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Woof Bronzer

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Everything posted by Woof Bronzer

  1. Woof Bronzer
    It's not a myth. Baldelli consistently yanked starters early last year (they were bottom 5 in the league for starter innings). He pulled Berrios early twice IN THE PLAYOFFS ALONE. Until this year he'd never let a starter go beyond 5 in the playoffs. It's encouraging that he appears to have learned from those past mistakes. But we don't need to revise history here and pretend it was never a thing.
  2. Woof Bronzer
    I agree that Rocco will keep doing this - if I was the Jays I'd be tempted to throw out a lefty opener. At a minimum the first reliever off the bench should be a lefty. I don't agree that this is a smart approach, or that it works. If you clear out your bench in the 4th you're looking at a situation where your season is on the line and La Tortuga is at the plate.
  3. Woof Bronzer
    It's a bit odd to suggest that the team doesn't care about the streak and then quote a player promising to break the streak. They know, they care, and that's ok - they should care! No competitor wants to be part of a historically bad streak.
  4. Woof Bronzer
    Yes, exactly. A business trying to maximize revenue and viewership, the horrors.
  5. Woof Bronzer
    Lol so you are saying MLB intentionally schedules afternoon playoff games out of spite to ensure that a lot of fans can't watch therefore hurting their product? That's....quite the take.
  6. Woof Bronzer
    Not a great matchup, imo. Two similar teams but Toronto is just a bit better than us in almost every area: their starting 3, bullpen, lineup, and defense...that said we're not talking about huge advantages one way or the other. Plus we're at home. Plus it's the playoffs. The 2 keys to me are Lewis' health, and pitching in innings 4-7. Lewis as DH hurts the lineup and defense as a whole, and I sure hope Rocco lets his top 2 starters - the clear cut strength of this team - go deeper in the game than he has done in past playoffs.
  7. Woof Bronzer
    Yes. This is why he should not be on the roster. Has nothing to do with "moral failure" and everything to do with "too injured to play."
  8. Woof Bronzer
    Julien has 40 ABs against LHP. That's not a meaningful sample size. Some of us have been clamoring for him to get at bats against lefties to see if he can handle it. Sure seems like it would have helped with a decision like this. I do not trust Buxton at all, and more than that, Julien is an important part of the future here. Show confidence in the kid and he might just reward you for it. As far as our hitting goes, it's the young guys' team now. Believe in them!
  9. Woof Bronzer
    If I was the Twins opponent and couldn't line up my ideal starter due to the playoff push, I'd do what the Giants (??) did against us earlier in the year: start a righty opener and then switch to a lefty in the 2nd. (Or vice versa.) See if you could get Rocco to bite and empty out his bench.
  10. Woof Bronzer
    Considering he has been unable to play CF for a single game at any level this year, I think the question has been answered.
  11. Woof Bronzer
    This also concerned me. We don't really talk about the fact that a lot of our young guys, who carried the team the year, not only have zero playoff experience but very little experience in big games. It's great that we ran away with the division this year but we played in almost no high stakes games. Playoffs are just different. If we face Houston, who has been through it before and who has been playing high stakes games for a couple weeks straight, I think this is a major concern.
  12. Woof Bronzer
    Couldn't disagree with this more. It's not just another 3 game series; their season is on the line. It'll be a 2 game series if they think like this. The Gardy years should have made it abundantly clear: the playoffs are a sprint, not a marathon, and it takes a different approach to winning in the postseason than in the regular season. You cannot afford to give up games, you have to play every single one as must win. Worry about tomorrow, tomorrow. Tom Kelly understood this; Gardy never did.
  13. Woof Bronzer
    Does anyone have a link re: Lewis playing? I am highly skeptical that he will play. I tried looking online for a Grade 1 Plus strain, but it doesn't seem like that's an actual medical thing, which is really concerning. (I don't understand why the Twins do this with medical stuff - going back to the Mauer "bilateral leg weakness" which was also not a medical thing.) That leads me to believe it's actually a Grade 2 strain, which has a recovery time of several weeks. But the Twins either don't want to admit he's out or maybe they want Lewis to remain more upbeat by thinking it's not as significant? I don't know but I can't think of a positive reason for them to make up a diagnosis. I think Lewis is the key to this offense - I'd go as far as to say the Twins will go as far in these playoffs as he takes them. So it's huge if he can play.
  14. Woof Bronzer
    If they add him, it should be solely to be a last gasp pinch hitter very late in a game against a LHP when we need a home run. I fear that rostering him will tempt Rocco to DH him ahead of Julien, which would be a disaster. Not to mention playing him in the field which would be malpractice. I hope the club notices that the offense only came alive once the 2 strikeout-king black holes, Buxton and Gallo, took a seat. The '23 team is simply better without Buxton in the lineup, sad as that is to say.
