a viable proposal. Why not use Jeffers in a platoon at 1B with Kiriloff? They liked his bat enough to give him all the starts at catcher during the playoffs. If they feel they need a catcher on the bench when Jeffers is at 1B, there is Camargo already on the 40 man. Or stick with two catchers since Jeffers would only play against LH, so not that many games.
  24. 1985Fan
    I think you consider trading Polanco because of the return, not because of potential AB,s, or lack there of. Of the players you’re willing to part with, who is going to net the greatest return? There are players that you won’t deal. Polanco isn’t on the untouchable list, partly because there are viable replacements and he should net a nice return. After the FO gauges his market value, Polanco might still be a Twin for 2024. I’m reading that the Reds are making India available with the idea he will net a quality SP. Who knows how accurate that will turn out to be, but if India nets a SP, you have to think Polanco would also. The other side of the coin is you should hold onto proven veteran players if you’re serious about contending. That means prospects are trade capital instead. One thing is for certain, pitching is expensive. Prospects or veterans, either way will be painful.
  25. 1985Fan
    Very interesting ideas and opinions on trading Polanco. Here’s my opinion ( maybe worth two cents). 1. You trade Polanco if FO has determined that is how to net Sonny Gray replacement. I’m sure they’d like to keep him, but you have to give up value to get value. There are pitchers on the trade market, or so rumors tell us fans. Burnes and possibly some of the young arms from Seattle (Bryan Woo?). The other thing trading Polanco does is free up that money for FA target. Same with Kepler and Vazquez. 2. Trade from position of strength, and with Julien and Lee, they probably feel they have a reasonable chance to replace Polanco’s production. You can argue it’s not the same, but that’s the gamble you have to take. They need more than Lopez at the front end of the rotation, and relying on Paddack to pitch a full season seems risky. Or hoping that Ober, Ryan, or Varland will take their game to the next level is also very risky. 3. I don’t care what defensive stats say, Polanco is, at best, ok at 2nd base. He is not ok at 3rd base or SS. Hope that other teams think he is to increase his value, but Twins should know he is not viable option at other than 2nd base. Does everyone remember his last season at SS? They immediately decided to replace him there. He is not a good fielder; limited range, weak arm, and prone to errors.
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