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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    You mean with sentences like "That's now what hitting is all about, these days," which probably reverses what the author actually intended? Oh well, I cna ytpe 300 wrods pre mniuet!
  2. ashbury
    Austin Nopower. No, baby, nooo. In just about every aspect of his game, I see a player lacking in confidence. He doesn't throw with confidence, he doesn't swing with confidence. He looks more concerned about not making mistakes. I don't know what the coaches can do with him at this point. This analysis does a nice job of highlighting a major weakness, with its informative charts on swing speed and angle.
  3. ashbury
    It's regrettable the cowboy drawings appear to be all behind the STrib's paywall. I was hoping to see.
  4. ashbury
    I believe DSP still has a seat on the board of directors. An advisory role is an excuse to pay him a stipend. That board goes away once any sale is completed. I foresee him being completely gone after that.
  5. ashbury
    What I read was "just find the best hitter available in the team’s budget." The team has no budget to speak of. I don't know who we could sign or trade for.
  6. ashbury
    Stopped reading at this point. No, not really. But this is an example of why I can't take FangRaphs seriously. I know I am supposed to love their site, but I just can't. Back to the actual article. The 2025 Twins are not simply one mid-level free agent away.
  7. ashbury
    No. Regardless of context, it still does not.
  8. ashbury
    You may be thinking of Brian's brother from another mother. 😀 The Twins' VP of Strategery & Innovation, Josh Kalk, also took part in the panel, and some of what you related may have come from him (I didn't take notes). One addition I want to point out is that in each post-game review, they took special interest in learning where Rocco deviated from the plan they had jointly put together for the game, which would happen multiple times in most games. Kalk's implication was that the analytics team wanted to learn from these instances, not vice versa. So much for managing by a static spreadsheet.
  9. ashbury
    A player who our front office will express surprise and great pleasure was even there for the taking at number 16. 😊
  10. ashbury
    Someone willing to devote more than the 30 seconds I've invested may come up with a better take-off on the classic Who's On First routine. "And then it was a long fly ball in Rate Field for Luis Robert Jr." "So Kepler grabbed it?" "Nah. Easy play for Castro. He was the left fielder today." "Must have been quite a shift they were playing. I thought that was illegal." "No, no, Castro was in straightway left, just like he's supposed to be." "But you said the batter hit the ball in Rate Field." "He did." "I DON'T EVEN KNOW WHAT I'M TALKING ABOUT!!!"
  11. ashbury
    Closely related concept to Dollar Cost Averaging, which is a proven win in a decades-long market upswing and is a risk if the economy totally tanks until after you are ready to retire.
  12. ashbury
    Here's an idea for an article: sort the Twins' 2024 season by Batting Average on Balls In Play, choose the 3 with at least 200 PA at the top of the list, write it up without ever actually mentioning BABIP. ?????? PROFIT !
  13. ashbury
    I had the fantastic good luck of being there at Oakland Coliseum for this one. Most enjoyable ballgame I watched all season.
  14. ashbury
    He didn't, a couple of years ago anyway. 😀
  15. ashbury
    The worth of any long term contract is tied to the perceived risk. Two years of solid health and high production on the field would have greatly mitigated that risk. The combination didn't happen, so I really don't see a change. No one is going to give the Twins any prospects or valuable veterans to obtain a player on a contract they could have freely offered themselves two years ago. Instead 29 other GMs are nodding and saying to themselves, this is about what I expected, when I said no, two years ago.
  16. ashbury
    #we_got_him.gif
  17. ashbury
    Concur. I had this on my mind too. A lot of people think that the key to success for a GM is being a wheeler dealer, always outsmarting the other GM and buying low while selling high. Overlooked entirely is the value actually delivered on the field. Sometimes the best use of a player with a guaranteed but expiring contract is to just let him play. In the case of Kepler, the team was in the hunt for the postseason, at the trading deadline, and some lottery ticket prospect would not have been worth losing an average but reliable right fielder for two additional, final, months. In other words, being the best player to walk "for nothing" is kind of a fluke stat.
  18. ashbury
    I'm not a big believer in trying to choreograph the events that will happen during an inning, so I'm in the camp that says just put your best hitters up top and the worst down lower. The best hitters get the most chances, that way, while Christian Vazquez gets the fewest. Batting clean up in this scenario amounts to a fluke of whoever happens to be fourth best among the hitters you plan to use that day. Yeah probably a power hitter who strikes out a lot. IOW, color me uninterested. 😊
  19. ashbury
    Would you have outbid Cleveland, as events have in fact unfolded? To the tune of $13M or so? (For all we know, Falvey did make a competitive bid for Santana, and the Guardians went to twelve and he threw in the towel only at that point. One can presume that Cleveland wasn't bidding against itself.)
  20. ashbury
    I wonder if those here who advocated for him, on general principles, would have outbid Cleveland to win the actual bidding. That's a pretty rich contract.
  21. ashbury
    Sir, you have my curiosity. But now you have my attention. "I often quote myself. It adds spice to my conversation." -- George Bernard Shaw Delmon was only 9 years old when Manuel was born, but denizens of the underworld do have capabilities beyond those of mere mortals, so I suppose the claim is possible.
  22. ashbury
    I wouldn't want to get down into the weeds of what exact multiplier to use, but in general, I concur. BTV is a very valuable way to look at trades, normalizing around a dollar value that surely at least resonates with one manner in how a front office would look at things; it's a step up from fans saying "these two guys are both good, make a trade of one for the other" if the contract statuses are unequal. But when it comes to well-above average established players, there is an additional factor that must be considered: "we have him, and you don't." There are only so many difference-maker players out there. If a contending team wants one, to put them into serious championship contention, then they need to expect to pay a premium for the privilege; the team who holds that player's contract might also have aspirations too. IOW an overpay. National baseball writers and front offices have a symbiotic relationship. When I read of an item like this one, I choose to assume that the FO opted to give the writer a minor "scoop" that fits with their own aims. It's like placing a want ad, one that you know 29 other front offices will read, to encourage some additional bidders. Of course you are right that any FO will listen to another FO at any time. But a source within a FO giving out information implies a little bit of active intent.
  23. ashbury
    He might not have been "good" defensively, but if an important game is on the line and an opposing runner is rounding third while the center fielder is getting ready to fire the ball home, there is no one else I'd rather have behind the plate. 😀
  24. ashbury
  25. ashbury
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