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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    I'm extremely surprised. I came into this season expecting no meaningful games by this point.
  2. ashbury
    Another Betteridge's Law of Headlines headline. So, no. Next headline question?
  3. ashbury
    I've heard some arguments against analytics, but not the left-right platoon concept that Casey Stengel was using before any of us except Chief were born. And Stengel was hardly the inventor of it.
  4. ashbury
    Matt Braun Stays Up So You Don't Have To ™
  5. ashbury

    75 RBI or 75 RBIs?

    ashbury commented on Greglw3's blog entry in Greg Allen

    Stanford athletic teams are represented by a color, not by a mascot. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stanford_Cardinal#Nickname_and_mascot_history
  6. ashbury

    75 RBI or 75 RBIs?

    ashbury commented on Greglw3's blog entry in Greg Allen

    Do you take umbrage at Harvard Crimson? Cornell Big Red? Dartmouth Big Green?
  7. ashbury
    Leave out that first 'r' and I just learned a new word today! (And a way to get my nose punched if the other person has a stellar vocabulary. )
  8. ashbury
  9. ashbury
    Lee. Four games in the Coast League. There's been injury rehabs that lasted longer.
  10. ashbury

    75 RBI or 75 RBIs?

    ashbury commented on Greglw3's blog entry in Greg Allen

    It never occurred to me until now to check, but SABR produces a lot of baseball publications each year and they have a style guide online. The guide is unambiguous that the plural form is RBIs. * The SABR Style Guide is conversational in spots, and any amateur who is interested in aspects of how serious copy editors think, may find it interesting reading in its own right. RBIs happens to be used as an example of the different needs of different kind of writing, up near the top. * That frankly surprised me. I thought I knew differently. But what does anybody but me care about that?
  11. ashbury
    It's fascinating to dissect the crucial play at the plate. However the headline of this TD article buries, if not the lede, at least the true story. Blue Jays 3, Twins 2: Bad Offensive Showing Costs Twins. Again. Score more than a couple, and this good outing from the pitchers isn't wasted. Again.
  12. ashbury
    Yesterday the complaining was about complainers after a win. Today the complaining is about complainers after a loss. Where is the manager of this establishment? I wish to lodge a complaint concerning this inconsistency.
  13. ashbury
    Doctors generally try the less invasive approaches first. Cutting off some bone? Pretty much anybody's last choice.
  14. ashbury
    Henriquez got taken deep in his first inning of work last Thursday, by Brent Rooker. So much for "better as of late" Not an option in 2022, in my book. Ditto for Strotman, and he isn't even young anymore and should be offseason trade/dfa fodder. "Moran, then Sisk, after that you're taking a risk."
  15. ashbury
    And probably for the last.
  16. ashbury
    Back when his batting average topped out at .359, his BA on balls in play was an unsustainable .479 (league average normally around .300). During the cold stretch you mentioned, BABIP has been .240. Getting the bat on the ball and putting it in play is definitely a skill, but the knack for dropping base hits at will when putting the ball in play isn't, or at least few have demonstrated it over the long haul; I don't like the word luck, but let's just say neither trend away from .300 is generally sustainable. He's neither as good as he seemed during his hot stretch, nor as bad as he seems now. Overall he's a work in progress and is marginal as a major league contributor today, but he's still only 23 and stands to improve in seasons to come if we are patient. His up-the-middle skills mean patience is called for.
  17. ashbury
    Just like the image below, my post aged so very, very well.
  18. ashbury
    I pointed out when he was called up that Beckham's "hot bat" was built on the foundation of a .522 (!!) batting average on balls in play, Now in the majors, the BABIP is a below-normal .222. Odds are that his traditional numbers with the Twins may come up a little from where they are now, but there's no way his numbers with the Saints were anything but an unsustainable mirage. (With no definable defensive skills anymore, he's no longer a major league player, but there was a roster need. But I digress.) So yeah, the opponent should go right after a bat like his, in that situation.
  19. ashbury
    Arraez is another who could be included in someone's Not Hot list. OPS of .522 in 77 PA since July 10 (cherry picking) though he doesn't meet your July 1 threshold. Correa is obviously a disappointment lately, and I always figured Sanchez would at least hit if not defend.
  20. ashbury
    Twitter, Instagram and/or Facebook.... do you also do LinkedIn? But, slightly more seriously, if maybe irrelevantly: when you do a screenshot, like I see for Tyler Duffey, do you give credit to baseball-reference.com, which is where it looks like it came from?
  21. ashbury
    Not to mention, unsupported by facts. His lifetime OPS on the road is .817, versus .846 at home - not a big split at all since the average batter does better at home. All but this season was as an Astro, but this year as a Twin his home-road split is even larger, .839-.724. You can look up the individual seasons when the scandal was in operation, and if anything his road numbers were better than at home those two years. So, is there more can-banging actually going on at Target Field? But, hey, don't let facts get in the way of a comfortable narrative.
  22. ashbury
    It can be said that Cave taking second through defensive indifference didn't matter since his run wouldn't be decisive, but maybe it was that little thing that put the contact play on? At that point it was a much lower risk play, since an out at the plate just results in a new and decent runner at third with still fewer than two out. I like it, and maybe the Jays should have been a little less indifferent with 0 out.
  23. ashbury
    Probably better if I'd said "never had secure possession," the criterion for making the putout. He wheeled around for the tag, as though he thought he did. Jansen apparently is a sound defensive catcher, who had a rough tenth inning that you don't really wish on anyone except to the degree you need it for the win. Happy for the win, and it's very often sound strategy to push the opponent into having to make a perfect play. Especially when the downside risk is only an out at home but a runner replacing him at third and still only one out. In retrospect that "defensive indifference" letting Cave take second may have tilted the odds on Gordon making the break for home, though someone would have to ask him because it's probably just instinct and experience.
  24. ashbury
    No disagreement there. I guess my point is that whatever the rules are, it's the pitcher's job to stop any runs from scoring. The extra inning rule makes it harder, but some pitchers do the job better than others. So I want some stats that tell me who's who, over the course of the long season. ERA becomes useless too - reliever in the bottom of the tenth gives up a leadoff single, the runner on second scores in some routine way, boom, game over. Reliever strikes out two, give up that single, game over. Reliever does a little better, his team lives to fight another inning. OPS-against probably does the job, maybe OBP is even more pertinent, but I want it extra-innings only.
  25. ashbury
    It already is. That runner is treated for scorecard purposes like some sort of weird two-base catcher's interference. So, there are a lot of losses pinned on pitchers who gave up zero earned runs.
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