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1985Fan

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Everything posted by 1985Fan

  1. 1985Fan
    Remember that Dobnak was good enough to start a playoff game for the Twins in 2019 and was one of their better starters at the end of that season. That’s why he was he was rewarded with a contract. If he is healthy and back to 2019 form, he is a veteran starter that can slot in at #5 and do well. When his sinker is on he was very good at the MLB level.
  2. 1985Fan
    Have to give credit to FO for effort in replacing Solano with Santana. Solano was a great addition last year with his right handed bat and his veteran AB’s. Not something easily quantified, but I thought his at bats were impressive, especially early season when most everyone else was struggling. Don’t discount the part of the Polanco trade that creates a path to the big leagues for Brooks Lee. It seems the FO is planning for him to make the jump this year and be a contributor much like Julien and Wallner. We’ll see if he can hit his way out of St.Paul, but now the path is clearer. It would have been great if they would have added a front end starter, but that is very expensive in today’s market. On paper, the FO deserves an A-. The only grade that counts comes at the end of the year.
  3. 1985Fan
    I heard Alcala was pitching well in winter ball. If he is healthy and got some quality work in the winter, he might be a good low leverage arm. Wasn’t Stewart picked up two years ago and stashed at St.Paul until he was 100% recovered from surgery? I know he started for the Dodgers long ago, but then injury kept him out of MLB for a while.
  4. 1985Fan
    Twins aren’t going to sign Snell or Montgomery because the FO doesn’t do FA SP long term deals. Those types of deals usually don’t work out well for the team. Not necessarily because of the TV revenue loss, although that may have impacted their plan this year. Their approach to pitching has been trades and develop their own. The development part hasn’t been wildly successful yet, but some of the trades have. I think they value Festa highly and think he can contribute this year. How much he can contribute and the quality of his contribution remains to be seen. It will be interesting to see what will happen with SWR and Winder. Can they improve on their past MLB history? They’re in the age range where development and improvement is still possible. Is Dobnak recovered from the finger injuries? I think he returned to form at the end of the season last year. The plan seems to be start with López, Paddock, Ryan, Ober, and Desclafini (if healthy). They’ll use Varland, Festa, SWR, and Donna’s to fill in for injury, rest, etc. Like others have said, I think they can get through the season with this plan. I just don’t know if they’ll have the SP to get deep into the playoffs.
  5. 1985Fan
    And let’s hope Festa is ready to debut in 2024 and make an impact.
  6. 1985Fan
    I would rather they had given Miranda, Severino, and Goodrum a chance at platooning or outright winning first base job. They must not believe all of the rosy health reports on Kirilloff. If age catches up with Santana, we’ll be stuck watching him struggle as this FO doesn’t admit mistakes and cut bait when it isn’t working. Gallo was the worst example of that. I’d rather watch Miranda or Severino struggle thinking that they’re at least learning from their failure and can turn it around at any minute, rather than watching a slow painful age related decline with no hope of recovery.
  7. 1985Fan
    Miami says no! I can’t see them trading away their top two arms. In today's market, SP is the asset with the highest value based on limited supply and seemingly limitless demand. Luzardo alone would net a haul for Miami if they wanted to trade him. How would they justify trading their top SP and their Cy Young ace? They made the playoffs and got swept in 2 games. Making this proposed trade does not improve their roster to get deeper into the playoffs this year.
  8. 1985Fan
    FO is in a tough spot. Stand pat with the roster or give up valuable players and/or prospects to bring in outside talent. Good news is the issue is a situation created by a good farm system and the depth on the roster.. I think there are enough options to fill in at 1B. One of Miranda, Farmer, Goodrum, or Severino could play 1B and probably do very well. The CF position has Castro, Gordon, Martin, and Kiersey to backup Buxton. Ideally it would be great to see full season from both Kiriloff and Buxton, but the backups can fill in and contribute to a winning team. Pitching is where they may want to add. Replacing Gray and Maeda is a large hole to fill with Paddack and Varland. Falvine may see it differently. All depends on what they expect from those two and SWR, Festa, even Dobnak as depth. The market for controllable, #2 type pitching just doesn’t seem to be available via trade and FA are out of the budget. I vote for FA signing if they can sign for short term high AAV. Wonder if Snell would do a short term deal with opt outs?
