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Woof Bronzer

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Everything posted by Woof Bronzer

  1. Woof Bronzer
    Don't you know that draining goodwill and upsetting your customer base is just smart business?
  2. Woof Bronzer
    The Twins turned down a $40mil 1 year extension from Bally's a year ago. And the Twins have come out and said how little a new deal will be worth - no better negotiating tactic to maximize the value of a deal by...publicly devaluing it. More genius decisions from those business wizards at 1 Twins Way.
  3. Woof Bronzer
    Depends. Is that business publicly subsidized? Has that business conversely reinvested higher-than-anticipated profits in positive years? Is cutting costs still going to allow the business to achieve its goals, or would a short term loss potentially lead to sustainable, long term gains? Lots of factors at play for a smart business person to consider.
  4. Woof Bronzer
    Do the Twins understand how businesses operate? Gotta spend money to make money. Gotta put a product out there that people want to buy. Deciding to make the product worse when there is more enthusiasm for your product than there has been in years is a terrible business decision, any MBA will tell you that. The Pohlads dipping into their own net worth and covering a $10-$20m revenue shortfall is the equivalent of about $200-$375 for the average American. So the Pohlads are burning down all the good will built up over the the end of the season in order to save themselves the equivalent of a couple phone bills. Again, unquestionably dumb business decision. Why anyone would defend the Twins at this point, who have been doing this sort of thing for decades, is just so far beyond my comprehension. Question: how are the mid market Dbacks, who also had a breakthrough season after years of futility, and who also have TV deal uncertainty of their own, handling this offseason?
  5. Woof Bronzer
    Speaker. Good player.
  6. Woof Bronzer
    There are 3 outcomes for a plate appearance: putting the ball in play, walking, or striking out. Eliminating a strikeout can only result in putting the ball in play (reaching base 30% of the time) or walking (100% of the time). There is a direct correlation between less strikeouts and more guys on base.
  7. Woof Bronzer
    Your stat basically says "teams who score more are more likely to win". Do you find that insightful? I don't. Again, I'm guessing teams who score more non HR runs are equally as successful - why aren't you focusing on that as a strategy?
  8. Woof Bronzer
    So you're saying a team who scores more runs is going to have a better chance to win. Got it ;) By this logic I'll snarkily say that teams who can either out homer their opponents OR outscore them a different way are 83-0! What's the record for teams who outscore their opponent in non-HR runs? I'm guessing these percentages are pretty consistent over the last 100 years of baseball. I don't think they're particularly meaningful. It would be like saying, when a football team scores more TDs than their opponent they're more likely to win the game. Yep, agreed. Even so, football coaches don't throw for the end zone on every play though.
  9. Woof Bronzer
    I think it IS part of the problem though. A strategy that solely chases home runs with a roster that is incapable of consistently delivering them is not particularly intelligent approach in my opinion. It would be like an NFL team wanting to pass 50 times per game with a 3rd string QB and two injured WRs. The Twins should be pursuing offensive strategies that the roster is built to succeed at. HRs are expensive! It's a glamour stat, and you have to pay accordingly. For pete's sake Joey Gallo made $10m last year. A mid-market team like the Twins is just not going to be able to build a roster full of capable sluggers with its self-imposed payroll constraints.
  10. Woof Bronzer
    The system is specifically designed to not be equitable - i.e., to reward higher performing players for their performance. All MLB players don't need a participation trophy.
  11. Woof Bronzer
    Lol. You must be new here :) Taking pitches in the 2nd inning up a run on a 2-0 count is much different than taking a close pitch with 2 strikes down 2 in the bottom of the 9th. This is the exact problem I mention: a broad approach that refuses to adjust to, or even acknowledge, the situation of the game. There's nothing "analytical" about watching your season end with the bat on your shoulder; it's just bad baseball.
  12. Woof Bronzer
    I've still never heard anyone adequately explain the sabermetric logic of how strikeouts are the best PA outcome defensively - it's not debatable, the entirety of modern bullpens are built solely around strikeouts - yet offensively, strikeouts are "just another out". Both cannot be true. Max Kepler watching the season end with the bat on his shoulder has nothing to do with a "tradeoff". It has everything to do with the mentality drilled into these guys that strikeouts are OK, and that small things like protecting the plate and situational baseball aren't important because the only thing that matters is HRs. Not only is this philosophy very EASY to quibble with, it is fundamentally flawed and will limit the Twins' potential as long as they pretend otherwise.
