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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. If a starter predictably needs a long reliever there needs to be a different starter. Any reliever is only going to throw so many innings, with an upper limit of 80. Better to have flexibility than not.
  2. By batted ball type according to fangraphs Keplers fly ball and infield fly ball percentages are slightly below league average. His contact percentages are about league average. Slightly below on soft slightly higher on medium. Yet there is below league average results. Don’t know an explanation for this
  3. Castillo cost Seattle 2 top 100 prospects and 2 high ceiling prospects. I don’t think the Twins want to give up that kind of prospect capital unless they were moving a starter and another position player for most of that capital
  4. If they trade the a prospect from a perennial contender there would be a chance he was a late first round pick. If the season is such a disaster early enough in the year the Mariners or Brewers might give up a competitive balance pick as part of the package if they were in contention.
  5. Good luck to him. I hear that Miami is short a pitcher now.
  6. Pretty much any starter has the back up plan as try as a reliever
  7. The difference between Balazovic and the others is the circumstance into when they went to the bullpen. Trevor May and Griffin Jax failed as starters at the major league level. Duran was coming off injury and never really built into starter innings. Balazovic appears to have lost command with a walk rate of over 10% at the minor league level. That may be due to the mentioned knee issue. Spring training and the early season will see if health is the fix for the issues
  8. There is a month or more for trades to happen. it would be better before spring training started, but bettter to not make a bad deal. Perhaps the Terry Ryan analytic that walks are bad wasn’t wrong
  9. In 6 years 2 contracts do not make a pattern One year, contract year large free agent signings almost never turn out well. Gasman in Toronto may be the exception. It seems like pitchers have become more likely to break or strain something now more often than hops in the senior’s high rise. Investing in quantity seems like the analytic thing to do.
  10. The times we live in. "No one is perfect," Darvish wrote. "That includes both you and I. What he had done today isn't right, but I believe we should put our effort into learning rather than to accuse him. If we can take something for this, this is a giant step for mankind. Since we are living in such a wonderful world, let's stay positive and move forward instead of focusing on anger. I'm counting on everyone's big love."
  11. A J Alexey may be the first one dropped
  12. There seems to be a lack of supply from one of the pipelines. No international free agents listed. The first 2 years of international signings by this FO and none developed enough to be protected. Nor selected in rule V
  13. The FO thought so highly O’Day Wisler they let him go. The Rays dud the same thing.
  14. Trade Values are an opinion. Projection models on individuals is inaccurate, defensive measures are inaccurate. Bat for an arm is always a good trade as year to year statistics will show that good arms are tougher to find 14 and 16 different starting pitchers used the last two years shows the need for quantity. In any given year there are only about 50-60 pitchers that accumulate 2.5 fWAR. Quality is a premium.
  15. Berrios would not negotiate an extension. Trading him was the only option. If not traded he would now be gone for nothing but a late first round pick. SWR did make an appearance last year
  16. 2 were traded for. I was specific for a reason as signed by the Twins. Much easier to judge talent a few seasons in the minors
  17. There are three players on the 40 man roster that were IFA signed by the Twins. There are 3 IFA signed by the Twins as IFA on the top 30 list on MLB.com. Maybe their luck will change with these signings.
  18. When someone comes out with analysis of the data available to show the effect of the shift ban you can pass judgement on Kepler and Gallo There is another month for the Twins to make trades, and do the bullpen gem mining. So far they have a better catcher. Pretty much the difference will be relative health of the team and bounce backs from injury.
  19. There is no one way. Vlad Guerro Jr, Sano, Severino and Wander Javier. All big ticket, 4 different outcomes
  20. Anderson with the Mets, Zaidi with the Giants are analytics guys. The long contracts were to get him in the door, the medical reports were to get a saner contract. Middle infielders break down early. Ozzie Smith was elite until 38, Jeter 36, Lou Witaker about that same time period.. Most start declining about 32. In my opinion they were playing to the greed of Boras
  21. Nothing over or underpriced for the players they are
  22. Well, the Twins began as the Washington Senators and back in the day they had this fella named Joe Cronin. So for franchise history the bar got set a little higher.
  23. Because more than likely that is what is up for bids
  24. The new Brian Duensing well, not really a deal sweetener but more like cheap vinegar or Fox Deluxe
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