Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

ashbury

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    40,841

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    463

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    I have a feeling that the headline* someone at MLBTR chose, Twins Among Most Aggressive Buyers On Pitching Market, is going to look pretty dumb in the rear-view mirror in a few more days. * The article itself is titled something else, but the blurb placed in the team-digest for all three AL Central contenders had this form.
  2. ashbury
    Another tough night on the farm. Does any of our affiliates have a winning record in July?
  3. ashbury
    Sentence? Sentence fragment. Fine in writing. As long as you can carry it off. Not for amateurs. But okay in more places than you might think.
  4. ashbury
    Okay, quick question, what does the horizontal dotted line represent? I assumed it was league average OPS. But Alex Kirilloff's OPS for 2022 currently stands at .669 which translates to a below average OPS+ of 92, while in his graph above, he is above the dotted line for every segment of this season. It also looks like his clock started in late June, in that graph, but his overall season numbers have been dragged down by his abbreviated April/May.
  5. ashbury
    Love this form of data visualization!
  6. ashbury
    "Nice prospect. We have one like him too."
  7. ashbury
    It's gotta be the fielding. He's been offered a chance as super-utility in St Paul, and while errors aren't the best way to judge defense, lacking other info or scouting reports I note that a .911 fielding percentage at 2B and .857 at 3B are pretty darn low. I don't think he was ever a plus-fielder, but the "acceptable defense" skills he had when younger have apparently eroded. A 32-year old who can be put confidently only at 1B or DH isn't going to fill an unmet need on many teams, including our Twins - we have a better version named Arraez who is also much younger.
  8. ashbury
    But as the road team, there is a game-theory aspect to it. Or, in economic terms, information has value, and if you knew in advance that your own team wasn't going to score in the top of the 8th or 9th, and if you knew that Duran could only pitch one inning (regardless of how shaky) you might readjust your strategy. Holding Duran back for an inning buys you some of that info, at low cost. Of course the way the second game played out, having or not having your best arm available didn't matter. Lose-lose scenario no matter which way Rocco decided.
  9. ashbury
    Nibbling, versus lack of command? Won't, versus can't? Yeah, if the latter, I'd pitch scared, too.
  10. ashbury
    Oakland and Colorado should embark on a series of trades, year after year, the A's looking for sure-fire hitting and the Rox looking for reliable pitching....
  11. ashbury
    That's the problem with bringing in your best arm on the road in a tie game. Works out great if your offense can be counted on to push across a go-ahead run when the pressure is on. Otherwise, if you go to extras, you're in a position where you're counting on Duffey or someone interchangeable with him to earn the save, if you ever do eventually score, and maybe it's just better to get the bad news out of the way in the first place, and pitch Duffey in the 7th or 8th. The solution is to have more good arms of course.
  12. ashbury

    Sano related moves.

    ashbury commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    I don't expect a David Ortiz outcome. But next season there will be feature stories about how some other team like the Rockies figured out how to get him to be a serviceable major league contributor again.
  13. ashbury
    Indeed. Which might explain my lukewarm attitude toward spending a lot in prospect capital on Montas.
  14. ashbury
    There should be 3 dots in the upper left corner of your post. Click on it and you should see an "edit" option.
  15. ashbury
    They have TJ procedure for shoulders now?
  16. ashbury
    Duffey's just one of those pitchers who achieves movement on the ball at the expense of command and having much of an idea where it's going to go. He can fool AAA hitters some of the time with balls that arrive nowhere close to the strike zone, but real major league hitters are going to feast except the very occasional outings where he has real command.
  17. ashbury
    You might be surprised. The rule of thumb, given modern run-scoring numbers, is that scoring 10 additional runs during a season, or equivalently saving 10 runs on defense, adds about 1 win. As you note, those runs aren't all going to occur just when you need them, thus the high ratio of extra runs to winning outcomes. The OP spoke of 18 missing runs, so that could be good for a couple of extra wins so far this season, in that light.
  18. ashbury
    The pros are going to be a whole new experience, based on his comment about "feel" versus video. I'm sure he'll adapt to that though.
  19. ashbury
    Comparing team situational splits to the full MLB, it looks like they do relatively worse with 2 outs, regardless of the on-base situation. Been kind of a 3 year trend. The 2019 Bomba Squad didn't really show a similar dropoff. https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/split.cgi?t=b&team=MIN&year=2022#all_outs https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/split.cgi?t=b&lg=MLB&year=2022#all_outs
  20. ashbury
    "Oh, hai. We gots a closer to trade. We can has your #2 prospect for him? 'Kthxbye."
  21. ashbury
    Quigley's a major league puzzle constructor. Kudos on being on his radar, Luis!
  22. ashbury

    75 RBI or 75 RBIs?

    ashbury commented on Greglw3's blog entry in Greg Allen

    Concur. The R stands for what it needs to stand for in the given situation. Just as CDC used to stand for Control Data Corporation or Centers for Disease Control, depending on the need of the sentence.
  23. ashbury
    Bless my heart, I tried, but you excelled.
  24. ashbury
    "Bless their hearts," she said in her thick southern accent. "They try."
  25. ashbury
    Chad Kuhl has had a mediocre career. His ERA+ this one season looks good since it contains a Coors lift - except, his splits are the opposite of what many pitchers show, as he's done better in Coors than on the road. His road numbers look similar at a glance to his career numbers before joining the Rockies. Pass, unless the Twins need more depth to get them through the regular season at minimal cost, for some reason. He might not be given a post-season start, were they to reach that stage.
×
×
  • Create New...