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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    You'll find mine in the game thread yesterday. Buxton and Correa both came up big in a game the Twins no doubt very much wanted to win.
  2. ashbury
    Don't sell Tyler short - I'm not sure if we've seen his very best.
  3. ashbury
    I want to like your take, I really do. But, if you look at these two pitchers, inning by inning... https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=musgrjo01&year=2022&t=p#all_innng https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=grayso01&year=2022&t=p#all_innng ... it is uncanny that Joe has been good this season for exactly one inning further into games than Sonny has. Our field staff knows something about their own players? That's unpossible!
  4. ashbury
  5. ashbury
    I forget the site, but there is one that lets you guesstimate whether a fly would be a home run in other ballparks. San Diego is a pitcher's park, I believe. Maybe it would have been more out of reach, not less, in most other parks? I don't know.
  6. ashbury
    Sound. League rules don't permit trading draftees until after the World Series.
  7. ashbury
    Every time Jorge is at bat and they show a closeup, it's the eyes that get me. Laser beams, all the time. He doesn't get a hit every time up, but it's never ever from lack of focus.
  8. ashbury
    I liked the interview questions in the post-game video of Rocco. Direct, and hardly softball questions, that spoke to real concerns, without being some reporter trying to establish some kind of hard-hitting BS reputation through cheap antagonistic antics. The answers didn't wow me, but then Rocco is a master of (baseball) corporate-speak. My own style in serious matters is corporate-speak too, so I don't really fault him, except that his on-field results aren't there. I don't know if a Billy Martin type of replacement would have better results over the long term, because my suspicion is that better results would have to come from a level higher in the corporate food-chain than Rocco himself. A stronger bullpen would have changed a lot in the past weeks, though obviously the bullpen can't win a game like this one. It would make 4-inning stints from Archer or Bundy more feasible. But conversely, it would address the problem last night of leaving in a guy having a bad outing, like we hope is all it was with Ryan, versus giving him a quick exit. Rocco spoke of not closing out the other team when there were two outs. Over the course of the season, the pitching staff overall has been OK with this situation. But I'd like to hear him address the converse problem, shown by his offense in 2022, because when I looked a few days ago, their own two-out splits showed a lot more dropoff than the MLB norm.
  9. ashbury
    Thanks. 13-9 if my manual count at milb.com is accurate. Good times.
  10. ashbury
    I have a feeling that the headline* someone at MLBTR chose, Twins Among Most Aggressive Buyers On Pitching Market, is going to look pretty dumb in the rear-view mirror in a few more days. * The article itself is titled something else, but the blurb placed in the team-digest for all three AL Central contenders had this form.
  11. ashbury
    Another tough night on the farm. Does any of our affiliates have a winning record in July?
  12. ashbury
    Sentence? Sentence fragment. Fine in writing. As long as you can carry it off. Not for amateurs. But okay in more places than you might think.
  13. ashbury
    Okay, quick question, what does the horizontal dotted line represent? I assumed it was league average OPS. But Alex Kirilloff's OPS for 2022 currently stands at .669 which translates to a below average OPS+ of 92, while in his graph above, he is above the dotted line for every segment of this season. It also looks like his clock started in late June, in that graph, but his overall season numbers have been dragged down by his abbreviated April/May.
  14. ashbury
    Love this form of data visualization!
  15. ashbury
    "Nice prospect. We have one like him too."
  16. ashbury
    It's gotta be the fielding. He's been offered a chance as super-utility in St Paul, and while errors aren't the best way to judge defense, lacking other info or scouting reports I note that a .911 fielding percentage at 2B and .857 at 3B are pretty darn low. I don't think he was ever a plus-fielder, but the "acceptable defense" skills he had when younger have apparently eroded. A 32-year old who can be put confidently only at 1B or DH isn't going to fill an unmet need on many teams, including our Twins - we have a better version named Arraez who is also much younger.
  17. ashbury
    But as the road team, there is a game-theory aspect to it. Or, in economic terms, information has value, and if you knew in advance that your own team wasn't going to score in the top of the 8th or 9th, and if you knew that Duran could only pitch one inning (regardless of how shaky) you might readjust your strategy. Holding Duran back for an inning buys you some of that info, at low cost. Of course the way the second game played out, having or not having your best arm available didn't matter. Lose-lose scenario no matter which way Rocco decided.
  18. ashbury
    Nibbling, versus lack of command? Won't, versus can't? Yeah, if the latter, I'd pitch scared, too.
  19. ashbury
    Oakland and Colorado should embark on a series of trades, year after year, the A's looking for sure-fire hitting and the Rox looking for reliable pitching....
  20. ashbury
    That's the problem with bringing in your best arm on the road in a tie game. Works out great if your offense can be counted on to push across a go-ahead run when the pressure is on. Otherwise, if you go to extras, you're in a position where you're counting on Duffey or someone interchangeable with him to earn the save, if you ever do eventually score, and maybe it's just better to get the bad news out of the way in the first place, and pitch Duffey in the 7th or 8th. The solution is to have more good arms of course.
  21. ashbury

    Sano related moves.

    ashbury commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    I don't expect a David Ortiz outcome. But next season there will be feature stories about how some other team like the Rockies figured out how to get him to be a serviceable major league contributor again.
  22. ashbury
    Indeed. Which might explain my lukewarm attitude toward spending a lot in prospect capital on Montas.
  23. ashbury
    There should be 3 dots in the upper left corner of your post. Click on it and you should see an "edit" option.
  24. ashbury
    They have TJ procedure for shoulders now?
  25. ashbury
    Duffey's just one of those pitchers who achieves movement on the ball at the expense of command and having much of an idea where it's going to go. He can fool AAA hitters some of the time with balls that arrive nowhere close to the strike zone, but real major league hitters are going to feast except the very occasional outings where he has real command.
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