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Woof Bronzer

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Everything posted by Woof Bronzer

  1. Woof Bronzer
    Lol. You must be new here :) Taking pitches in the 2nd inning up a run on a 2-0 count is much different than taking a close pitch with 2 strikes down 2 in the bottom of the 9th. This is the exact problem I mention: a broad approach that refuses to adjust to, or even acknowledge, the situation of the game. There's nothing "analytical" about watching your season end with the bat on your shoulder; it's just bad baseball.
  2. Woof Bronzer
    I've still never heard anyone adequately explain the sabermetric logic of how strikeouts are the best PA outcome defensively - it's not debatable, the entirety of modern bullpens are built solely around strikeouts - yet offensively, strikeouts are "just another out". Both cannot be true. Max Kepler watching the season end with the bat on his shoulder has nothing to do with a "tradeoff". It has everything to do with the mentality drilled into these guys that strikeouts are OK, and that small things like protecting the plate and situational baseball aren't important because the only thing that matters is HRs. Not only is this philosophy very EASY to quibble with, it is fundamentally flawed and will limit the Twins' potential as long as they pretend otherwise.
  3. Woof Bronzer
    Crime is actually down across the board to pre-pandemic levels. You obviously haven't been to downtown Minneapolis in years, if ever. And no police department in the country was defunded.
  4. Woof Bronzer
    Crime has gone down in SF since then. But don't let facts get in the way of your narrative.
  5. Woof Bronzer
    Because bad faith actors are doing the singling out, for political purposes. Crime is actually down in SF compared to 10-20 years ago. But that doesn't fit the narrative, so the bad faith actors just make up a narrative to serve their own needs. This isn't unique to SF; Dave St Peter did a similar thing 2022 by blaming "public safety" (2+ years after Floyd riots) for declining attendance as a way to excuse the team's poor performance. Gross all around.
  6. Woof Bronzer
    If he really wanted to do this he would have signed a 10-year $700m contract with $680m deferred. You're saying someone forced him to do this?
  7. Woof Bronzer
    Absolutely mind boggling. If the Twins did something like this people nobody here - literally nobody - would complain. Quite the opposite, in fact, we'd hear about Falvey's genius and the Pohlad's spending non stop. Many Twins fans seem to expect other franchises to operate under the same self-imposed constraints the Twins do, just out of fairness or something. Not how capitalism works.
  8. Woof Bronzer
    Correct, yes, doing new things within the rules is the definition of innovative. This has nothing to do with "afford" though. Every team in the league could do it. The Pohlads are one of the richest owners in MLB, they can afford it, and in fact, they can SAVE money by doing it.
  9. Woof Bronzer
    Hard disagree. The Twins and more teams should be doing innovative deals like this. Without a cap it's really a mid-market solution more than a large-revenue one. The Twins could theoretically still get top end FAs at a fraction of the cost - the present day value of the Ohtani deal represents a discount of about 36%. That would be music to the Pohlads' ears.
  10. Woof Bronzer
    This is actually an innovative contract that teams like the Twins should be creative enough to consider. The Dodgers are paying around $450m on a $700m contract, basically a 36% discount. I wish our ownership group was willing to do "outside the box" things like this. But that would require them to show an interest in winning. Instead all we ever get is cuts and excuses. And good luck getting the players association to sign off on a salary cap prohibiting their players from making absurd money. Frankly it's a bit odd to complain about an owner coming up with an innovative contract that works for everyone and still allows them to improve their team.
  11. Woof Bronzer
    Send photos, please, this is incredible. Was it from a bunch of horses or what?
  12. Woof Bronzer
    Yep, they're the 1 team in the last 30 years from 18-30 that has won it. I've said this on many occasions - again, once in 30 years. If you come away from this with the opinion that "once in 30 years" is as likely of an outcome as the 29 times in 30 years it didn't happen, then obviously we (and the subject of mathematics) disagree. Serious question. You defend this organization (that has won 1 playoff series in 3 decades, as a reminder) at every possible chance. How come? I'm not being snotty, I seriously want to know. Perhaps you are a Pohlad or a member of the FO; that would make sense. Short of that I'm just super curious, because I truly have never seen, in any professional sport, a fan defending payroll cuts. Like, never ever, it doesn't happen because fans want the best team possible and fans don't care about accounting. Yet with the Twins there's a whole army of defenders. Truly bizarre to me and I really want to understand it. Thanks in advance for humoring me if you choose to.
  13. Woof Bronzer
    The excuse making is just astounding. The Twins could be as successful as the Cardinals, a team in a very similar market. The Cardinals organization understands that if you invest in the team, fans will follow, and revenues will too. The Twins organization treats the team like another business in the portfolio, refuses to consistently invest in the team, and when fans understandably lose interest, the team blames fans for losing and punishes fans for their own business ineptitude by slashing payroll and making the team worse. You're right about one thing: the Cardinals as an organization are nothing like the Twins. Apples and oranges indeed.