  15. Woof Bronzer
    The team is middle of the road in offense, and was absolutely terrible for half the season, which could have cost the team the division if any of the other 4 teams were trying to win it. I find it very odd to point to this middling offense as proof that strikeouts don't matter. Yes, it would be much better if we struck out less. This, again, is fact: if we avoid the worst outcome, by definition, we will end up with better outcomes. In fact we'd hit MORE HRs if we struck out less. We'd turn HRs from solo shots to 2 or 3 run shots. And relying solely on HRs in the playoffs is a recipe for disaster. See 2019 for evidence of that. I'll ask again: if strikeouts don't matter, why don't teams fill their pitching staffs with pitch to contact guys? It would be so much cheaper, and equally as effective as high velocity guys since strikeouts don't matter.
  16. Woof Bronzer
    Lol yes, that's exactly what I'm saying. The Gallo thing worked great, let's do more of that.
  17. Woof Bronzer
    The Twins have 10x as many hits as GIDPs. And double plays are the result of a ball in play, not the result of a plate appearance. If hitters had total control over what happened when they put the ball in play they'd choose to hit home runs every time. Again, 30% of all balls in play become hits. 0% of strikeouts become hits. But....you can't score runs if you strikeout though. I truly do not understand this argument. One can make the argument that for certain hitters, high Ks are ok because of what that hitter does when he doesn't K. I'm with you there! One cannot make the argument that a strikeout is not the worse available outcome of a plate appearance. It's just a fact.
  18. Woof Bronzer
    I'm actually with you on WAR - I think it's one of many tools for FOs to identify talent, but should not be used to measure actual performance (that's not what it does). However I do think it has become one of those stats that people use to defend a opinion when it suits them, and that people dismiss when it doesn't fit their narrative. We disagree on Correa. Simmons played great D in 2021 too. We didn't sign Correa to the richest deal in team history to simply play good D. Let's hope he's better next year!
  19. Woof Bronzer
    Correct, a home run is one of the many available outcomes of putting a ball in play. Can't hit a home run if you strikeout though! A triple play is the outcome of a ball in play, not a plate appearance (unless you are suggesting hitters willfully decide to hit into a triple play? Which would be weird.) A ball in play is about 100,000x more likely to turn into a hit vs a triple play, so if you are suggesting strikeouts are preferable to putting a ball in play because of the extraordinarily rare occurrence of a triple play, then we just disagree. For those of you who continue to insist that strikeouts are fine: why don't we fill our starting rotation with pitch to contact guys? They'd be much, much cheaper, and if strikeouts are just another out, velocity really doesn't matter. You in?
  20. Woof Bronzer
    30% of balls in play become hits. 0% of strikeouts do. A strikeout is factually the worst of the available outcomes of a plate appearance. As you say, a player needs to have a very long career to end up on a list like this. A guy who strikes out too much isn't going to last long in the league, because strikeouts are bad. Let's look at single season K rates. Here are the 5 highest in history; Mark Reynolds Adam Dunn Chris Davis Yoan Moncada Joey Gallo As my dog likes to say: woof.
  21. Woof Bronzer
    The Astros have finished in the bottom 5 every year since 2016 I believe. How has avoiding strikeouts worked for them?
  22. Woof Bronzer
    Call me crazy, but I'm pretty sure you need baserunners in order to score runs. Not striking out means either putting the ball in play or walking/HBP, which leads to baserunners, which leads to runs. Do you have any examples where a strikeout led to runs?
  23. Woof Bronzer
    Direct quote: The quality and depth of Minnesota's rotation this year gives them an advantage heading into the playoffs that few teams have ever enjoyed. And I'm not just talking about Twins teams. Rarely will you ever see a playoff-bound club this loaded with high-end starting pitching. Unless we have different definitions of the words "ever", "rarely", and "I'm not just talking about Twins teams", that's exactly what you said.
  24. Woof Bronzer
    an advantage heading into the playoffs that few teams have ever enjoyed. And I'm not just talking about Twins teams. The only team the Twins will have a clear starting pitching advantage over is Texas, and they're so hot it's looking increasingly unlikely that we face them. Implying that the Twins top 2 is one of the biggest advantages in the 120 year history of the playoffs is just hilarious. Hawt take culture is alive and well! Here on planet earth, starting pitching is definitely the Twins strength. Bullpen is one of, if not the primary, weakness. However, no Twins starter has ever gone more than 5 IP in a playoff start under the Falvine regime. I'm already seeing articles on TD on how long the pitchers are going to pitch. If the Twins are going to yank their starters after 4 or 5 irrespective of actual performance, they are neutralizing their strength in order to lean into their weakness, and they will lose both games just like they lost G1 in 2019 when they yanked Berrios after 4 in order to pitch legendary reliever Zach Littel. If the Twins actually want to win a series they are going to need their starters to go deep. Otherwise any "advantage" we have will be meaningless.
  25. Woof Bronzer
    This isn't the first TD article to suggest that the Twins would have been worse off if they'd acquired better players at the deadline. The hottest of hot takes. Bigger indictment is the theory that underpins this article: that the only goal for the Twins is winning the putrid Central. Says so, so much about this franchise.
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