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Woof Bronzer

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  1. But the argument is whether Vasquez gives us the better chance to win. So much of the modern analytics movement is laser focused on when is the right time to pull a player from the game; very little focus is given to who is going to replace the pulled player, and whether said replacement is a better option for the specific situation. Saying "let's yank Julien and replace him with anyone else" is a questionable strategy at best, in my opinion. Not to mention the damage that can be done to a young player who continually gets pulled in important moments. If you keep telling Julien he can't hit lefties, and never give him the chance to prove you wrong, eventually he'll start to believe you!
  2. Is there a middle ground between championships every year and winning 1 playoff series in 30 years? It's great that you are optimistic about the Twins. That's your right and I'm glad they make you happy. Surely you can understand though that some fans of the organization with the 2nd longest active playoff series win drought (not to mention the longest playoff game losing streak in the history of American sports) are a bit gloomy. I truly, truly don't understand the instinct to shame fans for feeling this way.
  3. It's extreme to suggest that the Twins should not have pinch hit a terrible hitter for a better one? Sure, ok.
  4. Plus I don't get the logic that he's healthy enough to start the game and hit 3 times but suddenly before his most important at bat we need to rest him. Is that extra 3 minutes of rest really going to move the needle?
  5. With a 6x larger sample size than Julien's, fwiw
  6. 15 Twins have made more outs against lefties than Julien has. Should we sit all of them against lefties too? If it turns out Julien can hold his own against lefties, that will help us win games. Otherwise we're sitting him in favor of such illustrious, game-winning hitters as...Christian Vasquez.
  7. Seems like the Twins should give him every available at bat against lefties through the end of the regular season. Why not?
  8. I believe they extended him after 2021. If he gets a pass for 2022 due to injuries, I assume he also absolved from any credit for 2019, when they had the (IIRC) 2nd best injury record in baseball?
  9. I hear ya. I guess my point was more that teams typically extend managers after some sort of success, not after a debacle season. Which Falvine seemed to grasp, hence the silence. So the question would be, why extend him then? Anyway.
  10. Isn't that kinda the point? Quietly extending a manager coming off of 2 really bad years seems to suggest they didn't want to promote the fact that he was extended. So...why didn't they want to? If I give an employee a raise it's because that employee has earned it and deserves to be recognized for it, and I announce it right away. Wanting to extend someone, but not wanting the public to know that you want to extend them, is really odd.
  11. 🤣😂😂🤣😂 Have a good day sir. It's been...interesting.
  12. You seriously need to look at the sources you cite before you site them. What you referenced is from June 21, 2023, and shows simulated season records using to-date performance AND IT SHOWS THAT THE TWINS ARE PREDICTED TO WIN THE DIVISION WITH 83 WINS. My goodness. Just put the shovel away man. I'm seriously curious: why do you think it's important to pretend that the Twins have somehow overperformed this year?
  13. Your "claim" was this: The average consensus of non Twins fans was this was a team that would finish 3rd in its division. The average consensus was 78-82. You have yet to provide evidence of a single source predicting the Twins would a) finish 3rd in its division or b) win 78-82 games. Providing no evidence is not "enough evidence", and I disagree that providing a single piece of evidence is a "high hurdle". Fascinated to see how far you are willing to go with this...
  14. Lol you didn't even read the articles you cited. ESPN did not "have us below .500". They didn't even provide a predicted win total, or an order of finish. ESPN's article in fact doesn't say a word about the Twins, much less firing Rocco, or Falvine. The other sites you mention only verify what others have told you, that the Twins are tracking right toward their predictions, and if anything they've slightly underachieved given the ridiculously bad division. But at least you have debunked your own claim about expectations, so we can retire that talking point.
  15. Uh, what? Vegas had them at 84 wins I think. Given that the Central is much worse than anyone expected at the beginning of the year the Twins should have a much better record than they do (take out their record vs KC and OAK, two of the worst MLB teams ever assembled, and they're under .500). Which doesn't matter, they're gonna win the division which is the regular season goal, and if they make a move in the playoffs none of it will matter anyhow. But my goodness, I truly do not understand the need to revise history. They won't take away your fan card for saying they Twins would be better with better relivers, or that the Twins have had a mediocre regular season.
  16. This idea that replacing a worse pitcher with a better one wouldn't make a difference is just so wild.
  17. Right, that's what I'm saying, it's $40mil ($45m?) in largely sunk costs so the Twins will need to work around that. $50m including the $10m/yr they're paying Vasquez to be a backup catcher. $10m for Polanco in a vacuum isn't unreasonable but when you basically have $100m to spend on 23 or so guys to fill out the roster, that money can be better spent elsewhere in my opinion (which I acknowledge isn't a popular one.)
  18. I think it's time to let the kids take over. Polanco has been good for the Twins, but he's constantly hurt which creates roster management challenges and he shouldn't be holding back Lee or other young guns. With the Buxton and Correa albatross contracts, the Twins need to max out on young, cheap talent. From a competitive standpoint they can afford to do this (at least until the Central is officially reclassified as a AAA division :). And as we have seen this year, the young guys are carrying the team anyway. Time to close the door on the Polanco/Buxton/Kepler/etc era - promising group, zero playoff wins - and usher in a new era of Twins ball.
  19. 1. Are you saying they would not have made the post season if they added, say, a bullpen guy or a bat? 2. Starting pitching is much better than the bullpen - not balanced at all 3. Bullpens are an important aspect of pitching. There isn't a horse in there except the ghost of Duran. This is a fairly astonishing take.
  20. And yet, there he was in a high leverage situation in Game 1 of the wild card series, taking the L while failing to record an out. Can't hide bullpen arms....
  21. This is exactly the kind of thinking I fear, and that leads to the likes of Zack Littel and Cody Stashak pitching in the 5th inning of playoff games while your best pitchers sit and watch. I doubt fans need a reminder as to how this has worked out under Falvine - I sure hope we don't do the same thing and hope for a different result. There should be no "general rules" determined in advance. Let the game play out, and let your best pitchers pitch. I trust Gray/Lopez after 80 pitches far more than I trust a fresh Jax or Pagan or Floro.
  22. The case to be made is he had serious enough injury concerns that not 1 but 2 teams were scared off when they did their own examination. This doesn't mean that the Twins should not have signed him, but it's a very legitimate concern. And given how the season has played out I'm guessing SF and NY are both breathing a sigh of relief that they backed out.
  23. Maybe, but don't forget if we end up playing Seattle or Toronto both of those teams arguably have better starting pitching. Under Falvine no starter has ever gone past 5 in the playoffs and my fear is that they will script the games in advance to turn it over to the pen in the 5th or 6th. You'd think they learned their lesson on this but I'm not confident. Starting pitching is our strength, for us to go anywhere in the playoffs the starters have to go deep.
  24. Looks like we're in line to play Toronto or Seattle. I'm not sure we'll have a starting pitching advantage against either team, much less a "huge" one.
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