  9. 1985Fan
    With these arb players signed, what is the payroll at now? Any room to left to add to the payroll? Seems strange the TV deal hasn’t been worked out yet.
  10. 1985Fan
    The TV revenue problem is not limited to just the Twins. I’ve recently read about TV revenue problems in Seattle and St. Louis. Every team except NY, Boston, and LA are cutting or holding the line on payroll. Given the reality of the current economics, it’s going to be difficult to get back value for Polanco, given his salary, age and injury concerns. I think he has more value to the Twins offensively challenged roster. He’s a veteran hitter with power from both sides.
  11. 1985Fan
    If he changes his pitch mix to feature the sinker, he should compete for SP spot. IF he is healthy. Carlos Silva gave the Twins a couple of good seasons in the rotation. I think one season he was #1 starter. Not that those were great rotations. No reason, other than health, that a sinker heavy Winder couldn’t be a #5 guy or depth at St. Paul.
  12. 1985Fan
    I agree that it does seem like they will rely on minor league depth this year. I think that is a solid strategy for the position player side of things. The CF depth looks ok with their outlook on Buxtons health. I can’t argue with that since only they know his health status. With Castro, Gordon, and Martin ( in that order) lined up as CF depth, that should work. Don’t forget about Keirsey in St. Paul. He had a good year last year and probably deserves a shot. Is Niko Goodrum still able to play outfield? I think the corner outfield depth is questionable. After Larnach, I guess it’s Castro, Gordon, Martin, Goodrum, and Keirsey. That’s a big drop off in power output for the corner outfield spots. The SP depth right now is Dobnak, Festa, SWR, and maybe Winder. Headrick was also a starter, so he is probably on the depth chart. Except for Festa, those aren’t exciting names to take long term spots at the MLB level if needed. Could work for short term stints to fill in for injuries. Would be better to bring in experienced SP to push Varland to St. Paul for depth. Like every fan every year, it would be good to see a BP arm added. With the way BP usage is in today’s game, you’d think that is a requirement for teams that want post season success. With the top five spots locked up, the FO is going to go with Canterino, Alcala, Balazovic, Staumont, Winder, Headrick, and Moran. Not sure of Moran’s health status. Lots of questions with those names. Falvine seems comfortable gambling on three of those guys being dependable for the season. High risk, if you ask me. BP gamble is their MO, so no surprise.
  13. 1985Fan
    Congrats to Dinkelman! Admired his attitude from afar as a fan. Fun to root for him and his type of AAAA players. Glad to see his coaching career is a success, especially with the Twins organization. I wonder what his career progression will be? Hope the Twins can reward him and keep him!
  14. 1985Fan
    How Buxton’s injury was handled is the worst part of his 2023 season. He should have had the surgery done early on when it was obvious he wasn’t going to get to 100%. Of course us fans won’t know who to blame for that fiasco. Could have been the FO or the new trainer they brought in? Or could have been Buxton deciding that he could play. The outcome from last year should be that he needs to be able to play in the field or be on the injured list. No more playing while injured hoping he’ll heal while playing. If the same type of injury management happens again, someone needs to be held accountable.
  15. 1985Fan
    Please don’t add Stanton. Twins don’t need a full time DH. Better to keep that spot open to rotate players into. They have Severino, Miranda, and Larnach that can DH if they want to insert power potential into the lineup. Those guys don’t cost anything and have similar profile for high strikeout with power potential as Stanton. You never know what you have until you play them regularly. If Miranda is healthy, I think the RH bench bat & backup 1B role is his to lose this spring. It will be between Miranda, Goodrum, and Severino. Good competition.
  16. 1985Fan
    Successful stolen bases are not entirely dependent on speed. Yes it helps, but reading the pitcher to get a good jump is probably as important as speed. With today’s rules, advantage is tilted to the runner. When pitcher uses up their two throws, the runner can expand their lead and are practically guaranteed 2nd base. I’m sure the stats are out there on success rate for that situation. The old adage is the base is not stolen on the catcher, it’s the pitcher not holding the runner. Correa, if healthy, should be able to steal 20 bases easily. If he can get on base to get chances to steal. One and four are related. Less strikeouts should put more runners on base and add to stolen base opportunities. Less strikeouts also opens up other tools for Baldelli, if he chooses to use other tools. Hit and run is a great way to advance runners. Doesn’t work unless you can put the ball in play. Hitting behind runners on first base is another great way to set up scoring opportunities. Those are the types of tools that can be valuable in one run or low scoring games and can add a few wins to the record. I’d like to watch the Twins steal bases, hit behind runners, and hit and run. Station to station baseball is very boring. I’m not saying a total shift in game management or style, but using more tools to manufacture runs would be welcome!
