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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Since you went to all the trouble to map this out to 30 picks, I'm curious what would have been the result to go a few picks further and reach the Twins' second round choice. They haven't forfeited it, have they?
  2. ashbury
    I don't know what the threshold of excitement has to be. What's more important is whether he keeps learning, at each level. Some prospects hit a wall and can't keep progressing, others keep right on improving during their early to mid 20s. If he graduates to a new level each season and applies enough learning to keep up with his peers and maintain these same numbers you disdain, all while dodging injury, well, at age 25 he'd be in the majors and putting up league-average performance, with maybe a little room for more growth through the rest of his 20s. That would be a starting pitcher of significant value. And that's enough reason to be excited, while remaining cautiously optimistic; these are fuzzy terms (which often is the ultimate source of intractable disagreement) and aren't mutually exclusive. As with hurricane path tracking, the farther out you have to try to predict, the wider the range of outcomes - maybe Hurricane Cade makes landfall, maybe it doesn't. The article didn't claim that this young pitcher is a finished product; it implied that projection is exciting if you take the best case. I don't see a reason to push back. He's one among several who could be exciting, or more likely will fizzle. If you like following the minors, enjoy the excitement and let any eventual fizzle take care of itself. I was once keen on Anthony Slama, and I survived the disappointment when his hurricane turned seaward.
  3. ashbury

    Sano Situation

    ashbury commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    Both the players suggested by the article are major leaguers, meaning that room for them both must be made on the 40-man roster. It's hard enough to figure out how to add Sano himself back to the 40 (he's off because of being on the injured list) - so I think any trade speculation needs to include the roster implications at the same time. What two current players get dropped from the 40-man to make room? (And I don't think they can both be pitchers, because I don't see our FO dropping a pitcher to add a hitter.) And then if room is made on the 40, you still have to decide whom to remove from the 26-man major league roster - a few of our current major leaguers have minor-league options but most either can't be sent to St Paul or else are performing too well for us to want to. I don't have a good answer to these questions and thus I don't see the proposed trade as solving anything practical.
  4. ashbury
    I had to go look. Somehow thought that BB must have been named as a substitute by the manager some year earlier. Fans vote for established names, but the manager sometimes give the nod to talent. But apparently the timing was never right, to match his admittedly short bursts of performance, to the midsummer classic. Ah well, I'm glad he got the recognition. And of course Arraez should enjoy the stamp of approval that he has arrived, too.
  5. ashbury
  6. ashbury
    Son Stashbury attended this and yesterday's game as part of his roadtrip. Seeing as how we witnessed one of the losses at Detroit with him as well, I think we need to ban him from attendance at any further games until we figure out the cause of this jinx. A depressing photo from the second inning, after the Calhoun home run had already been hit: Little did he realize that it would become more depressing later on.
  7. ashbury
    There is no reason to trade Jeffers just to bring in someone better. DFA Godoy to make room for Catcher X onto the 40-man roster Option Jeffers to St Paul Add Catcher X to the major league squad ???? Profit!
  8. ashbury
    Correct. He passed that threshold during the current season, in fact.
  9. ashbury
    Mays, McCovey, Marichal, Perry. 1962-1971. Pretty good core to base an extended run upon. We will struggle to find a core this good.
  10. ashbury
    Ditto. Also "sous vide". I learned a lot of "haute cuisine" (another new bit of vocabulary) today!
  11. ashbury
    The only general who wouldn't have said something a bit earthier than that.
  12. ashbury
    It's hard to build up value when your only distinguishing skill is one PA every few games or so. Pushing these guys into other roles than that almost always cost the team more than it benefited.
  13. ashbury
    He'll be a free agent, so do we care about projections beyond 2022? The short remaining contract should also limit the "haul" to one good prospect.
  14. ashbury
    Yeah, except our guy is almost Sunny.
  15. ashbury
    Wait, you are applying logic, to a supposition for which there is no evidence anyway?
  16. ashbury
    Looks like you trade for Robertson but then decline to put him on your roster. More seriously, your trades bring us 5 arms, giving up only 2? I am seriously skeptical of being able to pry loose pitching with any quantity of hitting, no matter how highly ranked.
  17. ashbury
    You didn't list which hapless players got selected for this one. But seriously, ladies and germs, Steer and Wallner are fine choices this year.
  18. ashbury
    A week ago your pets' heads were falling off. Did that problem clear up?
  19. ashbury
    It's not like we have all-stars at every position on the field. Still, acquiring a bat means a 25-man and 40-man roster decision. Catcher is the one and only position where there is no dilemma: if you trade for someone good (perhaps on an expiring contract such as Contreras) demote Jeffers to AAA, and DFA Godoy. Easy peasy. You have Jeffers for next year, assuming 2022 was just something of a sophomore jinx for him. Every other spot, well, it needs to be a star caliber player, not some 29-year old utility guy having a career year so far. Bell is the only one I've had any interest in, but with Sano coming back soon, then that's two roster moves instead of one.
  20. ashbury
    In all honesty I stopped reading when I saw Larkin listed as a core four.
  21. ashbury
    At age 38, he's just the veteran presence this team needs!
  22. ashbury
    Remember when we were assured that the enhanced revenue stream Target Field would provide would allow the team to sign and keep their home-grown players?
  23. ashbury
    Difference in results yes. I'm curious to see how this reflects in the color chart.
  24. ashbury
    I'd be curious to see these charts broken out by lefty-righty batter matchups. Thielbar for instance I'd expect to have a massive split. Also, since these are percentages, understanding might be aided by having the number of pitches thrown be provided in the table for reference - small sample size for some of these arms seems a pitfall.
  25. ashbury
    In those most recent 34 games he has 4 homers, which is a very nice rate if sustained over a full season. Since a lot of his OPS in that period is built on those 4 long flies, plus a BABIP that is little high relative to league average, I remain a bit on the skeptical side going forward, but continue to be impressed with what he's accomplished this year. My estimate on watching him in a game at AAA in 2019 was way short of what his ceiling has turned out to be.
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