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Woof Bronzer

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Everything posted by Woof Bronzer

  1. Woof Bronzer
    I mean, results matter...the issue I have with the decision to pull Gray - and a lot of analytics-heavy decisions - is the focus seems to be purely on Gray and not on who is going to replace him (and the domino effect for the rest of the game). Yes, Gray was laboring a bit....but on the whole he is unquestionably a better pitcher than Moran. So, the question becomes, is a laboring Gray still a better option than a fresh Moran? Not saying this is a definitive "yes" (though I really don't trust Moran at all) but I don't see this question being asked frequently in these situations.
  2. Woof Bronzer
    Just....wow.
  3. Woof Bronzer
    I'd love someone in the media to ask Falvine (if Falvine can be found) why the injuries have not improved under the new trainer.
  4. Woof Bronzer
    Toronto lost a game by trotting out the worst reliever in MLB over the past 4 years who has a 15.5 ERA this season when entering with a lead and has singlehandedly lost the team like 10 games in 1.5 years, yet somehow remains on the roster because the FO would rather lose games than admit that they were wrong to sign the worst reliever in MLB? The odds of that happening in back to back games with different teams must have been astronomical.
  5. Woof Bronzer
    The "Ks don't matter" thing is a perfect illustration of the fallacy behind extreme analytics: it relies on the idea that players are Strat-o-Matic robots who are preordained a certain amount of outs every year. Ipso facto, it doesn't matter what kind of outs they are, they're gonna happen regardless. But this is just flat wrong. Baseball is a sport played by humans, and hitting happens one at bat at a time. Each at bat is going to have one of 3 outcomes: walk (or hbp); put the ball in play; or K. K is the worst outcome on the whole, and it's not even close. (Yes, things like GIDP can happen when you put the ball in play. These are far more rare than balls in play becoming hits though. And the Twins have 10x the K outs vs the GIDP outs.) Strikeouts matter, they always have, and they always will.
  6. Woof Bronzer
    Oh I agree with you, managers get fired after extensions all the time and Rocco is just a symptom of the problem. My concern is with the thinking behind it, which seems to be a mentality and approach that doesn't prioritize results. We see this same mentality game after game with guys who shrug their way to a dozen Ks and another loss. There's something stinky in the water over at 1 Twins Way and the longer we keep rolling with this FO the worse it's going to get.
  7. Woof Bronzer
    I get it, not saying he should have been fired after 2021, but he certainly didn't need to be handed an extension either. The fact of the situation is, this FO extended Rocco after losing 89 games AND neglected to tell anyone for 18 months because they obviously knew the optics would be bad. That says an awful lot to me about this FO's philosophy and the Twins culture, and I don't think it's a coincidence that this team hasn't had a pulse in more than a month.
  8. Woof Bronzer
    The Twins won 73 games in 2021. Rocco was rewarded for this result with a contract extension.
  9. Woof Bronzer
    In the extreme analytics world, process is far more important than results. Recall that the only person held accountable after the last 2 debacles was the trainer - a guy who is part of the "process" but has nothing to do with the results.
  10. Woof Bronzer
    I continue to believe the simplest explanation for the strikeouts is that Popkins is teaching exactly what the FO wants him to teach, and the players are doing exactly as they are being taught. FO has 1 offensive philosophy: grip it n rip it. As a hitting coach Popkins is tasked not with teaching professional at bats and fundamental baseball, but only things like launch angle and exit velocity (probably accompanied by an overwhelming amount of data and video). There's a reason the FO hires young, hungry, inexperienced guys with little to no MLB equity like Rocco and Popkins: they want to be able dictate everything without question. Which is why firing Popkins or Rocco won't matter, Falvine will just replace them with clones who will carry out their extreme analytics agenda with a nod and a smile.
  11. Woof Bronzer
    Perhaps a member of the local media could ask the FO. I am not convinced that the FO even thinks there's a problem.
  12. Woof Bronzer
    I don't think I've heard this rumor, can you expand on this? Why would they do that?
  13. Woof Bronzer
    The thing is, there are no analytics that tell you not to hustle or play fundamentals. The "modern" thinking is based on fundamental misunderstanding of statistics. Just because the numbers tell you bunting is not the best way to score piles of runs over the long haul doesn't mean you should never bunt (sometimes 1 run is all you need!). Just because the numbers tell you home runs are the most efficient way to score doesn't mean you should ignore all other baseball skills (defense, contact, baserunning) and only focus on power. Just because double plays are unfortunate doesn't mean that strikeouts are totally fine. Just because process is important doesn't make process more important than results. It's just so frustrating to watch game after game of "it aint working" and seeing literally nothing change.
  14. Woof Bronzer
    Is this for real? If so, why is Kepler still on this team? Players deciding where they want to play. One player anointing himself GM and deciding Buxton's a full time DH now. This organization is broken. I continue to be extremely concerned that the longer we hang on to this FO and manager, the longer it is going to take to repair the damage done.
  15. Woof Bronzer
    Sadly a summer of photos like this may be fans only hope for change.
  16. Woof Bronzer
    Yeah I should have clarified I wasn't suggesting he should have been fired. Sorry about that.
  17. Woof Bronzer
    Fair enough I guess. Though is the distinction all that meaningful? St Peter is the CEO, which I'm guessing makes him Falvine's boss.
  18. Woof Bronzer
    Was extending him the only option?
  19. Woof Bronzer
    https://www.si.com/fannation/bringmethesports/twins/after-disappointing-season-twins-president-disappointed-fans-are-disappointed?src=rss
  20. Woof Bronzer
    It's what happens with extreme analytics - process is more important than results. Look at their moves after the last 2 years. After the 2021 debacle they extend Baldelli - results don't matter. After the 2022 debacle they resign Pagan and fire the trainer - results don't matter, and anyways it was all the injuries' fault. Oh and the fans' fault - never forget that the FO blamed the fans for last September's meltdown. It's going to take the organization years to dig out of this mess.
  21. Woof Bronzer
    Someone in the local media should ask Falvey about this. Haven't heard much from Falvey lately though - I wonder why.
  22. Woof Bronzer
    I wonder if Falvey still thinks the bullpen isn't a priority?
  23. Woof Bronzer
    We disagree on Hayes. I appreciate your encouragement, but I'm adult enough to develop my own educated opinions about someone, thanks. Again, no legitimate journalist is going to run with information before vetting it. That's called gossiping.
  24. Woof Bronzer
    Well, it's not just this one thing with Hayes. Read his articles, listen to him on the radio or Gleeman and the Geek. To me he truly, truly believes part of the role of a beat writer is to defend the organization/player - it's how to repay them for granting him clubhouse access and interviews. On G&G recently he excused Correa's struggles by saying he has a newborn. (In fact, he said Correa didn't actually have a bad back when he missed a couple games, that was a ruse because Correa really just wanted to spend time with his infant.) Even G&G were pushing back on him hard ("Correa isn't the only professional athlete to ever have a child") But Hayes just could not bring himself to say without qualification that Correa is simply performing poorly. Remember, Hayes is the guy who said it takes weeks for outfielders to get their bodies accustomed to standing in the field for 3 hours a day. All of this is simply to say, he's just not someone to take seriously in my opinion. Sorry for getting off on a tangent.
  25. Woof Bronzer
    Uh, yes, I'm assuming Ober warmed up. Not sure where you're going with that. But if you don't think what Hayes is doing is defending the organization -- by posting information that "explains" a decision without doing a shred of due diligence to confirm whether that information is actually true -- man, can't help ya. Anyway, my stance is, this organization's plan aint working.
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