  17. 1985Fan
    I like the part about going after Castillo. I’ve read that Seattle is also having to cut payroll. They purchased the Root Sports NW company that was broadcasting their games to save them from bankruptcy. RSNW also broadcasts Trailblazers and local college sports. Seattle owned a majority stake but had to buy 100% to keep their games on the air. After purchasing 100% stake in RSNW, they announced layoffs and cost cutting would follow. I think I read that also applies to Mariners payroll. Castillo is probably their highest paid starter and they have young controllable arms that can fill the void if they offload Castillo. if we offer cheap young offense, it might make a match.
  18. 1985Fan
    I think Miranda and Niko Goodrum are going to compete in spring training for last spot on the roster and right handed bench bat. This FO isn’t keen to trade assets when their value is at its lowest like Miranda’s value is now.
  19. 1985Fan
    I agree with others here that Ashcroft would be too expensive for a very uncertain return. Twins window to compete for championship, not just division title, should dictate that they add high value, proven assets, not take a flyer on someone. They already have prospects that are in the same mold as Ashcroft, so why give up players to duplicate what they already have?
  20. 1985Fan
    I question if Burnes is even available. Why would Brewers even trade him? They’re in a weak division that is ripe for the taking, they lost their other top of the rotation pitcher, they have a good/great rotation if they keep Burnes, and they’re not going to repeat the Hader trade fiasco. They’ll probably do what the Twins did with Gray; keep him to see if they can compete for the division or playoffs. If not, they’ll trade him at the deadline or hang onto him, give him the QO that he’ll turn down, and get the CB draft pick.
  21. 1985Fan
    How about Jeffers, Lee, and Severino for Luzaerdo? Marlins get a starting catcher, a middle infielder ready to plug into the lineup, and a ready for MLB first baseman. Or substitute Camargo for Jeffers and they get six years of control on three MLB ready assets.
  22. 1985Fan
    Would love if a deal is done to get Luzardo. Agree with others that it will require the Twins to give up significant talent. Hope they can craft a deal from middle infield logjam that won’t hurt as much. Don’t do deal #2! Can’t afford to lose Keplers production as I don’t see anyone ready to fill that hole. They at least have Camargo at AAA ready to step in if they trade a catcher.
  23. 1985Fan
    Link to article in Seattle Times about the takeover of RSNW by Mariners: https://www.seattletimes.com/sports/mariners/mariners-to-take-full-control-of-root-sports-nw-clouding-teams-financial-outlook/ Also mentions that regional sports networks are “collapsing nationwide”. Wonder if the Twins will be forced into broadcasting their games themselves. MLB should get their act together and takeover all teams broadcasts to negotiate deals with networks like the NFL model.
  24. 1985Fan
    Mariners just announced they will take control of their regional sports network, Root Sports NW. They already owned 80%, but now control it all. Root also broadcasts Kracken hockey games, Trailblazers, and local college games. They announced that they will probably lay off people at the RSN in January. This will probably reduce Mariners payroll and increase the likelihood of Castillo being moved. Twins should be all over Castillo deal.
  25. 1985Fan
    Agree with all that the roster in general is solid and the pitching has depth. To improve either pitching or position roster will be difficult and costly. There should only be two types of pitching additions; either a low cost veteran depth starter, or a high quality starter that can pitch in October. I think Paddack has the talent to fill in for Gray as a number 2 playoff starter, but will he be able to pitch in October? Fingers crossed. Varland is the other question mark. Is he able to make an adjustment or add a pitch this offseason to take it to a higher level? If not, then he goes to the bullpen and that rotation hole has to be filled and the depth isn’t looking good. Those two significant rotation questions make it almost necessary to add a costly, high quality starter. FO has done a good job building depth through out the organization. They may have to use some of the depth as trade capital to get a quality arm like Logan Gilbert. I read the Mariners are looking for a second baseman which matches well with Twins infield depth.
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