  13. Woof Bronzer
    Crime is actually down across the board to pre-pandemic levels. You obviously haven't been to downtown Minneapolis in years, if ever. And no police department in the country was defunded.
  14. Woof Bronzer
    Crime has gone down in SF since then. But don't let facts get in the way of your narrative.
  15. Woof Bronzer
    Because bad faith actors are doing the singling out, for political purposes. Crime is actually down in SF compared to 10-20 years ago. But that doesn't fit the narrative, so the bad faith actors just make up a narrative to serve their own needs. This isn't unique to SF; Dave St Peter did a similar thing 2022 by blaming "public safety" (2+ years after Floyd riots) for declining attendance as a way to excuse the team's poor performance. Gross all around.
  16. Woof Bronzer
    If he really wanted to do this he would have signed a 10-year $700m contract with $680m deferred. You're saying someone forced him to do this?
  17. Woof Bronzer
    Absolutely mind boggling. If the Twins did something like this people nobody here - literally nobody - would complain. Quite the opposite, in fact, we'd hear about Falvey's genius and the Pohlad's spending non stop. Many Twins fans seem to expect other franchises to operate under the same self-imposed constraints the Twins do, just out of fairness or something. Not how capitalism works.
  18. Woof Bronzer
    Correct, yes, doing new things within the rules is the definition of innovative. This has nothing to do with "afford" though. Every team in the league could do it. The Pohlads are one of the richest owners in MLB, they can afford it, and in fact, they can SAVE money by doing it.
  19. Woof Bronzer
    Hard disagree. The Twins and more teams should be doing innovative deals like this. Without a cap it's really a mid-market solution more than a large-revenue one. The Twins could theoretically still get top end FAs at a fraction of the cost - the present day value of the Ohtani deal represents a discount of about 36%. That would be music to the Pohlads' ears.
  20. Woof Bronzer
    This is actually an innovative contract that teams like the Twins should be creative enough to consider. The Dodgers are paying around $450m on a $700m contract, basically a 36% discount. I wish our ownership group was willing to do "outside the box" things like this. But that would require them to show an interest in winning. Instead all we ever get is cuts and excuses. And good luck getting the players association to sign off on a salary cap prohibiting their players from making absurd money. Frankly it's a bit odd to complain about an owner coming up with an innovative contract that works for everyone and still allows them to improve their team.
  21. Woof Bronzer
    Send photos, please, this is incredible. Was it from a bunch of horses or what?
  22. Woof Bronzer
    Yep, they're the 1 team in the last 30 years from 18-30 that has won it. I've said this on many occasions - again, once in 30 years. If you come away from this with the opinion that "once in 30 years" is as likely of an outcome as the 29 times in 30 years it didn't happen, then obviously we (and the subject of mathematics) disagree. Serious question. You defend this organization (that has won 1 playoff series in 3 decades, as a reminder) at every possible chance. How come? I'm not being snotty, I seriously want to know. Perhaps you are a Pohlad or a member of the FO; that would make sense. Short of that I'm just super curious, because I truly have never seen, in any professional sport, a fan defending payroll cuts. Like, never ever, it doesn't happen because fans want the best team possible and fans don't care about accounting. Yet with the Twins there's a whole army of defenders. Truly bizarre to me and I really want to understand it. Thanks in advance for humoring me if you choose to.
  23. Woof Bronzer
    The excuse making is just astounding. The Twins could be as successful as the Cardinals, a team in a very similar market. The Cardinals organization understands that if you invest in the team, fans will follow, and revenues will too. The Twins organization treats the team like another business in the portfolio, refuses to consistently invest in the team, and when fans understandably lose interest, the team blames fans for losing and punishes fans for their own business ineptitude by slashing payroll and making the team worse. You're right about one thing: the Cardinals as an organization are nothing like the Twins. Apples and oranges indeed.
  24. Woof Bronzer
    Excellent hypothetical! I'll take the payroll since I'm primarily a radio listener :) Where would you land?
  25. Woof Bronzer
    The Twins have always said they spent 50% of revenue on payroll. (Like you I doubt they spend that much, but it's what they say.) Losing $50mil in revenue would then equate to a $25mil loss in payroll. They're cutting $25m-$30m so the only way the math works is if they're factoring nothing for the new deal. If they were figuring on a new deal worth $30 mil, or even the $40 ish mil that Bally offered a year ago but the Twins turned down, then what other lost revenue are they factoring in to arrive at a large cut? Sure isn't from 2023 when they had 4 home playoff games!
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