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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. Daulton Shuffield! Finally got that college SS we were hoping for.
  2. All nine picks so far are college players too. Beginning to spot some trends...
  3. "Daddy? Where do catchers come from?" "Nobody knows, honey. Nobody knows."
  4. I think he's got enough arm to stick at SS, our FO's apparent theme for this 2022 draft.
  5. Ben Ross, Notre Dame shortstop.
  6. When you don't sign a draftee, that exact amount of bonus pool money is taken away.
  7. I think those explanations are in sync with the concept of "risk". I'm coming around more to the idea that bonus demands played a role. And the two issues are hardly exclusive. Going over-slot on a player deemed to carry higher risk than average turned off the bean-counters perhaps at those other teams. Modern analytics boils down to risk-reward. Our FO shows over and over that they consider injury risk to be somewhat manageable, more so than most other teams, so they'll compute risk-reward differently. I hope they're right, because it's perhaps my biggest disagreement with them. Or, maybe, #48 was about the right spot for Prielipp's risk-reward, and some other team was about to take him too, and our Twins wouldn't have touched him at (say) #35 either..
  8. mlb.com had a good explanation on their site this morning, in their draft preview article. Now that the draft has completed so many picks, it's been bumped and I can't find the one that I saw. A bit of searching finds this from a few months ago, and maybe answers most of your questions: https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-draft-competitive-balance-rounds-set-2022 https://www.mlb.com/glossary/transactions/competitive-balance-draft-picks The basic idea is to give the sad-sack teams an extra pick after the first round. Our Twins aren't the saddest of sacks and thus got Round B, not Round A. I can't for the life of me understand a system that doesn't put Oakland near the head of the handout line, though. "And we’ll see you … tomorrow night!" Well, afternoon, actually.
  9. Then why do you suppose he dropped? Don't get me wrong, I like the pick, and I think it's a sound gamble. But IMO we should view this pick with eyes wide open, that it's riskier than many alternatives.
  10. I wouldn't push the chips all in on 2022, no. But the FO should be able to shore up the bullpen some, without mortgaging the future in any significant way. First place is still worth something and it would be dereliction to not even try after the good start.
  11. I think I would have preferred a lightly regarded pitcher, if the aim was to save $1M in slot money with this pick. I don't understand taking another SS; the one scouting report I saw on him questions his ability to even stick there.
  12. For someone who was thought to be top-20 talent, apparently a few dozen picks were made with risk the overriding factor in skipping him.
  13. It may be that they needed to draft someone under-slot for the $1m that this pick represents, if the demands of their first two picks are over-slot. Otherwise, it's a puzzling choice. He hasn't got a schobel's chance in hell of being a major leaguer.
  14. It's a fuzzy phrase, thus two people will disagree because they assign two different meanings to it. I would argue that if the phrase is as you say, it wasn't worth someone investing the electrons to type it in the first place, as it's meaningless. Funny you should mention ACL, though, since a top Twins prospect was just lost for a year to re-tearing his.
  15. Of course "if healthy" has kind of been our FO's mantra of late. I am super enthused with this risky pitcher at #48, but it's in keeping with the house of cards mentality if things start to fall apart.
  16. Do you know why these baseball ballet scenes are so suspenseful? Because the count is always tutu.
  17. Parada to the Mets. A big market move IMO.
  18. Hope the Royals were in the market for a Max Kepler type, because that's what I think they just got in Cross.
  19. Concur on those two. I don't see Cross sticking in CF unless the cupboard becomes completely bare for that position, and with that assumption I'm not keen on a high draft pick for another eventual corner OF.
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