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Woof Bronzer

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Everything posted by Woof Bronzer

  1. Great point. He played 134 games and was so injured (by his own admission) that he was the 11th most valuable hitter on the team by WAR, behind such luminaries as Kyle Farmer (his backup) and Mike Taylor.
  2. You mean a guy who has missed more games in his MLB than he has played, and a guy whose medicals frightened off two teams who had wanted him so much they were willing to pay him a quarter of a billion dollars? Astounding take.
  3. For me it will always start with ownership. Their disinterest in winning permeates the entire organization, their greed constrains the roster, and their crack PR team does a great job of alienating the fans who line the Pohlad pockets. Next is FO. Their entire philosophy is based on mistaken interpretations of statistics and the game of baseball, they can't develop pitchers, their trade record is spotty at best, and their lack of humility ensures that the philosophy will never change (for example, they'd rather lose games with Joey Gallo than admit their mistake and improve the team by releasing him). They could get away with more mistakes with a higher budget, so they are constrained by ownership to an extent. I'll leave players and coaches tied for 3rd because we don't know what players are being told to do. Thanks Cody for not indulging the injury mea culpa.
  4. What are we hearing on Lopez? Declining velo, arm soreness....I hate to say it so I won't....but color me extremely nervous.
  5. Just came across this article randomly. LOL.
  6. Ah yes, who can forget all our "4th best regular season winning percentage (excluding half the league)" banners! In a town and a team famous for its low bars, this is the lowest I think I've ever heard. We have the 4th best regular season winning percentage if you leave out half the league. That might be the saddest sentence I've ever typed.
  7. The Twins had the least man games lost in the league in 2019. So if you are going to excuse Rocco for 2022 injuries you can't give him credit for 2019 as he got extraordinarily lucky with health. We can do this all day. You just like Rocco. That's fine! Just say that! No need to pretend that a manager who is presiding over his 4th straight season of offensive futility is just an innocent bystander though. I'm not calling for his head, and he's not the biggest problem by far, but nothing is working right now, and that includes Rocco.
  8. Well then Rocco is failing. They're 7 games out and it isn't yet May. I believe Rocco was also the manager in the 1st half of 2023, the entirety of 2022 (78 wins), 2021 (73 wins)..do those count? Why does it only count when the team does well?
  9. It's not just the coaching, and I am not calling for Rocco's head because he'd just be replaced by a clone, but your post actually has me convinced it's MORE coaching than I previously thought. An entire roster of players underperforming against their career norms by similar margins under this coaching staff. Which scenario is more likely: that an entire roster is coincidentally individually underperforming, or some philosophy or coaching or approach is causing an entire roster to underperform by roughly similar proportions? Let me ask you this: what metrics do you use to rate a manager? And how is Rocco performing against those metrics?
  10. One win for each of their consecutive ALCS appearances. Yes, the Astros and the Twins are exactly the same, yes sir. How do you know how they are being coached? I just provided a specific example of a player saying he was told to throw a pitch that he would not have thrown. Sure sounded like Jax was being coached to do a certain thing that led to failure. Does that count? Do these hitters look prepared to play to you?
  11. Does he put guys in situations to succeed though? The hitters seem so ill prepared and some guys are clearly being asked to carry out a philosophy that goes against their strengths. The Jax quote from the other night was very telling: basically the sabermetrics told him to throw a changeup so he did, even though that pitch "wasn't him". Home run, game lost, rinse and repeat. I'm not excusing the players but I think Rocco's hands are all over this mess too. Ditto the FO. Ditto ownership.
  12. This is another area where Falvey's offensive philosophy conflicts with itself. The odds of hitting a HR on an 0-2 low are screamingly low, so if you wanted to build a philosophy solely to hit HRs you would want to avoid 0-2 counts like the plague. For how much the sabermetrics guys flaunt math and statistics and studies a lot of these strategies are supported by none of it. It's a philosophy that makes no logical sense and no statistical sense either. And yet....
  13. It's because strikeouts obviously do matter. This is the problem, their entire philosophy relies on factually untrue things. If strikeouts didn't matter the Twins would fill out their entire staff with cheap Carlos Silvas, yet their offensive philosophy pretends otherwise. Baseball strategy is not simply about selecting one "right" formula and stubbornly sticking to it regardless of results. You might need a different strategy given the score, the inning, how the game plays out, the opponent, the point in the season, the pitcher, the hitter, the weather, health, who's on the bench/in the pen, whatever.
  14. Incredible. Any idea on the length of this sequence in real time?
  15. There's a reason Falvey hires young, hungry, inexperienced guys like Popkins and Baldelli: they're willing to carry out his philosophy uncritically, and they don't have a track record of success that would give them the equity or expertise to push back or disagree. If Popkins or Rocco are fired they'll get replaced by clones. For me, as long as this organization is unfailingly committed to a deeply flawed philosophy built upon severe misunderstandings of statistics and the game of baseball itself, nothing will change.
  16. I like the creative thinking....my fear would be that Duran's arm would explode after two starts because I just don't trust the Twins to manage him safely through a significant ramp up. But it's probably past time for new and different thinking so I hope the FO is thinking about creative ways to dig out of this mess.
  17. I think you should write about whatever you want to write about Lou! Good work.
  18. I think fans probably define pipeline differently. Falvey's philosophy to pitching is extremely simple: "grip it n rip it". It isn't about "pitching" as much as "throwing" and he definitely has a lot of throwers in the organization. For extreme sabermetrics guys like Falvey results don't matter - only "velo" - so it wouldn't surprise me if Falvey believes he actually HAS delivered a pipeline.
  19. Plenty of blame to go around - I'm getting strong "Total System Failure" vibes about this season.
  20. Good piece but I think fans are going to have to firmly push back on the injury scapegoat that the Twins are inevitably going to trot out. Let's not fall for it. Just about every team is dealing with a huge injury or 2 (Bieber's season ending injury is much more impactful to the AL Central race just to name one. Strider, Cole, etc.) And the Twins know full well that injuries happen in waves with this team. They saw last year how many starters it takes to get through a season - then actively decided to thin out the depth of the rotation. That decision is hurting the team as much as any other.
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