  14. Woof Bronzer
    Excellent hypothetical! I'll take the payroll since I'm primarily a radio listener :) Where would you land?
  15. Woof Bronzer
    The Twins have always said they spent 50% of revenue on payroll. (Like you I doubt they spend that much, but it's what they say.) Losing $50mil in revenue would then equate to a $25mil loss in payroll. They're cutting $25m-$30m so the only way the math works is if they're factoring nothing for the new deal. If they were figuring on a new deal worth $30 mil, or even the $40 ish mil that Bally offered a year ago but the Twins turned down, then what other lost revenue are they factoring in to arrive at a large cut? Sure isn't from 2023 when they had 4 home playoff games!
  16. Woof Bronzer
    The Twins! The Twins are suggesting that. "We used to get $50m, now we get $0, so we gotta cut payroll by $25-$30mil." If they factor in the future deal the "spend 50% of revenue" math doesn't work.
  17. Woof Bronzer
    All this makes more sense if you open yourself up to the idea that the Pohlads simply aren't very smart businessmen. The decision to cut payroll after the year the team had, literally weeks after TF was electric with an energy it literally has never had before, is plain stupid. No intelligent business would ever kill their own buzz that way. No intelligent business would then ANNOUNCE that they are killing their own buzz. Wouldn't the simplest explanation for all of this be that the Pohlads aren't that bright?
  18. Woof Bronzer
    Interesting...my initial thought was that the Twins were negotiating against themselves by devaluing any future deal. Like, they're saying they won't get $50mil again, but I've seen nothing to indicate that's an absurd number. Any provider is now going to start any negotiation much lower than that. But you might be on to something here.
  19. Woof Bronzer
    Well, I think 1 ALDS series win in 30 years is mediocre, but you might disagree. Since nearly every team in the league has had more success than that over the same time frame, I'd be curious to know what your definition of "mediocrity" is. The conscious decision was made by the Pohlads. They decided, like they always do, to emphasize profits over on the field success. They know cutting payroll will hamper the team, and they don't care, because the product on the field is irrelevant. The only thing that matters is making money. This cannot be controversial at this point. We know who the Pohlads are; they've operated this way since taking over for the old man. Payroll cuts probably weren't Falvey's decision, but his job performance probably isn't evaluated in wins and losses, it's evaluated in dollars and cents. Like in any business he's just the guy who has to deal with top-down budget cuts. I'm sure he's pretty frustrated but his job will be safe as long as the team continues to rake in cash.
  20. Woof Bronzer
    Are you seriously comparing the Cardinals franchise to the Twins? St Louis is about the same market size as MSP yet consistently spends money on its product. They've won 2 World Series in the past 2 decades and have had far more playoff success than the Twins. They are a model franchise and yes, they are not afraid to spend FA dollars. You're right in that the Twins were not attractive to Sonny because they decided that they didn't want to pay him. That's the point.
  21. Woof Bronzer
    Yeah take it with a grain of salt, just what I heard from someone I know over there. Correa is never going to say anything publicly anyhow. I would find it odd though if him and the Twins did not take about spending and competing for a Series before he signed. He's a competitor and I find it really hard to believe he'd want to commit here for the rest of his career without feeling good about the spending philosophy. Would you? Unless he just cared about the money. No thanks on being specific when commenting on a fan site though, that would ruin the fun :)
  22. Woof Bronzer
    Correct. But you can't be 18-30 to win the Series either.
  23. Woof Bronzer
    Word behind the scenes is Correa is NOT happy about the payroll decisions because certain assurances were made to him when he signed about spending/competing. Who knows but it will be very interesting to monitor what happens with his contract. 2024 is going to be a really important year. I could see him bouncing back in a big way; I could see him taking on a bigger leadership role due to Buxton being a nonfactor; I could also see him get impatient with mediocrity/lack of investment; or continue to decline due to age and health issues. Big year for Carlos, should be interesting!
  24. Woof Bronzer
    Over the last 3 decades only 1 team in the bottom 3rd of payroll has won a World Series. How much money you spend absolutely matters.
  25. Woof Bronzer
    Please provide an example of a team in the bottom half of market size cutting payroll coming off a division title and improving. Do you think a free agent hears "cutting payroll" and thinks, yep, this team is investing in success, they're definitely building on last year's season, sign me up? (Of course it's irrelevant because the Twins won't sign any free agents due to their self-imposed salary cap.) Better players cost more; with less money to spend, you'll end up with worse players. By definition "cutting payroll" means "planning to be worse". The Pohlads certainly don't think they'll be better by cutting payroll; they think they'll make more cash. I'm highly amused by the notion around TD these days that payroll has zero impact on the quality of the team on the field. The extents some people go to defend this indefensible ownership group is just incredible. Enjoy the endless mediocrity, I guess. I'll say it till I'm blue in the face. Spending money does not guarantee a World Series. Not spending money guarantees you won't win one. The Twins should be building on last year to make a legitimate World Series push. Instead they've made a conscious decision to go backwards.
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